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Posts by Leo Bastos

I am complaining about this because I have just bought two books and spent more than one thousand reais (which is more than half of a minimum wage here in Brazil).

9 hours ago 3 0 0 0

I know there are "alternative" ways to get a book (or a non open acess paper), but I wish we could legally access them. (More science/educstuon investiments and/or expressive cost reductions).

9 hours ago 2 0 1 0

I still prefer studying a subjective, specially new subjects, using printed version books.

Unfortunatelly it is quite expensive buying them from Brazil. And the most cutting edge is a subject the harder it is to find a book on that subjective in a library here.

This is science inequality.

9 hours ago 7 1 1 0

I remember last year results, some news were making fun of the android performance (the fasted one was 2h 40'). I was impressed since my aim in a half-marathon is 2hs and some androids did finish a half-marathon.

Then just one year later, an android beat the human record (56') by 6 minutes! Wow!

2 days ago 1 1 0 0
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The research Joint Bayesian Nowcasting of Severe Acute Respiratory Illness and COVID‐19 Positives in Brazil is published in Statistics in Medicine. doi.org/10.1002/sim....

3 days ago 2 0 0 0
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My research, "Mortality trends for diabetes mellitus, hypertension and cardiovascular disease among people living with and without HIV in Brazil during the COVID‐19 pandemic, 2020–2022", has been published! Read it here: doi.org/10.1111/hiv.... #publishedarticle @wileyinresearch

3 days ago 3 0 0 0
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a man in a suit and tie is standing in front of a world map ALT: a man in a suit and tie is standing in front of a world map

Very intense day:
- Paper accepted in the morning (and one rejected)
- Student defending her PhD (she did a wonderful job)
- Final report of a project submitted
- Scientific initiation grant (PIBIC) submitted
- Paper awarded in a event in Brasilia

4 days ago 3 0 0 0
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Two postdoctoral positions in epidemic modelling - Research Job description We are recruiting 2 postdocs to contribute to research projects in the Mathematical Modelling of Infectious Diseases Unit, at Institut Pasteur in Paris. The postdocs will develop state...

Two postdoc positions for a number of exciting epidemic modelling projects opening in my Unit at @pasteur.fr in beautiful Paris. Deadline for applications: 13th April. More details at the following link:
research.pasteur.fr/job/two-post...

1 month ago 12 24 0 1

It is unsafe for other Scientific meetings too.

My favorite meeting is the @isba-bayesian.bsky.social, this year will be in Japan (unfortunately I won't go for personal reasons) and the next one in 28 will be in the US which I won't go either because I am not keen to pass through the visa process.

3 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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Socó-dorminhoco (Nycticorax nycticorax)

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Leveraging probabilistic forecasts for dengue preparedness and control: The 2024 Dengue Forecasting Sprint in Brazil | PNAS Forecast models are a key decision-support tool for public health authorities in managing epidemics, feeding into early warning systems, scenario e...

Our paper on the Infodengue-Mosqlimate challenge to predict the next dengue season in Brazil is out in @pnas.org

www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/...

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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a close up of a cartoon character 's fist with a pink building in the background ALT: a close up of a cartoon character 's fist with a pink building in the background

I thought that during the course of these 15+ years after the PhD I would be less annoyed by a manuscript rejection...

2 months ago 11 0 0 0

I saw several caricatures of this kind today on Instagram. All of them are very accurate. This is super scary, they (well, they = all AI platforms ChatGPT-like) not only have a lot of information about us but also they can make a cartoon out of it.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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Did Trump soil his pants and cause a White House evacuation? We checked messages claiming that Donald Trump allegedly defecated in his pants, leading to a White House evacuation and the removal of journalists from the Oval Office.

It is fake news, sorry about that. It is so surreal as anything related to this person that I believed it was legit...

www.boatos.org/english/did-...

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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The orange man always surprises me. I do expect the worst from him, but somehow he exceeds himself. I have no words for this 💩

2 months ago 1 0 1 0
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I am also a manga reader, In December and January I keep up with these:

- Frieren
- Kugarabachi
- Hima-ten
- Monochrome days
- Dandandan

2 months ago 0 0 0 0
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a girl sitting on a couch reading a book ALT: a girl sitting on a couch reading a book

End of holidays and after the kids sleep usually while cooking or doing the dishes I watch animes (Japanese cartoons). An old habit that I have kept doing since a teenager. Recently I have been following these:
- Frieren
- Sentenced to be a hero
- Camping solo for two
- Touring after the apocalypse

2 months ago 1 0 1 0
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Compare Countries, States, Provinces, and Regions with This Simple Tool Drag, drop and rotate countries, states, provinces, and regions around the map to compare their relative size. Is Greenland really as big as all of Africa? You may be surprised...

If you fancy playing around with maps, this site is quite cool to play with:

thetruesize.com

2 months ago 4 0 0 0
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The other way round, try to fit Brazil over Greenland. You can see a very odd shape of Brazil, and luckily we are not too much in the south, otherwise the orange man would say when the Portuguese arrived there were some Americans here (To be honest, the Americans were already here)

2 months ago 3 0 1 0
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If you put Greenland over Brazil. It is a massive piece of land, but not as massive as one would believe by looking at a Mercator projection.

2 months ago 3 0 1 0
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What is Bayesian reasoning? Once you understand what is, you'll spot Bayesian reasoning in science, medicine - and many aspects of daily life.

A very short guide to Bayesian reasoning

www.bbc.com/videos/c78ee...

2 months ago 2 1 0 0
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a man is sitting in a chair with the words i am the council on the screen behind him . ALT: a man is sitting in a chair with the words i am the council on the screen behind him .

Lula should decline the invitation to join Trump's board of peace.

Brazil always wanted to be a permanent member of the UN's Security Council. But this Trump's private version is surreal as most of the things the orange man does and says...

2 months ago 2 0 0 0
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a man with a beard says quem falou que a boca e tua rapá ALT: a man with a beard says quem falou que a boca e tua rapá

Ps: The acclaimed City of God wasn't shortlisted.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0
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a woman wearing a necklace smiles while standing on a beach ALT: a woman wearing a necklace smiles while standing on a beach

The Brazilian nominations were:

1962 O pagador de promessas (Keppe rof promisses)

1995 O quatrilho

1997 O que é isso companheiro? (Four days in September)

1998 Central do Brasil (Central Station)

2024 Eu ainda estou aqui (I'm still here) [awarded]

2025 O agente secreto (The secret agent)

2 months ago 3 0 1 0
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"If Brazilians submitted a shoe to the Oscar, everyone would vote for it, says the Sirât's director"

Really? How many awards for best international feature film has Brazil won? Well, just one in six nominations... I hope we get a second one.

2 months ago 3 0 1 0

Nossa Gabi, ate no doutorado tenho visto muitos alunos entrarem na vibe "pq sim". Tbm fico bem triste, pois como vc percebeu, e eu reforco aqui, a frustacao nesses casos é muito provável. E essa frustração rebate no orientador (em mim pelo menos) gerando um desânimo enorme com a pos graduação...

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
The Best meme song of 2025
The Best meme song of 2025 YouTube video by Iliya Shojaei

This is indeed the best meme song of 2025. I love it

m.youtube.com/shorts/fa3U-...

3 months ago 0 0 0 0
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a man in a tuxedo and bow tie is sitting in a crowd of people . ALT: a man in a tuxedo and bow tie is sitting in a crowd of people .

Great news to start 2026!

3 months ago 1 0 0 0

I also saw that the statistics graduate program from UFMG (my alma mater) also upgraded from 5 to 6.

3 months ago 2 0 1 0
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Today the coordinators of every graduate program were informed of their respective grades.

I am a member of two graduate programs: Epidemiology in Public Health at ENSP/Fiocruz and Computational and Systems Biology at IOC/Fiocruz. And both upgraded from 6 to 7 and from 5 to 6 respectively.

3 months ago 4 0 1 0