AI-enabled warfare is giving the US unprecedented tactical reach while eroding strategic restraint, argues @profonderco.bsky.social. From Venezuela to Iran, lower-risk operations lower the bar for war, exposing allies to miscalculation.
europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
Recent military operations in Venezuela and Iran show that the AI gives the US tactical excellence but enables strategic stupidity. What are the three reasons this should terrify Europe? Read in my new piece for @theeln.bsky.social -> europeanleadershipnetwork.org/commentary/a...
Very excited to present my book at @managingtheatom.bsky.social next week!
Thanks to @tomwetienne.bsky.social and an accident, we now know whether Oppenheimer changed how people think about nuclear weapons 👇. Now our in @ipsr-risp.bsky.social
You probably mistook SK prime minister for SK president
Quick reactions after learning that no, nobody could stop him. 1/ goodauthority.org/news/trump-m... 1/
If you have time to read only one thing on today’s strikes, make it @nicolegrajewski.bsky.social ‘s analysis in @thebulletin.org .
The "debate" in the run-up to this makes Iraq 2003 look like the Athenian polis.
Matti Pesu, Katja Creutz and Michal Onderco on stage.
This week at a FIIA seminar, @profonderco.bsky.social,
@pesumatti.bsky.social and Katja Creutz discussed the complexity of democratic foreign policy-making on nuclear security in the twenty-first century.
Watch the recording ⤵️
fiia.fi/en/tapahtumat/europes-nuclear-umbrella
This was a great event, and i’m very thankful to Andrej Findor for organizing it!
Mijn eerste keer op nederlandse live radio, en dan bij @ovt-vpro.bsky.social !
What nuclear options does Europe have with less US; or without?
Our study is now published 👇 , a fantastic teamwork of the European Nuclear Study Group, co-chaired by @tobiasbunde.bsky.social James Davis & myself.
65.1🦋
Attitudes toward international organisations? 🌍
Exploring #Technocratic & #Populist attitudes, Reinout van der Veer & @profonderco.bsky.social use survey data across five European 🏤 countries to explain how people view #InternationalOrganisations
Europe's Nuclear Deterrence Options table.
Interesting attempt to summarize Europe's deterrence options/dilemmas on page 56 of the @munsecconf.bsky.social European deterrence report. securityconference.org/en/publicati...
Thanks to everyone for joining the launch of Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella yesterday in The Hague. Thanks especially to the discussants Michaele de Goeij, @lindedesma.bsky.social and Sico van der Meer.
A few words (in Slovak) about #NewSTART by @profonderco.bsky.social for @pravdask.bsky.social. spravy.pravda.sk/svet/clanok/...
Final update: The translator sent a very kind email to explain the context around all this. If even a single Iranian can draw strength from the book, I'm glad it was published in Farsi. It's an honour and I hope you will succeed
We verdiepen de Europese defensiesamenwerking. We zetten in op gezamenlijke aanschaf in gebruikerspoules van strategische capaciteiten die voor individuele landen te kostbaar zijn. Nederland loopt voorop in het realiseren van een Europese pijler binnen de NAVO. Ook staan we constructief tegenover het versterken van een Europese nucleaire afschrikking. We treden toe tot het verdrag van Aken
Netherlands will be "constructive" towards the "strenghtening of a European nuclear deterrent"
They will join the Treaty of Achen (Franco-German defence cooperation treaty)
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aachen_...
As someone who sat on the Sartori Prize cmte last yr, I have to say that RISP consistently delivers clever high-quality papers with good data and relevant questions. Hard to find another “national” journal in Europe with such good quality. This paper fits the pattern.
As some of you already know, I recently moved to Paris for a tenure-track Assistant Professor position at @ceri-sciencespo.bsky.social @sciencespo.bsky.social. Here is a recent interview I did on my research agenda and background. www.sciencespo.fr/ceri/en/news...
If you’re in The Hague: join the official book launch on 10 February 2026.
I’ll be discussing the book with Sico van der Meer, Michaele de Goeij, and Linde Desmaele.
More info: www.eur.nl/en/essb/even...
To the best of my knowledge, this is the first comparative study of contestation around nuclear sharing across all five host countries.
It draws on original data on public opinion, political parties, and civil society, and is written with non-specialists in mind.
Today Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella is officially out.
The book examines how nuclear sharing is contested across Europe, and why governments stick with these policies even when they’re deeply unpopular.
www.cambridge.org/nl/universit...
Never had the pleasure of meeting David Malone, but we corresponded and he had an incredibly generous mind. May his soul rest in peace!
The Nonproliferation Review published the first of 2 special issues from the Harvard–MacArthur Beyond Nuclear Deterrence Working Group.
#OpenAccess intro by the 3 working group co-chairs & special issue editors, Hassan Elbahtimy, @professorrdg.bsky.social, & me: www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....
Why do some EU members “care” more about the 🇮🇱-🇵🇸 conflict than others?
Together with @valeriovignoli.bsky.social and @irena-kalhousova.bsky.social , we argue this is due to domestic polarization, demography and trade patterns.
Read more in #openaccess onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/...
Happy to give a book talk: Europe: flexible | US: late March | E Asia: mid-spring. If your class or group is interested in nuclear weapons, democracy, or alliances, let’s talk!
🎉 Excited to share that “Europe’s Nuclear Umbrella” @cambup-polsci.cambridge.org will be out in physical form before Christmas. It tells the story of how Europeans contest nuclear weapons - and how policymakers react. Pairs perfectly with hot and cold beverages. ☕
www.cambridge.org/9781009698672
The BBC report screenshot in your first post is also not about Eindhoven
