FOREST (a) post-game: We'd win most of the time with that underlying data which shows how well we played #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

FOREST (a) post-game: Some nice central shot locations, and we crowded our box to deny them any clear-cut chances #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

FOREST (a) post-game: we did really well to keep the game tight away at a good side. Then created plenty as the game opened up #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

Data from Understat

CHELSEA (H) post-game: as you'd expect Chelsea win pretty much every time with those numbers #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

CHELSEA (H) post-game: shot map's equally depressing. Can't remember us having a chance as decent as that blue circle #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

CHELSEA (H) post-game: not much hidden in the expected numbers. We were terrible at both ends #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

Tonight's team comparison. I mean the shape is similar but they've been much better than us.

#WHUFC #WestHam #WHAFUL

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The Lopetegui line tells all. Did he actually do OK? Was he or the squad the biggest problem? Is there any hope for Potter

expectediron.substack.com/p/the-lopete...

#WestHam #WHUFC #Lopetegui #Moyes #Potter

Is our press really more intense than City's? They, of course, really like to keep hold of the ball #WHUFC #WestHam #MCIWHU

Attacking numbers have been on the slide recently. Defence had been improving slightly before Liverpool #WHUFC #WestHam

The 70/30 is starting to reflect the IRL table. Still a little worrying for us but more so for the bottom 3 #WHUFC #WestHam

Good as Liverpool are, this was pretty painful. Expected us to have at least created a bit more #WHUFC #WestHam

xG race chart for Southampton v West Ham

A fairly equal match on xG. We managed to take the best chance of the game. That ended up being the difference #WHUFC #WestHam #SouthamptonvWestHam

Leicester team styles comparison. They press with more intensity (who doesn't) and are more patient in attack. We've been better at creating chances though. Overall, 2 teams struggling so far this season #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

Heatmap has 1-0 or 2-1 to Leicester more likely than any West Ham win but we overcame similar predictions v Newcastle last week #WHUFC #WestHam #COYI

My own model has Leicester as decent favourites this eve #whufc #westham #COYI

Not moved much in the square of stress this week, following Arsenal but the mid table sides have pulled away a little. Need to distance ourselves from the strugglers this week #westham #whufc #COYI

Newcastle review: rode our luck a little first half, got a goal and improved second half #whufc #westham

Notes: Prediction stuff from my own model and all data from FBRef

Newcastle prediction: decent outside chance of some sort of positive result but big improvement needed #whufc #westham

Newcastle preview: score prediction heatmap from my own model gives a noticeable advantage to Newcastle but we're not complete outsiders #whufc #westham

Newcastle preview: we've started to back into the bottom group while Newcastle firmly in the mid table group #whufc #westham

Newcastle preview: rolling average xG performance fallen off a cliff. Need a big improvement in defence and attack this eve #whufc #westham