Is the difference that there are two types of empirical paper you can write:
1. 'it would be so cool if x after y'
2. 'could be x or not x after y, I wonder which it is'
Latter is probably better for science, and null is publishable; the former don't admit nulls but more common for ? reasons
But that’s not a bug. It’s a feature.
Sahara desert also
This is a feature of pretty much any technology that reduces the cost of doing x -> lowers the expertise threshold to participate; for another example see Lime Bikes
Such a perfect dinner companion too RIP
I’d love to see this chart too if you can share
Also a reminder that ‘joined up government’ sometimes means things like the Home Office giving dubious travel data to HMRC, so you just get ‘joined up dysfunction’
Jaw-dropping reporting by Haaretz www.haaretz.com/israel-news/...
AI is getting to be as smart as a PhD - the kind of PhD who would fabricate all the data for a research paper on the impact of AI.
amandaguinzburg.substack.com/p/diabolus-e...
As I note here, really zero reason to believe Elon is stepping away from anything. This is all a crisis comms campaign. talkingpointsmemo.com/edblog/dont-...
The tragic landslide in Blatten gives me the excuse to tell you the story of how we found out Ice Ages existed. It's a cool story and the most important bit is rather similar to what's happening now.
You should team up with Matt Levine: everything is either a bank or securities fraud (and why not both?)
One of the central points in Plato’s Republic, isn’t it?
The real problem with the Supreme Court’s expected Fed carve out is not that it lacks a principle but that the real principle isn’t articulated. The reason it will carve out the Fed is functional but it won’t say that. And its jurisprudence doesn’t leave room to ventilate the functional arg.(1/8)
A man named Elias Rodriguez just shot dead two Israeli embassy staffers at a Jewish museum in DC, shouting “free Palestine!”
An awful, criminal act that puts Israel back in a victim position. I’ve never seen a just cause attract such a high % of counterproductive “allies.” 🧵
Sigmund Freud’s ‘psychology’ is still getting parents in hot water
In this paper my coauthor and I find you can’t rationalise mandatory contributions and tax concessions as an optimal policy *unless* the concessions solve a political problem (in our paper, they’re necessary to get new workers to opt into the system)
tinyurl.com/mr8y9ph9
Why? As OP notes you can’t give the whole of society a tax break. Concessions on retirement contributions just mean higher taxes on something else -> optimal choice depends on the marginal social impact of each of these two taxes
Correct take. If it’s good to force people to save for retirement, we don’t need to also compensate with tax breaks.
This is true even if we’re only trying to force some people to save (eg because they have present bias)
That’s a remarkable level of hubris if so. The UK’s sluggish productivity growth was the main economic issue before being eclipsed (in the news) by Brexit and Covid
Which is stunning, given how their campaign promises all hinged on those unplanned policies getting growth going again
The ISA landscape is so confused.
Exhibit 2: one of the main types of ISA is called ‘Stocks and Shares ISA’. Two words for the same security.
The ISA landscape is so confused.
Exhibit 1: you can keep funds in cash within a stocks and shares ISA. Removing the Cash ISA would just preference one type of institution over another (banks).
on.ft.com/4mjY2ZI UK ministers consider cutting tax-free cash Isa allowance
yeah on second glance I was wrong - the surpluses of the other countries add up to more than the UK and US deficits, so your OP was the right interpretation; apologies
The US’s deficit is the bit that’s unexplained by the bars in the graph
Can confirm from my own experience - we always put my name first, but the doctor & school always call my wife first.
From the abstract: "Our findings underscore a process through which agents outside the household contribute to within-household gender inequalities." Indeed.
