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Posts by Danbischof

But we can easily add this to the evidem website! Will do.

1 day ago 2 0 0 0
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It's a new semester in Münster and that means a new start to our speaker series! We have teamed up with @thiloalbers.bsky.social + Andreas Stegmann to organize next year's talks. We are so excited to kick off w @alexjabbour.bsky.social next week 🎉

@danbischof.bsky.social @mwegemann.bsky.social

1 day ago 12 2 1 0

Agree. This increases the lottery effect of the results and, in essence, adds more Matthew effect to it.

4 days ago 4 1 1 0
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Three 2-year Postdoctoral positions at Aarhus University: Projects on personality cults and strategic communication in autocracies - Vacancy at Aarhus University Vacancy at Department of Political Science, Aarhus University

@au.dk is hiring 3 postdocs (2 yrs) on personality cults & strategic communication in autocracies, led by Jakob Tolstrup & Alexander Baturo. They're looking for profiles with text-as-data, survey experiments and/or Chinese politics experience. Start fall 2026. Looks like a great opportunity!

1 week ago 27 36 0 0
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Job Vacancies - Universität Bremen Offene Stellen

I am looking for a postdoc to join my team at the University of Bremen. 5-year-contract, top-up to 100% possible for most of the contract period.

Apply by 04 May 2026.

If you have questions about the position, send me an email!

www.uni-bremen.de/en/universit...

1 week ago 68 72 0 5

This is similar to what we find in our recent study on which countries people want their government to learn from. China ranks in the middle but still comes out ahead of the United States, pointing to shifting perceptions of the two powers.

1 week ago 25 11 0 0

🌟 New publication 🌟

Very happy that our paper “When Legislators Do Not Differentiate: A Field Experiment on British MPs' Responses to Constituent Policy Queries” has been accepted at the British Journal of Political Science!

Current link here: osf.io/preprints/os...
Short thread below 👇

1 week ago 14 4 1 0
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Job vacancy announcement for a postdoctoral position at the University of Vienna Department of Government, starting August/September 2026. Research focus includes political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields. Application deadline: 29 April 2026. Full details are also available through the shared link.

Job vacancy announcement for a postdoctoral position at the University of Vienna Department of Government, starting August/September 2026. Research focus includes political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields. Application deadline: 29 April 2026. Full details are also available through the shared link.

🚨 Job Alert 🚨

We have an opening for a 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝘁𝗱𝗼𝗰 𝗣𝗼𝘀𝗶𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻 @stawi-univie.bsky.social starting Aug/Sep 2026!

Focus: political representation, party competition, political institutions, political economy, political behavior, or related fields

📅Apply by 29 April 2026

jobs.univie.ac.at/job/Universi...

1 week ago 71 65 0 4

Following up on this:
if audit aim to recruit "real" people as confederates. Several reasons why you should aim to do exactly that are outlined in these papers of ours.

1 week ago 7 1 0 0

Thx Sara. Took us a while…

1 week ago 2 0 1 0

together with: @vchengm.bsky.social @gidoncohen.bsky.social Sara Cohen @florianfoos.bsky.social @pmkuhn.bsky.social Kyriaki Nanou Nick Vivyan & Neil Visalvanich

1 week ago 3 0 0 0
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Very grateful to my coauthors, the reviewers, and everyone who helped improve the paper along the way. We worked quite a long while on this. I'm specifically happy to publish yet another null!

1 week ago 6 0 1 0

📢 Bottom line:
Across nine salient issues during the Brexit negotiations, British MPs do not seem to systematically differentiate between congruent and incongruent constituents.

That is good news for representative democracy. [https://osf.io/preprints/osf/z8ycg_v2]

1 week ago 2 0 1 0

👀 In exploratory analysis, MPs from more Leave constituencies appear less likely to respond to policy queries, controlling for partisanship.

Not causal, but an interesting pattern to build on.

1 week ago 1 0 1 0

🔥 And that is especially striking in the Brexit context.

If anything, the high salience of Brexit should have made strategic differentiation more likely, not less.

But we still do not see it.

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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🗣️ We also find little evidence that MPs change the balance between 'my position' and 'the party position' depending on congruence.

Less tailoring. Less strategic messaging. More routine communication.

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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📭 But that is not what we find.

We see little evidence that MPs are more likely to send substantive replies when constituents agree with their party's stance.

1 week ago 2 0 1 0

🎯 We expected strategic differentiation.

MPs might reply more to constituents whose views matched their party.

And they might stress their own position more when voters were congruent with the party line.

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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🎲 Constituents first stated their policy positions in an online survey. In the survey we then randomly assigned one of eight pre-written email templates and sent the approved message to their MP.

The key treatment: was the position aligned with the MP party leadership's stance, or not?

1 week ago 2 0 1 0
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🧪 Between Nov 2018 and July 2019, during the Brexit negotiations, real constituents sent real policy queries to MPs across 9 salient issues tied to Westminster's Brexit debates.

We then recorded MPs' replies to these queries.

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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🚨 New paper accepted at the @bjpols.bsky.social: we were in the field while Brexit dominated British politics.

Do MPs respond differently when constituents disagree with the party line?

What we find surprised us: a null!

url: osf.io/preprints/os...

1 week ago 66 26 2 3

If have ideas what else we can add to make this more useful, or if we missed anything -- please let us know here or send a direct message.

2 weeks ago 5 1 0 0
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🚨 Just shipped a major update to GERDA, the German Election Database.

- State elections update: new years + mail-in
- 3 new election types: Mayoral, County, European
- Municipal elections: 1984-2025
- Meinungsbild public opinion
- New website & features

german-elections.com

2 weeks ago 115 36 3 5

Huge WTF moment for me. 🐐

2 weeks ago 2 0 1 0
Magyar on stage with a huge Hungarian flag

Magyar on stage with a huge Hungarian flag

T-14 days until the Hungarian election. 🇭🇺🗳️

In this thread, I discuss Magyar's prospects of success in restoring (liberal) democracy (if he wins) and will tell you he's not the saviour you might think he is (but that he’s still good enough for now). 🧵 1/

3 weeks ago 317 127 10 31

I see. In your post. Question is if measured accordingly; my hunch is decline in twfe is driven by ppl selling as DiD.

3 weeks ago 3 0 1 0

But DiD is two way FE.

3 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

Just wanted to say: you can read whatever you want in the data. Most unhappy Finns already have killed themselves in the 90s...

4 weeks ago 2 1 1 0

Zollernalb sieht man selbst im NSDAP vote share, wenn ich mich richtig erinnere. Pforzheim und Russlanddeutsche gibts einiges journalistisches Material. Heilbronn weiss ich wie gesagt nix zu, das schon ein schwarzer Fleck für mich als Urschwabe aus Region Mössingen/Tübingen/Reutlingen.

4 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Klingt erstmal nicht unplausibel. Vor allem 2 und 3 würde ich auch so lesen, anekdotisch. Bei 1 bin ich überfragt. Das ist deine Ecke oder @tobirommel.bsky.social ?

4 weeks ago 0 0 2 0