few things more frightening than AMOC collapsing
Posts by Catherine Fraser
NEW from @rooseveltinstitute.org:
π₯Major report from @betonyjones.bsky.social
@joepeck.co.uk on how Biden pursued pro-labor clean energy policy.
π₯Me πon why this matters, and what a new World Bank about-face on industrial policy tells us about this era
rooseveltinstitute.org/blog/what-th...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Half of Voters Want Trump Removed From Office for Iran Threat. Description: On April 7, President Trump made the following statement about Iran: "A whole civilization will die tonight, never to be brought back again." Do you think President Trump should or should not be removed from office for this statement? All likely voters β President Trump should be removed from office: 50%, Don't know: 4%, President Trump should not be removed from office: 45% Democrat β President Trump should be removed from office: 84%, Don't know: 4%, President Trump should not be removed from office: 11% Independent / Third party β President Trump should be removed from office: 61%, Don't know: 7%, President Trump should not be removed from office: 32% Republican β President Trump should be removed from office: 11%, Don't know: 3%, President Trump should not be removed from office: 86% April 9β14, 2026 survey of 1,301 U.S. likely voters.
Half of voters, including 61% of Independents, support removing President Trump from office due to his threat to Iran that βa whole civilization will die tonight.β
Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Increasingly Disapprove of Trump's Handling of Iran. Description: Do you approve or disapprove of how Donald Trump is handling each of the following issues? β The conflict with Iran Democrat β Decreased, with the highest response reported on Mar 13, 2026 (-59%) and the lowest response recorded on Apr 14, 2026 (-71%). Independent / Third party β Decreased, with the highest response reported on Mar 13, 2026 (-9%) and the lowest response recorded on Apr 14, 2026 (-43%). Republican β Increased, with the highest response reported on Apr 14, 2026 (57%) and the lowest response recorded on Mar 13, 2026 (43%). 2 surveys of 2,560 U.S. likely voters, conducted March 13βApril 14, 2026.
NEW: In mid-March, 49% of Independent voters disapproved of Trump's handling of the conflict with Iran.
Today, that disapproval has risen to 70%.
Our strategic co-directors @aldasky.bsky.social and @triofrancos.bsky.social detailed Green Economic Populism in this @nytimes.com op-ed. (6/10)
70% of voters think that economic policy can lower costs while directly reducing emissions.
55% of voters say they want elected officials to address the climate crisis and rising cost of living through coordinated policies.
Nationally, polling by @dataforprogress.org shows that the majority of voters want their elected officials to address the climate and cost of living crises togetherβand they believe it is possible. (4/10)
π¨π¨ Today, weβre launching βStop Greed Build Green,β a strategic framework and agenda to confront the affordability crisis and the climate crisis together by putting working people in charge of the economy and the climate transition. (1/10)
EXCLUSIVE POLL: Michiganβs Dem Senate Race Is Wide Open, AIPAC Is Toxic, Hasan Piker Is Not
The Michigan Senate primary is effectively a tie, and Democratic voters are more worried about AIPAC than Hasan Piker.
Read today's 'First Draft' by @andrewperez.bsky.social:
zeteo.com/p/exclusive-...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Trust Vaccines and Medical Professionals Over Health Influencers and Trump Officials. Description: How much do you trust each of the following, if at all? Nurses β Trust: 91%, Don't trust: 7% Your personal or family doctor <strong>[SPLIT 3B]</strong> β Trust: 90%, Don't trust: 6% Doctors <strong>[SPLIT 3A]</strong> β Trust: 87%, Don't trust: 12% Scientists <strong>[SPLIT 2A]</strong> β Trust: 78%, Don't trust: 17% Medical researchers at major universities <strong>[SPLIT 2B]</strong> β Trust: 76%, Don't trust: 17% Childhood vaccines <strong>[SPLIT 1B]</strong> β Trust: 74%, Don't trust: 21% Vaccines in general β Trust: 70%, Don't trust: 27% The Food and Drug Administration (FDA) β Trust: 62%, Don't trust: 33% The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) β Trust: 62%, Don't trust: 33% The U.S. Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) β Trust: 59%, Don't trust: 34% World Health Organization (WHO) β Trust: 57%, Don't trust: 33% COVID-19 vaccines <strong>[SPLIT 1A]</strong> β Trust: 54%, Don't trust: 42% Large pharmaceutical companies (such as Eli Lilly, Johnson & Johnson, or Pfizer) β Trust: 48%, Don't trust: 46% Donald Trump β Trust: 43%, Don't trust: 56% Robert F. Kennedy Jr. β Trust: 40%, Don't trust: 48% Artificial intelligence (AI) tools for medical information β Trust: 37%, Don't trust: 55% Mehmet Oz, also known as Dr. Oz β Trust: 36%, Don't trust: 47% Mike Tyson β Trust: 30%, Don't trust: 40% Podcasts or health influencers on social media β Trust: 29%, Don't trust: 58% March 5β12, 2026 survey of 2,350 U.S. likely voters.
Voters express high trust in nurses (92%), their personal or family doctor (90%), and doctors in general (86%).
A minority of voters say they trust RFK Jr. (40%), Dr. Oz (36%), or βpodcasters or health influencers on social mediaβ (29%).
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/4/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Few Voters Identify With the MAHA Movement, Even Among Republicans. Description: Which of the following best describes your relationship to the "Make America Healthy Again" (MAHA) movement? Response Options: A) I consider myself part of the MAHA movement B) I support many of its goals but don't consider myself part of the movement C) I do not support the MAHA movement D) Not sure All likely voters β 14% chose A, 39% chose B, 34% chose C, 14% chose D Democrat β 3% chose A, 26% chose B, 56% chose C, 15% chose D Independent / Third party β 7% chose A, 41% chose B, 35% chose C, 17% chose D Republican β 29% chose A, 50% chose B, 12% chose C, 10% chose D Swing district β 13% chose A, 40% chose B, 33% chose C, 14% chose D March 5β12, 2026 survey of 2,350 U.S. likely voters.
NEW with @314action.bsky.social:
Support for "Make America Healthy Again" is soft, with only 14% of voters identifying with the MAHA movement.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2026/4/...
Remarkably, in this Fox poll only 25% of independents approve of Trump's performance and only 28% of them support the war.
Transcript of this discussion with @rodonnell.bsky.social of @dataforprogress.org is here:
newrepublic.com/article/2082...
In a general election between Republicans and Democrats with identical views about prioritizing support for Israel, Republicans win. Democrats who shift to saying they will reduce support for Israel win by double-digits. In a race between a Democrat and Republican who both prioritize support for Israel identically, the Republican wins by 4 points. 10% of Democratic voters say they would sit out such an election and just 3% of Republicans would vote for the Democrat. In a split test, a Democratic candidate who says they would reduce support for Israel wins by 11 points (52-41) over a Republican candidate who prioritizes support for Israel - a 15-point jump for the Democrat. Only 1% of Democrats say they would sit out such an election and 15% of Republican voters say they would support the Democrat.
In a general election between Republicans and Democrats with identical views about prioritizing support for Israel, Republicans win. Democrats who shift to saying they will reduce support for Israel win by double-digits. In a race between a Democrat and Republican who both prioritize support for Israel identically, the Republican wins by 4 points. 10% of Democratic voters say they would sit out such an election and just 3% of Republicans would vote for the Democrat. In a split test, a Democratic candidate who says they would reduce support for Israel wins by 11 points (52-41) over a Republican candidate who prioritizes support for Israel - a 15-point jump for the Democrat. Only 1% of Democrats say they would sit out such an election and 15% of Republican voters say they would support the Democrat.
In a general election between a Republican and Democrat with identical views about prioritizing support for Israel, Republicans win by 4.
Democrats who say they are willing to reduce support for Israel win by 11 - a 15-point jump.
The poll found that a plurality of Americans (43%) think Israel has too much influence over US foreign policy, including 59% of Democrats and 25% of Republicans.
The poll found that a plurality of Americans (43%) think Israel has too much influence over US foreign policy, including 59% of Democrats and 25% of Republicans.
A majority of voters oppose Trump's strikes on Iran and support war powers resolutions in Congress.
A Majority Of Voters Believe War With Iran Is For Israel's Benefit Over America's
A poll released on March 19th by IMEUPP and Demand Progress, and conducted by DFP, found 56% of voters believe war with Iran is for Israel's benefit over America's while just 29% say it is for America's benefit more.
NEW POLL: 56% of voters say Trump's war against Iran benefits Israel over the US. Just 29% believe the US benefits more.
Our poll with Demand Progress and conducted by Data for Progress also finds this war for Israel will be a liability for Republicans in November.
More below π½
A group of five people smiling against a green backdrop with big white and purple text
Time to take action to defeat Turning Point USA's fossil fuel agenda and elect clean energy champions to the SRP, a utility board in the Phoenix metro area! π¨ π¨ π¨ Phone bank w/ us this Thurs, March 5 @ 6-8 pm MT www.mobilize.us/leadlocally/...
The 20th Progressive Tech Open Mic Hosted by Data for Progress Wednesday March 11, 2026 at 4pm ET
Data for Progress is hosting our next Progressive Tech Open Mic on March 11 at 4pm ET!
We're now accepting submissions to present β please reach out if you have a topic or cool project you'd like to share.
To RSVP or sign up to present, please email erin@dataforprogress.org.
This is so great -- gave me a lot to think about. Would love to pick your brain at some point.
New from @gruberte.bsky.social and I in @science.org: The energy transition is at risk, and energy models are missing the threat. Fossil energy networks from oil to coal to gas have minimum viable scales of operation, and those thresholds are closer than we think:
www.science.org/doi/epdf/10....
π‘π
You should read this piece. Adam is right: the core theory behind the anti-ICE mobilization here in Minneapolis isnβt really a political ideology, but that neighbors are neighbors and must be protected.
Okay I think I've mapped out ICE politics as of Monday night
They are never, ever going to win in Minnesota.
βββ
abolish ice!!!!!!!!!
ICE is writing secret memos claiming power to invade homes without warrants. They're using children as bait. They're killing.
Congressional Democrats are about to vote to increase their budget by $18 billion.
Call your House rep tonight. The vote may come tomorrow.
www.patreon.com/posts/148814...
holy sh*t part one million
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Are Skeptical That Either Party Has a Solution to the Cost of Living. Description: Do you think each of the following does or does not have a solution for the cost of living? Donald Trump β Has a solution for cost of living: 37%, Don't know: 8%, Does not have a solution for cost of living: 55% The Democratic Party β Has a solution for cost of living: 36%, Don't know: 15%, Does not have a solution for cost of living: 49% The Republican Party β Has a solution for cost of living: 34%, Don't know: 11%, Does not have a solution for cost of living: 54% January 10β12, 2026 survey of 1,124 U.S. likely voters.
However, voters are skeptical that either party has a solution to the cost of living.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
Bar chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Prioritize Lowering Grocery and Housing Costs Over Other Expenses. Description: If you could lower the cost of just one monthly expense for your household, which would you pick? All likely voters β Groceries and household essentials: 40%, Housing, such as rent or a mortgage: 23%, Utilities: 16%, Health care: 11%, Debt payments: 8%, Transportation: 1%, Child care or elder care: 0%, Don't know: 1% January 10β12, 2026 survey of 1,124 U.S. likely voters.
Seventy percent of voters say that lowering costs would help them more than raising their wages.
Grocery costs are the top expense voters would like to see lowered (40%), followed by housing (23%) and utilities (16%).
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
Time series chart of polling data from Data For Progress. Title: Voters Are Consistently Pessimistic About Inflation. Description: For each of the following, please say if they are getting better or worse for people like you: β Inflation or costs of goods Getting better for people like me β Increased, with the highest response reported on Jul 28, 2025 (27%) and the lowest response recorded on Mar 01, 2025 (17%). Don't know β Decreased, with the highest response reported on Mar 27, 2025 (10%) and the lowest response recorded on Dec 24, 2025 (5%). Getting worse for people like me β Increased, with the highest response reported on Mar 01, 2025 (74%) and the lowest response recorded on Mar 27, 2025 (66%). 11 surveys of 13,339 U.S. likely voters, conducted January 31βDecember 24, 2025.
NEW: After one year of Trump's second term, voters are still pessimistic about inflation and the state of the economy.
www.dataforprogress.org/blog/2025/1/...
good morning, it's a great day to work at @dataforprogress.org -- where we stand firm in our progressive values and use public opinion to lead and persuade, rather than bowing to popularism at the expense of morality.
I have a lengthy video of a long chase yesterday, including one maniacal e-bike rider who was absolutely giving the ICE Wagoneers hell. Theyβd try to lose us in traffic but the bike didnβt care about traffic