Shift of Hungary from far right to centre-right: Peter Mayar's 2/3 majority will completely overturn all far right changes Orban made - restore LGBT rights - won't block EU aid to Ukraine Victor Orban conceded to Peter Magyar with a very clear majority.

BLOG: Shift of Hungary from far right to centre-right: Peter Mayar's 2/3 majority will completely overturn all far right changes Orban made
— restore LGBT rights
— won't block EU aid to Ukraine
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/hungary-el...

Many signals suggest US and Iran close to a framework no nukes deal to end the war - likely second round of negotiations in Islamabad - Trump may go himself to sign the deal - then 60 days to complete Some editing still to do - comments disabled for first few days, can discuss in ddebunked.org or message me privately (see contact details at end)

BLOG: Many signals suggest US and Iran close to a framework no nukes deal to end the war
— likely second round of negotiations in Islamabad
— Trump may go himself to sign the deal
— then 60 days to complete
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/many-signa...

Mythos AI is a coding tool that DETECTS vulnerabilities AND builds EXPLOITS for them - so Anthropic will use it to ALERT developers to vulnerabilities and not release it - to make software MORE SECURE Claude Mythos is a coding chatbot.

BLOG: Mythos AI is a coding tool that DETECTS vulnerabilities AND builds EXPLOITS for them
— so Anthropic will use it to ALERT developers to vulnerabilities and not release it
— to make software MORE SECURE
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/mythos-ai-...

Replacing Powell by Warsh as FOMC Chair will likely have no significant effect on Federal Bank decisions - they attempt a consensus - or if no consensus, choose by majority of 7 out of 12 Trump has to choose a nominee amongst the sitting governors.

BLOG: Replacing Powell by Warsh as FOMC Chair will likely have no significant effect on Federal Bank decisions
— they attempt a consensus
— or if no consensus, choose by majority of 7 out of 12
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/replacing-...

No risk of Emperor penguin or fur seal going extinct - Emperor penguin bounce back in second half of century on our low emissions path - Fur seal populations large and likely reach new equilibrium [Will disable comments for first day or two - comment on ddebunked.org instead]

BLOG: No risk of Emperor penguin or fur seal going extinct
— Emperor penguin bounce back in second half of century on our low emissions path
— Fur seal populations large and likely reach new equilibrium
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/no-risk-of...

Talks likely to resume in a couple of days - blockade is limited to Iran and just attempt to pressure Iran - Not likely to last long - Trump likely to Chicken Out as oil prices rise MID EDIT - also as usual will disable comments for a few days - discuss on ddebunked.org

BLOG: Talks likely to resume in a couple of days
— blockade is limited to Iran and just attempt to pressure Iran
— Not likely to last long
— Trump likely to Chicken Out as oil prices rise
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/talks-like...

There is so little attention to the achievements in Islamabad in the news. But it’s the basis for future negotiations.

This meeting is what will be in future history books. The US blockade after will likely soon be forgotten as a minor detail.

This helps you understand how Iran will respond. Just endure the blockade and meanwhile use private messaging via mediators try to get Trump to understand that it is their final offer.

Most likely it will just stop exporting oil and sit it out.

TEXT ON GRAPHIC Trump trying to dig a hole in the sea with a shovel This is how futile the blockade is Anyone with in-depth knowledge of Iran would tell Trump that Iran’s view that it has a fundamental right for enrichment is pervasive across all of the Iranian political spectrum, from the most reformist to the most hard right. Iran CAN’T GO HOME WITH A DEAL WITH ZERO ENRICHMENT. It is their final offer Iran CAN OFFER ZERO STOCKPILES WHICH ENSURES NO NUKES EVER. With the blockade, Trump is trying to pressure the Iranians to change something they can’t change. It’s as futile as trying to dig a hole in water with a spade or bucket. No matter how much you try to shovel it out the hole will immediately fill up again.

BLOG: The long negotations in Islamabad were very positive
— central issue: US wants zero enrichment
— Iran wants zero stockpiles
— both methods stop nukes
— US likely concedes to Iran's demands eventually
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/the-long-n...

Update: Hungary's Victor Orban conceded and looks like a 2/3 majority to Tisza / Peter Magyar which means he can change the constitution and undo Orban's changes Peter Magyar set to win a ⅔ majority and Victor Orban already conceded, for Hungary. Shift away from far right: pro EU, pro LGBT, pro fair elections in Hunga...

Peter Magyar set to win a 2/3 majority and Victor Orban already conceded, for Hungary. Shift away from far right: pro EU, pro LGBT, pro fair elections in Hungary, not exactly pro Ukraine but unlikely to block Ukraine aid in the EU.

ddebunked.org/d/3551-updat...

Update: Hungary's Victor Orban conceded and looks like a 2/3 majority to Tisza / Peter Magyar which means he can change the constitution and undo Orban's changes Update, Victor Orban conceded to Peter Magyar with a very clear majority. 138 at 72.44%. It’s 133 for a ⅔ majority. These are not final results but the resul...

Peter Magyar set to win a 2/3 majority and Victor Orban already conceded, for Hungary. Shift away from far right, pro EU, pro LGBT, pro fair elections in Hungary, not exactly pro Ukraine but unlikely to block Ukraine aid in the EU.

ddebunked.org/d/3551-updat...

Direct high level talks between Iran and the US in presence of Pakistani mediators in the same room - for first time since 1979 - Four sessions - last one 1.30 - 3.30 am! This is looking very promising so far, they wouldn’t be talking for so long unless they were far beyond just talks about talks.

BLOG: Direct high level talks between Iran and the US in presence of Pakistani mediators in the same room
— for first time since 1979
— Four sessions
— last one 1.30
— 3.30 am!
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/direct-hig...

Iran ceasefire holds and is very positive - the ceasefire holds so far and many things are promising for it to last - will close comments for the first few days - discuss on ddebunked.org

BLOG: Iran ceasefire holds and is very positive
— the ceasefire holds so far and many things are promising for it to last
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/iran-cease...

Based on conversations with Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif and Field Marshal Asim Munir, of Pakistan, and wherein they requested that I hold off the destructive force being sent tonight to Iran, and subject to the Islamic Republic of Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz, I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks. This will be a double sided CEASEFIRE! The reason for doing so is that we have already met and exceeded all Military objectives, and are very far along with a definitive Agreement concerning Longterm PEACE with Iran, and PEACE in the Middle East. We received a 10 point proposal from Iran, and believe it is a workable basis on which to negotiate. Almost all of the various points of past contention have been agreed to between the United States and Iran, but a two week period will allow the Agreement to be finalized and consummated. On behalf of the United States of America, as President, and also representing the Countries of the Middle East, it is an Honor to have this Longterm problem close to resolution. Thank you for your attention to this matter! President DONALD J. TRUMP

UPDATE: Trump delayed the deadline for 2 weeks based on a 10 point Iranian peace plan. He has announced a temporary two weeks ceasefire. truthsocial.com/@realDonaldT...

Trump can't end a civilization in 4 hours - COULD get Israel to TEMPORARILY cut major bridges + disconnect major power plants - US generals would refuse - BIG risk is to Trump not US - likely TACO Trump Always Chickens Out - BUT IF NOT it's mainly about when he is impeached, before or after the mid terms - MID EDIT - COMMENTS DISABLED FOR NOW - DISCUSS ON DDEBUNKED.ORG

BLOG: Trump can't end a civilization in 4 hours
— COULD get Israel to TEMPORARILY cut major bridges + disconnect major power plants
— US generals would refuse
— BIG risk is to Trump not US
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/trump-cant...

Trump's tweet does NOT risk larger war in Iran - rather a personal risk to Trump if he gives green light for Israel to attack a large civilian power plant and bridge in Iran - US generals would REFUSE Happy Easter everyone!

No not at all.

BLOG: Trump's tweet does NOT risk larger war in Iran
— rather a personal risk to Trump if he gives green light for Israel to attack a large civilian power plant and bridge in Iran
— US generals would REFUSE
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/why-there-...

One of the photos they took that we expect NASA to download tomorrow - high resolution zoom in on the Earth disappearing behind the Moon. This is a clip from the live stream looking at the photos they took on an astronaut's laptop.

x.com/_MaxQ_/statu...

Yes, I don't know. Often changes from correct aspect ratio to stretched during the same transmission.

(Offtopic)

Artemis astronauts are now behind the moon. Their view of Earth disappearing behind the Moon as seen from Orion capsule Integrity.

Sadly the Moon is below the horizon right now as seen from the UK

Image was stretched horizontally - shrunk it a bit horizontally to compensate

Trump's tweet does NOT risk larger war in Iran - rather a personal risk to Trump if he gives green light for Israel to attack a large civilian power plant and bridge in Iran - US generals would REFUSE Comments disabled for first day or two

BLOG: Trump's tweet does NOT risk larger war in Iran
— rather a personal risk to Trump if he gives green light for Israel to attack a large civilian power plant and bridge in Iran
— US generals would REFUSE
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/why-there-...

The missing F-15E American Weapons System Officer has been rescued from Iran - upholding the US Airman's creed - "I will never leave an Airman behind" - shows air superiority but NOT air dominance - US needs to be cautious as Iran can still shoot their pl;anes down

BLOG: The missing F-15E American Weapons System Officer has been rescued from Iran
— upholding the US Airman's creed
— "I will never leave an Airman behind"
— shows air superiority but NOT air dominance
You can read it here:
shortdebunks.substack.com/p/the-missin...

Iran likely used very small payloads to try to reach 3,800 km to UK territory of Diego Garcia - mainly symbolic value - Iran now fires few rockets per day at its neighbours - most shot down Disabled comments for first day

BLOG: Iran likely used very small payloads to try to reach 3,800 km to UK territory of Diego Garcia
— mainly symbolic value
— Iran now fires few rockets per day at its neighbours
— most shot down
You can read it here:

robertinventor.substack.com/p/iran-likel...

World Health Organization prepares Iran for UNLIKELY nuclear accident: mainly hit on power plant - worst case like Fukushima - VERY LOCAL - Israel and US will NOT use a nuke - Iran doesn't have them Will disable comments for the first day - instead comment on our forum or see the contact me section

BLOG: World Health Organization prepares Iran for UNLIKELY nuclear accident: mainly hit on power plant
— worst case like Fukushima
— VERY LOCAL
— Israel and US will NOT use a nuke
— Iran doesn’t have them
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/world-heal...

😔😊: Sad but positive - 😔: Trump attacked Iran - because Wiktoff didn't have the technical knowledge to understand - 😊: he achieved a historic breakthrough - if signed, Iran will never have nukes - based on a report by the Arms Control Association - very high reliability

BLOG: 😔😊: Sad but positive
— 😔: Trump attacked Iran
— because Wiktoff didn’t have the technical knowledge to understand
— 😊: he achieved a historic breakthrough
— if signed, Iran will never have nukes
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/positive-b...

Multiple wars going on at the same time do NOT mean a world war - very common - 6 occasions with 3 simultaneous wars - and 2 other occasions with 4 at once - from when I was a teenager to age 50 Multiple local wars in different parts of the world for different reasons do NOT make a world war.

BLOG: Multiple wars going on at the same time do NOT mean a world war
— very common
— 6 occasions with 3 simultaneous wars
— and 2 other occasions with 4 at once
— from when I was a teenager to age 50
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/multiple-w...

Why Iran couldn't develop a nuke in less than years even before its program was obliterated - and few know that Iran votes every year for a nuclear weapons free Middle East Witkoff talked about how Iran could build a nuke in weeks.

BLOG: Why Iran couldn't develop a nuke in less than years even before its program was obliterated
— and few know that Iran votes every year for a nuclear weapons free Middle East
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/why-iran-c...

Why you won't be drafted for Iran - even Gulf war didn't need draft - six months training before a draftee can fight - many anxiety disorders etc disqualify - and Congress has to pass a law to draft - as with any new law a law to authorize the draft can be filibustered - 7 Dems would have to join all the Republicans to approve it

BLOG: Why you won't be drafted for Iran
— even Gulf war didn't need draft
— six months training before a draftee can fight
— many anxiety disorders etc disqualify
— and Congress has to pass a law to draft
— can be filibustered
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/why-you-wo...

Why Trump can stop the Iran war at any time - not with a ceasefire - just when US and Israel stop their attacks - Iran will stop too once it is clear that they really have stopped - And why there it NEVER had any way to be a world war - a conflict confined to a region of the Middle East is NOT A WORLD WAR - no matter how many soldiers are there from how many different nations

Oh return to the deal again. I go into it here

robertinventor.substack.com/p/why-trump-...

The Iran war - as a conflict confined to a region of the Middle East is NOT AND CAN'T BE A WORLD WAR YouTube video by Robert Walker - fact checker and science blogger

Video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Etfh...
BLOG: — And why there it NEVER had any way to be a world war
— a conflict confined to a region of the Middle East is NOT A WORLD WAR
— no matter how many soldiers are there from how many different nations
It's here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/why-trump-...

Trump can stop Iran war at any time — Iran will stop too as for 12 day war — don't need ceasefire YouTube video by Robert Walker - fact checker and science blogger

Video: www.youtube.com/watch?v=Mc6H...
BLOG: Why Trump can stop the Iran war at any time
— not with a ceasefire
— just when US and Israel stop their attacks
— Iran will stop too once it is clear that they really have stopped
You can read it here:
robertinventor.substack.com/p/why-trump-...