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Posts by Ed Hawkins

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Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves Communicating how a global warming of ‘just’ 1°C affects people is challenging. The hottest UK summer days have warmed more than 3 times faster than the rate of global warming in the past century, ca...

Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves

Global warming of ‘just’ 1°C does not necessarily sound like a problem. But in the UK, the hottest summer days are warming much faster than typical summer days, changing our experience of heatwaves

rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

2 days ago 109 54 7 1

Thoughts, but not strong conclusions:
1) It's real. Scotland is warming less overall and the mountains warming even less in summer (for some unknown reason)
2) It's an observational issue due to (a) lack of observations, or (b) incomplete information in the gridding process to higher elevations
3) ?

2 days ago 4 0 1 0
Preview
Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves Communicating how a global warming of ‘just’ 1°C affects people is challenging. The hottest UK summer days have warmed more than 3 times faster than the rate of global warming in the past century, ca...

Communicating changes in the intensity of UK heatwaves

Global warming of ‘just’ 1°C does not necessarily sound like a problem. But in the UK, the hottest summer days are warming much faster than typical summer days, changing our experience of heatwaves

rmets.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10....

2 days ago 109 54 7 1
Ed Hawkins sitting on a Formula E racecar which sports the warming stripes on the rear wing

Ed Hawkins sitting on a Formula E racecar which sports the warming stripes on the rear wing

Formula E is inspiring EV technology developments which will benefit all of us, and the Envision team have adopted the climate stripes on their car to start more climate conversations

Read about why this partnership is important: thereadingreporter.substack.com/p/the-race-t...

4 days ago 45 10 2 0
Ed Hawkins sitting on a Formula E racecar which sports the warming stripes on the rear wing

Ed Hawkins sitting on a Formula E racecar which sports the warming stripes on the rear wing

Formula E is inspiring EV technology developments which will benefit all of us, and the Envision team have adopted the climate stripes on their car to start more climate conversations

Read about why this partnership is important: thereadingreporter.substack.com/p/the-race-t...

4 days ago 45 10 2 0
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After 1,200 years, cherry blossom record to live on despite Japanese scientist’s death Prof Yasuyuki Aono’s meticulous work charted shifting bloom dates as a marker of climate change

I’m really, really pleased that this crucial work will continue www.theguardian.com/world/2026/a...

4 days ago 87 29 2 0

We never looked at that period in AR5. In AR6 it was estimated there was an extra 0.1°C anthropogenic warming before 1850-1900. And that 1986-2005 (or 1981-2010) was 0.7°C above 1850-1900.

4 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Revisiting the near-term projection from IPCC AR5 A more technical diversion back to 2013

Revisiting the near-term projection from IPCC AR5

climatelabbook.substack.com/p/revisiting...

5 days ago 48 20 6 1
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Agree - Box 9.2 missed the observational biases issue & should have included other data sources. But, Figure 11.25 did include more datasets and all were below the 5-95% model range for 2011 & 2012. It would not have changed that particular assessment to ignore HadCRUT4.

5 days ago 5 0 0 0

Summary: if we were making the 2013 IPCC AR5 near-term warming assessment again, with access to the improved historical observational datasets that are now available up to 2012, the assessment would have been 0.1°C higher.

5 days ago 14 5 0 0
Preview
Revisiting the near-term projection from IPCC AR5 A more technical diversion back to 2013

Revisiting the near-term projection from IPCC AR5

climatelabbook.substack.com/p/revisiting...

5 days ago 48 20 6 1
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How confident should we be in a prediction of El Niño? Seasonal forecasts are fuelling headlines about El Niño, but uncertainty remains. This blog explains what the signals mean, where confidence is growing, and why caution is still essential.

How confident should we be in a prediction of El Niño?
By Tim Stockdale (ECMWF)

www.ecmwf.int/en/about/med...

6 days ago 33 11 0 0
A message from Tuna Acisu asking for help maintaining cherry blossom record in Kyoto Japan.

A message from Tuna Acisu asking for help maintaining cherry blossom record in Kyoto Japan.

A figure showing the cherry tree record since 812 from world in data.

A figure showing the cherry tree record since 812 from world in data.

A 1200+ year climate record is at risk. Do you know know anyone in Japan who could help? See below.

1 week ago 424 301 8 19

I have made the updated version with 2025 but not put it online yet. I will do so soon. This post includes 2022: climatelabbook.substack.com/p/comparing-...

1 week ago 3 0 1 0
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Feels like summer... on 8th April! (Most of) The UK is hot right now... istheukhotrightnow.com

@edhawkins.org

1 week ago 20 10 0 1
NASA astronaut and Artemis II Commander Reid Wiseman peers out of one of the Orion spacecraft's main cabin windows, looking back at Earth, as the crew travels towards the Moon.

NASA astronaut and Artemis II Commander Reid Wiseman peers out of one of the Orion spacecraft's main cabin windows, looking back at Earth, as the crew travels towards the Moon.

I *really* like this one. Photos — real photos — of the Earth are powerful because we know we’re sharing the view of another human being.

www.flickr.com/photos/nasa2...

🚀🌏

#earth #NASA #artemisii

2 weeks ago 119 26 1 1
NASA's Blue Marble picture of Earth, from 1972

NASA's Blue Marble picture of Earth, from 1972

It's only worth going back to the Moon if it makes us look properly again at Earth, and appreciate how beautiful, precious and fragile what we have here is. The most famous images from Apollo aren't about the Moon - they're pictures of Earth. We need to stop taking our home for granted.

2 weeks ago 2855 753 63 30
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If you're working in the climate science space, please sign and share this open letter calling out the insanity of exploiting more oil & gas when we need to eradicate dangerous fossil fuels.

Letter here: docs.google.com/document/d/1...

Sign here: forms.gle/DexNszLJjaRe...

Pls share far & wide!

2 weeks ago 39 28 1 0

Any climate scientists want to sign a letter to UK political party leaders about whether we should extract more oil & gas from the North Sea?

2 weeks ago 53 24 0 0

Any climate scientists want to sign a letter to UK political party leaders about whether we should extract more oil & gas from the North Sea?

2 weeks ago 53 24 0 0

Yes!

3 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

There is a stage play which the film has adapted

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
PRESSURE | Official International Trailer | STUDIOCANAL
PRESSURE | Official International Trailer | STUDIOCANAL YouTube video by STUDIOCANAL

Never has a weather forecast been more important than for D-Day in June 1944.

A major new film to be released in September tells the story of how it happened.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=_gQw...

3 weeks ago 69 16 3 2
screenshot of a resignation letter expressing sadness at leaving NASA

screenshot of a resignation letter expressing sadness at leaving NASA

My resignation letter

3 weeks ago 3929 1017 80 85
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I just resigned from NASA. It breaks my heart to leave, but I’ve become convinced the best path forward is to do the best science I can, and that can’t be here anymore. I’m still in love with the promise of those four magic letters. Ad astra per aspera, and remember: Earth is the only good planet.

3 weeks ago 24177 3849 619 206

Thanks - the train looks great!

4 weeks ago 1 0 1 0

Great to see - thanks! Is there anything online about the train company doing this?

4 weeks ago 2 2 1 0

Happy 100th birthday to the University of Reading!

Is there a cake?

1 month ago 20 1 1 0

Great to see this - well done to everyone involved!

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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MeteoSaver v1.0: a machine-learning based software for the transcription of historical weather data Abstract. Archives of observed weather data present unique opportunities for scientists to obtain long time series of the historical climate for many regions of the world. Unfortunately, most of these...

Yes, others like @wimthiery.eu, @derrickmuheki.bsky.social and @simonlewis.bsky.social are also making progress with data for the Congo.

Muheki et al. shows one way to rescue more historical data (with the follow-up data paper for DRC nearly finished): egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/20...

1 month ago 4 0 1 0