Thanks for linking my paper! @fusaroli.eurosky.social you might also be interested in the RQ since I see you're into cognitive Bayesian modelling :D
Btw if interested in the elicitation method, thereβs a dedicated paper + materials + demo (desktop works best) here: pgonzalezfernandez.com/Tools/
Posts by Pedro Gonzalez-Fernandez
Hey #econsky!
If you were to play a Prisoner's Dilemma with me, would you defect or cooperate?
To be honest, I don't know you will do... but our new paper (with @esteelu.bsky.social and H.Normann) suggests that an LLM might π
π¨Interested? Read more here papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
I'm not sure how common the practice is, but I do remember once receiving a 2-euro coin in an envelope to complete an Austrian demographic survey. To be fair, I did end up filling out a questionnaire I would have otherwise always ignored.
π¨ New Paper Drop!
How do economic agents gather data when they know theyβll face institutional constraints?
We study how regulation shapes experiments, evidence & information flows.
A bit of theory, a lot of real-world relevance.
π Read it here: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....
Hi Stephanie, can I be added too? Thanks!
Very happy with the work we made, and even happier now that it is available to everyone! π₯³
In my recent paper "Belief Bias Identification" I build a theoretical model to separately identify a notable set of belief updating biases. To test this model in the lab, I use this tool to measure belief distributions. What do I find? What biases come out on top? π€
Paper: arxiv.org/pdf/2404.09297
@boschrosa.bsky.social, @thomasmeissner.bsky.social and I have just made our parametric belief elicitation available to everyone! π
In our paper we used this tool to elicit inflation expectations but... did you know you could also use it for lab experiments? π΄π΅
Short thread below π
π’ Our belief elicitation tool is now available for oTree and Qualtrics! π
It lets you elicit parametric belief distributions with just two sliders.
π Try it out or download here: tmeissner.com/tools
Big thanks to my coauthors @pgonzalezfernandez.bsky.social and @boschrosa.bsky.social
#econsky