Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves
Global warming of ‘just’ 1°C does not necessarily sound like a problem. But in the UK, the hottest summer days are warming much faster than typical summer days, changing our experience of heatwaves
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Posts by Ed Hawkins
Thoughts, but not strong conclusions:
1) It's real. Scotland is warming less overall and the mountains warming even less in summer (for some unknown reason)
2) It's an observational issue due to (a) lack of observations, or (b) incomplete information in the gridding process to higher elevations
3) ?
Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves
Global warming of ‘just’ 1°C does not necessarily sound like a problem. But in the UK, the hottest summer days are warming much faster than typical summer days, changing our experience of heatwaves
rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....
Ed Hawkins sitting on a Formula E racecar which sports the warming stripes on the rear wing
Formula E is inspiring EV technology developments which will benefit all of us, and the Envision team have adopted the climate stripes on their car to start more climate conversations
Read about why this partnership is important: thereadingreporter.substack.com/p/the-race-t...
Ed Hawkins sitting on a Formula E racecar which sports the warming stripes on the rear wing
Formula E is inspiring EV technology developments which will benefit all of us, and the Envision team have adopted the climate stripes on their car to start more climate conversations
Read about why this partnership is important: thereadingreporter.substack.com/p/the-race-t...
We never looked at that period in AR5. In AR6 it was estimated there was an extra 0.1°C anthropogenic warming before 1850-1900. And that 1986-2005 (or 1981-2010) was 0.7°C above 1850-1900.
Agree - Box 9.2 missed the observational biases issue & should have included other data sources. But, Figure 11.25 did include more datasets and all were below the 5-95% model range for 2011 & 2012. It would not have changed that particular assessment to ignore HadCRUT4.
Summary: if we were making the 2013 IPCC AR5 near-term warming assessment again, with access to the improved historical observational datasets that are now available up to 2012, the assessment would have been 0.1°C higher.
How confident should we be in a prediction of El Niño?
By Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)
www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...
A message from Tuna Acisu asking for help maintaining cherry blossom record in Kyoto Japan.
A figure showing the cherry tree record since 812 from world in data.
A 1200+ year climate record is at risk. Do you know know anyone in Japan who could help? See below.
I have made the updated version with 2025 but not put it online yet. I will do so soon. This post includes 2022: climatelabbook.substack.com/p/comparing-...
Feels like summer... on 8th April! (Most of) The UK is hot right now... istheukhotrightnow.com
@edhawkins.org
NASA astronaut and Artemis II Commander Reid Wiseman peers out of one of the Orion spacecraft's main cabin windows, looking back at Earth, as the crew travels towards the Moon.
I *really* like this one. Photos — real photos — of the Earth are powerful because we know we’re sharing the view of another human being.
www.flickr.com/photos/nasa2...
🚀🌏
#earth #NASA #artemisii
NASA's Blue Marble picture of Earth, from 1972
It's only worth going back to the Moon if it makes us look properly again at Earth, and appreciate how beautiful, precious and fragile what we have here is. The most famous images from Apollo aren't about the Moon - they're pictures of Earth. We need to stop taking our home for granted.
If you're working in the climate science space, please sign and share this open letter calling out the insanity of exploiting more oil & gas when we need to eradicate dangerous fossil fuels.
Letter here: docs.google.com/document/d/1...
Sign here: forms.gle/DexNszLJjaRe...
Pls share far & wide!
Any climate scientists want to sign a letter to UK political party leaders about whether we should extract more oil & gas from the North Sea?
Any climate scientists want to sign a letter to UK political party leaders about whether we should extract more oil & gas from the North Sea?
Yes!
There is a stage play which the film has adapted
Never has a weather forecast been more important than for D-Day in June 1944.
A major new film to be released in September tells the story of how it happened.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gQw...
screenshot of a resignation letter expressing sadness at leaving NASA
My resignation letter
I just resigned from NASA. It breaks my heart to leave, but I’ve become convinced the best path forward is to do the best science I can, and that can’t be here anymore. I’m still in love with the promise of those four magic letters. Ad astra per aspera, and remember: Earth is the only good planet.
Thanks - the train looks great!
Great to see - thanks! Is there anything online about the train company doing this?
Happy 100th birthday to the University of Reading!
Is there a cake?
Great to see this - well done to everyone involved!
Yes, others like @wimthiery.eu, @derrickmuheki.bsky.social and @simonlewis.bsky.social are also making progress with data for the Congo.
Muheki et al. shows one way to rescue more historical data (with the follow-up data paper for DRC nearly finished): egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...