Join me tomorrow morning in Arlington, Virginia. I’ll be speaking at the GTSC's Homeland Security Today 2026 Counterterrorism Conference on the Yemen-based Houthis and Iran’s shifting proxy strategy.
members.gtscoalition.com/calendar/Det...
Posts by Basha باشا
Iran: Who Actually Calls the Shots as Divisions Surface in Tehran
Mounting backlash inside Iran puts Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi under pressure as criticism from state media and lawmakers intensifies over his handling of talks and public messaging. open.substack.com/pub/basharep...
My press comments published in The New Arab by Cian Ward: Mohammed Al-Basha, founder of Basha Report, a US Risk Advisory Firm, says the main issue is the distance between different visions. Read more: www.newarab.com/analysis/bet...
Rhetoric aside, nine days have passed since the last Yemen-based Houthi drone or missile attack on Israel, and 18 days since military operations resumed, with no maritime vessel targeted during that time.
This Basha Report examines Iran’s options after the U.S. imposed a naval blockade. It covers likely responses, risks in the Strait of Hormuz, and includes a detailed list of Iran’s remaining weapons, from anti-ship missiles and drones to mines, torpedoes ... bashareport.substack.com/p/iran-signa...
Although mines have long been a discussion in the strait, this is the first time Iran openly said Tehran placed sea mines, Mohammed Al-Basha, founder of the risk analysis Basha Report, told USNI News in an email. . news.usni.org/2026/04/09/v...
While in London this week I spoke with Argus, Associate Editor, Andrey Telegin, about the outlook for Hormuz traffic, the debate over potential toll frameworks, and why Yemen's Houthis remain a key swing factor for regional shipping risk.
www.argusmedia.com/en/news-and-...
I’m in London this week. Excited to catch up with old colleagues and meet some new people. Feel free to reach out (DMs open).
It now appears that the Qatar-linked LNG tankers Al Daayen (IMO 9443413) and Rasheeda (IMO: 9443413), which loaded cargo in late February, briefly moved east toward the Strait of Hormuz but have since turned back.
Exclusive for Basha Report Substack Subscribers:
Inside the Houthi arsenal of small arms, land systems, missiles, naval systems, and drones. A 116-system network spanning land attack, maritime strikes, and aerial warfare
open.substack.com/pub/basharep...
I appreciate the White House, the State Department, and the Senate Foreign Relations Committee staff for taking time out of their busy schedules to meet today. Thank you for the thoughtful conversation and the chance to discuss current issues. 🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸🇺🇸
I appeared on BBC News with Steve Lai tonight to discuss the relationship between Iran and the Houthis, focusing on the situation in the Red Sea and the risks facing the Bab el-Mandeb Strait and global shipping routes.
x.com/bashareport/...
Breaking: Yemen-based Houthi military says a statement is coming soon.
[Free Article] @BashaReport @Substack
Al-Houthi Unveils $27 Billion Losses, Pressures Saudi Arabia for Compensation: Houthi Signals Support for Iran Without Declaring War or New Operations open.substack.com/pub/basharep...
From BashaReport’s Substack
Iran: Men of the Regime
From Zolghadr to Ghalibaf, both power and peace talks sit within a small group where war, intelligence, and politics meet.
open.substack.com/pub/basharep...
#Iran | Multiple United States Air Force C-17 aircraft have been departing from Fort Liberty [Fort Bragg], via Simmons Army Airfield (KBOP). The base is home to major units including the 82nd Airborne Division ... substack.com/profile/2845...
My press comments published by The Wall Street Journal’s Stephen Kalin, Omar Abdel-Baqui, and Saleh al-Batati .. read more substack.com/@bashareport...
Deep Dive: The Unseen Supreme Leader
Mojtaba Khameni's rise from a shadow operator to absolute power. Wars shaped him. Loss hardened him. Now power gives him a path for retaliation driven by grief and anger.
open.substack.com/pub/basharep...
Iran’s Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps issued a warning urging people to stay away from key oil and gas facilities in Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and Qatar. substack.com/@bashareport...
Just wrapped up a briefing with Basha Report Risk Advisory clients on developments on the Houthi front in Yemen, the war in Sudan, business opportunities in Syria, and the latest on negotiations with Iran. Reach out to see which service package fits your needs and how we can support your business.
#SITREP #Saudi | In the past 24 hours, Saudi Arabia’s Ministry of Defense said Saudi air defenses intercepted and destroyed 65 drones and 7 ballistic missiles across 21 official statements and alerts. substack.com/@bashareport...
U.S. Naval Institute: U.S. air superiority is an issue for the [Iranian] fast-attack craft, which can easily be destroyed by U.S. fire, Mohammed Al-Basha , who authors the Middle East risk analysis Basha Report , told USNI News.
news.usni.org/2026/03/13/m...
“Si la guerra se alarga y aumenta la presión dentro del Eje de la Resistencia, es más probable que intervengan con una escalada calibrada”, anticipa Mohammed Al-Basha, experto en Yemen y autor del informe de riesgos Basha Report.
elpais.com/internaciona...
My press comments published by Sudarsan Raghavan for The New Yorker: [Basha Report's] Mohammed Al-Basha, a Middle East politics-and-security expert, told me that the Houthis have been readying themselves for action. www.newyorker.com/news/the-led...
On the question of Houthis joining the war
In the section of the statement that addressed regional allies, Mojtaba Khamenei described the resistance front as a network of partners … continue reading: substack.com/@bashareport...
I argue in GTSC's Homeland Security Today
47 Years in the Making: The War Washington Always Knew Would Come
www.hstoday.us/subject-matt...
Exclusive: Answering the key question of whether the Houthis in Yemen will join the war in support of Iran or stay out of it.
ttps://open.substack.com/pub/bashareport/p/the-houthis-quiet-restraint-in-the?r=4pe2u8&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&showWelcomeOnShare=true
Tomorrow on Basha Report’s Substack, “The Houthis’ Quiet Restraint in the Arabian Gulf” goes live at 10 am ET.
Subscribe to read it first.
bashareport.substack.com
"Many analysts miss the emotional and religious weight of losing [Khamenei]," Mohammed Albasha, analyst and founder of the US-based risk-analysis consultancy Basha Report, told @cathrinschaer.bsky.social.
amp.dw.com/en/iran-war-...
Free Basha Report Substack article: Iran’s Wartime Chain of Command Starts to Break
The Revolutionary Guard holds growing operational power and may refuse to accept a supreme leader who does not back its strategic direction. bashareport.substack.com/p/irans-wart...