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Posts by Mark Schaffer

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Laut Bundesgericht darf Hafermilch nicht «Milk» genannt werden. Vegane Hafermilch darf laut Bundesgericht nicht «Milk» genannt werden.

Swiss court has ruled that vegan milk substitutes are neither allowed to be called “milk” nor (literally) “not milk” which I guess technically leaves the set of admissible names for vegan milk substitutes empty.

www.srf.ch/news/schweiz...

3 weeks ago 80 6 20 9

But I would have gotten the haircut right.

4 weeks ago 1731 226 35 2
Screengrab of a black and white photograph of a mummufied baboon crouched on a rocky ledge. It's eyeballs are even visible.

Screengrab of a black and white photograph of a mummufied baboon crouched on a rocky ledge. It's eyeballs are even visible.

🧪 #FossilFriday
Mummified baboon, Namibian cave, prob lost beyond the roosting chamber.
Re: taphonomy of Homo #Naledi, this baboon was +70m in, via small tunnels, and despite humid cave it formed in arid ledge microclimate. as did a 2nd one, in <5 yrs.

digitalcommons.usf.edu/cgi/viewcont...

1 month ago 224 45 8 11
Tele Ultra in Texas Tea

Tele Ultra in Texas Tea

Squier thinline Tele in Son9c Blue with gold anodised pickguard and added Bigsby B-50

Squier thinline Tele in Son9c Blue with gold anodised pickguard and added Bigsby B-50

Acousticsonic Tele in Brushed Black

Acousticsonic Tele in Brushed Black

Vintage Reissue ‘52 Tele in butterscotch

Vintage Reissue ‘52 Tele in butterscotch

Happy 75th anniversary to the Fender Telecaster!

Checking, it turns out I’ve had a few over the years.

1 month ago 56 5 8 0

People have long predicted that IT would greatly reduce search frictions, including in labor markets. Surprisingly, it hasn’t.

One reason is cognitive limits. But another is adversarial adaptation, including signal jamming. In many markets, an arms race develops, blunting any efficiency gains.

1 month ago 53 13 2 0
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Idiot Wind What Trump’s war against Iran tells us about the US government, the UK political right and the mainstream media in both countries What...

New post: Idiot Wind
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/03/idio...
What Trump’s pointless war against Iran tells us about the US government, the UK political right and the mainstream media in both countries.

1 month ago 18 11 1 2
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Journopoclypse! Yeah, na. I don't think so

I don't think we will have a Journopoclypse open.substack.com/pub/joshuaga...

1 month ago 13 3 1 3
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To elaborate on this a little in a health economics context: I do some work on the effectiveness of algorithmic prediction on pt outcomes. Identifying both mechanisms and outcomes is an *incredibly* complicated process, not least because patients are always being intervened upon. >
#statsky #episky

1 month ago 7 1 2 0
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Where have all the comments gone?
For decades, the American Economic Review regularly published formal comments — papers that replicate, reassess, or challenge earlier AER articles.
In our latest blog post, we show: they’ve nearly disappeared.

1 month ago 17 9 1 0
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Einstein - AI Homework Agent Einstein logs into Canvas and does your homework automatically. He has his own computer — he can watch lectures, read essays, write papers, and participate in discussions.

Is this bad

1 month ago 1421 329 156 604
Budgets are about much more than fiscal sustainability Ben Zaranko of the IFS has just published a paper on fiscal rule s. It is well researched and well written, but I disagree with its conclu...

New post: Budgets are about much more than fiscal sustainability
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/02/budg...
The impression that the OBR forecast sets fiscal policy is because politicians and the media have ignored or downplayed other key aspects of what fiscal policy should be about.

1 month ago 9 7 0 0
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Reform promises agency to ensure illegal migrant removals The party's new home affairs spokesman Zia Yusuf says it would be a

This is stenography, not news reporting. The BBC ought to provide some context, such as putting the scale of the changes which Reform claim are possible into context. This omits the major policy of revoking ILR and deporting legal migrants at unprecedented scale.
www.bbc.co.uk/news/article...

1 month ago 931 306 54 32
How Labour makes fighting right wing populism harder I must confess that this post will be very similar to one I wrote a fortnight ago. The big difference is that this is about this Labour g...

New post: How Labour makes fighting right wing populism harder
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2026/02/how-...
'Tilting left' won't help. Labour has lost much of its base not so much because it hasn’t been left wing enough in economic terms, but more because it has sounded and acted in an illiberal way.

2 months ago 46 23 2 3

Interviewers were paid per interview, not per hour, so they nudged respondents to skip those questions. Make the question less burdensome, train or monitor interviewers, or (radical idea) pay them properly and missing friends reappear. 3/

2 months ago 196 13 2 1
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Anakin-Padme meme.
Anakin: Additionally, we considered the confounders c1, c2 and c3.

Padme: And you included all of them in a single model, right?
Padme: And you included all of them in a single model, right?

Anakin-Padme meme. Anakin: Additionally, we considered the confounders c1, c2 and c3. Padme: And you included all of them in a single model, right? Padme: And you included all of them in a single model, right?

Psychologists following a third-variable control strategy that may be best described as "sequential."

2 months ago 101 8 5 3
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Build the Rail! Save the Snails! How to speed up the planning system without trashing the environment

New post out:

We have a guest post today from the excellent @dsquareddigest.bsky.social.

"Build the Rail! Save the snails!"

Or how we don't need to sacrifice the environment to speed up our mad planning processes.

(Free to read)

open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/b...

2 months ago 124 41 13 24
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The Bucket Stops Here UKRI’s new funding framework takes a stab at classifying budgets – but doesn’t yet govern research

I've written about the UKRI funding situation and the 'buckets' explainer, looking in detail at QR, STFC and Quantum. www.ersatzben.com/p/the-bucket...

2 months ago 18 12 3 4
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Why does regulation often feel so toothless? A sewage outfall pipe in the River Solway, Cumbria, with (probably) a regulator in the background. Photo by John Collins

Weekend plug for my new personal post: Why does regulation often feel so toothless?

Sometimes regulators are just useless, but more often the problem is that governments don’t give them the tools or the powers to deter bad behaviour

2 months ago 11 4 2 0
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Today we’re looking back at Episode 165: ‘Dark Star’ by the Grateful Dead.

Cocking in at 4.5 hours long, Andrew delves into the career of the American rock band - but also the historical and cultural context.

Listen on Spotify, Apple Podcasts and via the website: 500songs.com/podcast/epis...

3 months ago 38 10 3 8

A reminder to the news media: “conflicting accounts” is what you say BEFORE the incontrovertible video evidence appears. After that, your job is to ask why one side is lying, not to repeat the lie and pretend no one knows the truth.

2 months ago 47462 14277 521 597
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The rise of the answer machines Universities trained students to produce polished responses on demand. Then AI learnt the same trick. What now?

Brutal and excellent www.ft.com/content/6f84...

2 months ago 13 7 0 0
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The BBC coverage is absolutely terrible.

It leads on "sharply contested narratives"

It has a dramatic skew to the US government

It has posted the video but has failed to report on what it shows: it shows the US govt account is untrue

2 months ago 2996 947 183 207
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What a Long Strange Trump
It’s Been

Uncle Don’s hair has nary a touch of grey, but he and Epstein shared the women, shared the wine. And his “new” right-wing boogie? It’s a hand-me-down.

by Maureen Dowd

3 months ago 334 29 22 3

So this is sort of fascinating because on the one hand obviously the Roman imperial senate was a shadow of what, say, the Senate of the third and second centuries BC had been, but at the same time it was a pretty crucial component of imperial governance into the third century.

3 months ago 502 79 10 5

You can see some of these stereotypes - the simple, morally pure countryside vs. the morally compromised, inauthentic city - play out in Greek and Roman literature.

So this is a very old idea that recurs regularly.

3 months ago 1113 158 39 9
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Tell all the truth but tell it slant—
Success in Circuit lies
Too bright for our infirm Delight
The Truth's superb surprise

This paper finds poetry is a universal single shot jailbreak for LLMs. Systems built to stop prosaic attacks fail when the request is phrased in verse arxiv.org/abs/2511.15304

5 months ago 40 12 1 4
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Elon Musk Could 'Drink Piss Better Than Any Human in History,' Grok Says Grok has been reprogrammed to say Musk is better than everyone at everything, including blowjobs, piss drinking, playing quarterback, conquering Europe, etc.

Incredible headline.

5 months ago 7797 1583 238 224
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When asked, most people (72.4%) living near lynx in Norway say they LIKE living with lynx. Just 8.3% say they dislike lynx. In Scotland, where we're currently denied the opportunity to live near lynx, the majority of people WANT to see lynx reintroduced.

5 months ago 33 11 3 0

The automated problem factory!

5 months ago 109 23 10 2
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