Why Russia is the big winner from the US-Iran war - US sanctions waivers boost Russia's oil sales
p.dw.com/p/5CRdv
#energysky
Posts by Robin Mills
As the Revolutionary Guards close the Strait *again*, call it what it is: the War of Hormuz www.agbi.com/opinion/oil-... #energysky
www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/energy-disru... #energysky
@columbiauenergy.bsky.social @qamarenergy.bsky.social
GCC countries may scale back energy investment in the region because of priorities at home, including defense, postwar repair, and economic recovery. /5
Regional political barriers, commercial fragmentation, and Europe’s environmental goals mean the East Mediterranean is unlikely to emerge as a major alternative gas supplier to Europe. /4
The war may delay or deter new offshore exploration in Israel and Lebanon, while encouraging it in Egypt and Cyprus. /3
Egypt and Jordan have become heavily dependent on imports of gas from Israel and are facing significant costs and obstacles to procuring alternative supplies, though the growth of renewables in the region will gradually reduce this dependence. /2
The Iran war has disrupted Eastern Mediterranean gas production, exports, and development, threatened regional energy infrastructure, and increased political and investment uncertainty. /1
The best way to make this energy crisis a short one is to plan for it to be a long one @energyconnects_
- Protect low-income consumers
- Don't subsidise energy
- Don't ban fuel exports
- Boost EVs, public transport, renewables, nuclear restarts
- Step up domestic E&P & storage
Global gas industry needs to regroup and rethink its future, in and after the war www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com
Is the Iran ceasefire actually holding? My @columbiauenergy.bsky.social colleagues @professorkaren.bsky.social @richardmnephew.bsky.social and I make sense of a fast-moving situation—contested terms, a strait under Iranian control, and energy markets under serious strain #energysky
Five Weeks of Conflict with Iran: Trajectories, Risks, and Global Implications www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/events/five-... Thursday 9 April 11-12 EDT - Register here @columbiauenergy.bsky.social
Strait of Hormuz is America's decisive moment – and Washington's blind spot www.thenationalnews.com/business/202... #energysky @thenationalnews.com
We also explore the long-term threat to the GCC’s economic diversification models and the potential multi-year recovery timeline for regional LNG production. #energysky
www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/iran-conflic...
We discuss the reality of living under frequent drone and missile alerts, the “tit-for-tat” targeting of industrial infrastructure, and what it would take to reopen the Gulf.
Image of the city of Tehran with mountains in the background and an Iranian flag flying over it
In this episode of the Iran Conflict Brief with @columbiauenergy.bsky.social , I speak with host Daniel Sternoff to provide a view from the ground in Dubai.
Prices at the pump? UK running out of fuel? What should the government and the public do in the face of the US-Israel/Iran energy crisis?
www.channel4.com/news/how-ira... @channel4news.bsky.social #energysky
Can the US "take the oil" from Iran? Does Kharg Island matter? And what can the GCC do about developing bypass pipelines? I discuss with @cnn.com #energysky video.snapstream.net/Play/3zW0B8Y...
Plenty of analysis of the Gulf's two bypass pipelines - but as Hormuz remains near-shut, what more can the GCC do to avoid the Strait and narrow? www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
Why the US being a net exporter of oil won't protect Americans from price shocks:
- Oil traded on global market
- Low fuel taxes means rise in price of oil has bigger relative impact at the pump
- Average American very reliant on oil: minimal public transport, fuel-inefficient vehicles, few EVs
How the Iran war is turning America's energy dominance into a mirage www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene... @thenationalnews.com #energysky
"Nothing comes close to this" in historic energy shocks
@channel4news.bsky.social @qamarenergy.bsky.social
www.channel4.com/news/oil-cri...
Lots of attention on the GCC - but as drones hit the Majnoon field, what does the war mean for Iraq? A very dangerous time ahead
www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/us-israeli-a... @columbiauenergy.bsky.social #energysky
“The only thing prohibiting transit in the Strait [of Hormuz] right now is Iran shooting at shipping. It is open for transit should Iran not do that.”
www.thenationalnews.com/business/ene...
@thenationalnews.com #energysky
It's not just oil and gas.
What other crucial commodities are under threat from the blockage of the Strait of Hormuz?
Fertilisers, aluminium, plastics, helium and more.
www.energypolicy.columbia.edu/us-israeli-a...
@columbiauenergy.bsky.social
#energysky
• How LNG supply disruptions could impact Europe and Asia
• The hidden risks to fertilisers, food security, and global inflation
• Whether strategic petroleum reserves can stabilise markets
youtu.be/D2sHNuVqZ6Q?...
#energysky
I speak to Sally Mousa @forbes.com about what happens if shipping through the Strait of Hormuz is disrupted — and how markets, governments, and investors might respond
• Why the Strait of Hormuz is the world’s most important energy corridor
• Whether oil prices could surge toward $150 per barrel
The Gulf is a key supplier of commodities such as petrochemicals, plastics, aluminum, ethanol, and fertilizers. None of these things are commodities that can be replaced very easily and they’re all critical. @robinmills.bsky.social agsi.org/events/shock...
Correction on this since I'm seeing it a lot: fertilisers from Oman, about 1/4 of GCC fertiliser exports, don't go through Hormuz. It's certainly serious, but not quite as much as this suggests.