Fun with arbitrary endpoints: the Marlins have been winning a bunch of baseball games over a pretty big sample
Posts by Ely Sussman
Fun conversation! Thanks for having me.
Recent history tells us that the Miami Marlins are difficult to predict, but that won't stop us from trying. Welcome to a new season of Prediction Time.
Celebrating a really cool milestone today 🥲
Fish On First is available wherever you get your pods.
After video review, the Marlins Rule 5 draft guys look a bit more promising than their scary walk rates would suggest
2020 MLB season stats will forever be hilarious
Shohei Ohtani: 80 wRC+
Vladimir Guerrero: 110 wRC+
Miguel Rojas: 140 wRC+
Jose Iglesias: 160 wRC+
Within here, I remind you that “finalists” for annual MLB awards are not actually finalists.
The winners are already decided. They get grouped with 2 guys who finished closest to them just to generate more widespread interest (and the gimmick works!).
2025 Nolan Arenado vs. 2025 Eric Wagaman stats comparison
I somehow fell into this rabbit hole
I would recommend a six-year, $49 million extension between Jakob Marsee and the Marlins that includes club options for the 2032 and 2033 seasons
Jakob Marsee is the MLB leader in wins above replacement since debuting on August 1 with 1.6 fWAR.
For some context, Jesús Sánchez (solid player!) has never reached 1.6 fWAR in any single SEASON of his career.
The last box for Robby Snelling to check in his development is starting on 4 days’ rest.
If his next outing comes on Tuesday (and goes well), then we're officially on call-up watch.
2023 Luis Arraez had 3.4 fWAR in 147 games. Valuable, unforgettable season!
2025 Kyle Stowers already has 3.3 fWAR in 92 games. Running out of adjectives to describe how special he's been.
The “50” up top for Agustín Ramírez’s uniform number and the license plate is his debut date.
Absolutely crushed the subtle details!
🚍 aboutthefans.com/products/the...
We’ve got a messy NL Rookie of the Year race this year.
Agustín Ramírez is barely above replacement level, yet has a clear path to win. Chad Patrick has a sneaky convincing combo of quality and quantity.
They’ll face each other tomorrow.
Great job, AI slop
The Marlins mishandled Graham Pauley for more than a month, having him warm the bench in the majors instead of play regularly in Triple-A.
Finally corrected that.
And Jared Serna trying to snap a 38-game homerless streak
Thanks to the guys for helping out with the intro 🫡
Hour-long streams 2x per week in advance of every Marlins series opener: www.youtube.com/@FishOnFirst...
Seems very obvious to me despite being unconventional, so I'm fully anticipating that they do something different next week to make me look silly
Here if you need me!
Nothing against Liam Hicks, but Agustín Ramírez has matched his extra-base hit total for the season in a single series.
Biggest smile I’ve seen on Max Meyer’s face during his 5 years in the Marlins organization
Liam Hicks quietly caught each of the last 6(!) days for the Marlins.
I feel quite confident in predicting that Agustín Ramírez is starting behind the plate tonight in his major league debut.
I’m on vacation. Leave me alone.
But also listen to Hittin’ Season with @johnstolnis.bsky.social and my interviews with @realely.bsky.social about the 2025 Marlins’ pretty okay start and author Sam Zygner about the minor league Marlins of old: open.spotify.com/episode/46ZV...