Illiberal Hungary: Outcomes of the Parliamentary Election Hungary’s strongman, Viktor Orbán, has trailed his main challenger in the polls for months. Whether he wins or loses, the election results will carry significant implications for liberal democracy,…

If you missed our virtual event yesterday, watch the full discussion on our YouTube channel!

FPRI Experts React | The US Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz - Foreign Policy Research Institute On Monday, April 13th, the United States announced that the US Navy would block Iranian ships entering or exiting the Strait of Hormuz. The announcement came

My colleagues from @fpri.bsky.social — @salisbot.bsky.social @michaelbpetersen.bsky.social and Frank Hoffman — shared their thoughts on the US blockade of the Strait of Hormuz

www.fpri.org/article/2026...

FPRI Experts React | The US Blockade of the Strait of Hormuz - Foreign Policy Research Institute On Monday, April 13th, the United States announced that the US Navy would block Iranian ships entering or exiting the Strait of Hormuz. The announcement came

Some thoughts from me and distinguished colleagues on the blockade ⬇️

www.fpri.org/article/2026...

Colleagues from @fpri.bsky.social and representatives gathered this weekend in Colorado Springs to discuss the emerging threat environment in space for commercial
operators. Was the formal start of our work on this very important topic. Stay tuned for more.

The blockade isn’t actually bad strategy. It’s a dumb war but choking Iranian exports from a distance is …. Fine. There will inevitably be a “political problem” if say China reflags tankers. But that’s a political problem.

Russia’s Drone Line Experiment - Foreign Policy Research Institute The following analysis was originally published on Two Marines, a newsletter on Russia's war in Ukraine, defense technology, and modern warfare, on April 3,

Rob Lee and Dmytro Putiata explain how the Russian 2nd Combined Arms Army’s Drone Line is more systematically organized to employ strike uncrewed aerial systems in support of offensive operations instead of having each regiment's assets focus on its own area of responsibility.

Illiberal Hungary: Outcomes of the Parliamentary Election - FPRI Events Hungary’s strongman, Viktor Orbán, has trailed his main challenger in the polls for months. Whether he wins or loses, the election results will carry

Thursday, April 16 at 1:00 PM EDT: Join the FPRI Eurasia Program for a pertinent discussion of the outcome of Hungary's upcoming parliamentary election.

US RoE in Rough Rider and Epic Fury had a lot of similarities. And tighter than is assumed.

The Houthis shot down more MQ-9s than Iran.

The UAV-Enabled Anti-Air Defense Campaign in the Third Gulf War Should SAMs Fear the Reaper?

Me and my colleague @slair.bsky.social looked at the drone counter-IAD campaign in Iran for @fpri.bsky.social :: The UAV-Enabled Anti-Air Defense Campaign in the Third Gulf War open.substack.com/pub/behindth...

The air defense tactics during Rough Rider and Epic Fury are very similar, if not identical. It is a very inefficient IAD concept, but you do get lucky shots.

End of the road for our season. Rippers

Opinion: The U.S.-Iran Missile Cost-Exchange Calculation Imbalance | Aviation Week Network The U.S. is winning the cost-exchange ratio with Iran—but the victory might end up being pyrrhic.

I wrote about the challenges of calculating the cost exchange ratio and why I think the US is winning it in a narrow sense, but the victory is pyrrhic

aviationweek.com/defense/budg...

Experts React | Iran Energy and Indo-Pacific Realignment - Foreign Policy Research Institute The surge in global oil prices following the attacks on Iran has materially weakened global growth prospects. The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and

"Rising energy prices are already imposing broad-based costs on households and industry across the Indo-Pacific. Governments have moved to deploy short-term mitigation measures, including targeted financial support to households, fuel tax reductions, subsidies, and price controls."

The Royal Navy in the Gulf British experience in Gulf operations is undermined by a lack of investment

Check out Emma Salisbury's latest piece for #BehindtheFront on the UK's role in the Hormuz Coalition. buff.ly/WvANg9U

Russian Interests in the Arctic: The Northern Sea Route - FPRI Events Mariia Vladymyrova (University of Copenhagen) discusses the Northern Sea Route (NSR) legal regime as an exemplary instance of Russia's use of lawfare as a

Tomorrow at 10:00 EDT: Register for a timely discussion on Russia's use of lawfare as a tool of coercive signaling in the Arctic.

Home - Orbis Orbis Journal of World Affairs

Check out the new Orbis website.

Iraq as a Frontline: Militias and the Risks to Iraq’s Stability in a Regional War Since the onset of the US-Israel-Iran war on February 28, Iraq has become a central front in the conflict. This has occurred primarily as a result of attacks by Shia militant groups targeting a wide…

If you missed our virtual event today, watch the full discussion on YouTube.

Iraq as a Frontline: Militias and the Risks to Iraq’s Stability in a Regional War - FPRI Events Since the onset of the US-Israel-Iran war on February 28, Iraq has become a central front in the conflict. This has occurred primarily as a result of attacks

Don't miss out on our event tomorrow at 10:30 AM EDT! Register at the link. buff.ly/2eTOWsv.

Episode 1 : Technology, Trust, and the Accelerants of Global Crisis

With Dr. Dixon, we discuss technology as an accelerant for change in the international order ... 3/ open.spotify.com/episode/5XHa...

Episode 2 | Geopolitical Cycles and the Fragility of the Global Operating System

With Admiral Winnefeld, we discuss his concept not of a "rules-based order" but a "global operating system": 2/ open.spotify.com/episode/0TCa...

As part of the #Orbis relaunch we've also created a companion podcast, #ShiftingGround ... first two episodes have dropped (with Dr. Stacey Dixon and Admiral James "Sandy" Winnefeld .. 1/

Episode 2 | Geopolitical Cycles and the Fragility of the Global Operating System

As part of the #Orbis relaunch happy to announce a companion podcast, #ShiftingGround ... with cohost Larry Rubin ... open.spotify.com/show/6zWjuaK...

FPRI Experts React | The Cost of a Win-Win for US-Japan Relations - Foreign Policy Research Institute As the first G7 leader to meet with President Donald Trump in the White House since the US attacks on Iran, Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae’s ability

"Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae’s ability to manage relations with the United States without sacrificing her country’s own national interests was closely watched by other US allies in the Indo-Pacific and in Europe." Three FPRI experts provide insights into the meeting.

FPRI Experts React | The Cost of a Win-Win for US-Japan Relations - Foreign Policy Research Institute As the first G7 leader to meet with President Donald Trump in the White House since the US attacks on Iran, Japanese Prime Minister Takaichi Sanae’s ability

Our experts @fpri.bsky.social's reaction to the US-Japan summit and the future of the alliance:

www.fpri.org/article/2026...

FPRI Experts React | Options in the Strait of Hormuz - Foreign Policy Research Institute After weeks of war, pressure is mounting on the Trump administration to deploy sea and ground forces on an open-ended mission to reopen the Strait of Hormuz,

Emma Salisbury, Michael B. Petersen, and Frank G. Hoffman provide timely expert insight into the risks the US Navy could face in a potential operation as the Iran war drags into its fourth week.

FPRI Experts React | Options in the Strait of Hormuz - Foreign Policy Research Institute After weeks of war, pressure is mounting on the Trump administration to deploy sea and ground forces on an open-ended mission to reopen the Strait of Hormuz,

We @fpri.bsky.social published insights from @salisbot.bsky.social @michaelbpetersen.bsky.social and Frank Hoffman about the challenges ahead for the US Navy as it considers how to take control of the Strait of Hormuz

www.fpri.org/article/2026...

Command of Commerce: America’s Enduring Economic Power Advantage over China - FPRI Events Join the Foreign Policy Research Institute’s Asia Program for a timely virtual conversation with Professor Stephen G. Brooks, a leading scholar of US foreign

📖Book Talk tomorrow at 12:00 EDT: Join Professor Stephen G. Brooks, a leading scholar of US foreign policy for a discussion on his new book "Command of Commerce: America’s Enduring Economic Power Advantage over China" (co-authored with Ben A. Vagle).

The original assumption is Iran would not attack US forces over concerns about overt US escalation in the then Iran-Iraq war. This assumption proved untrue. This time around, the US initiated the attack on Iran, so all plans should assume Iranian attacks. Which is why this is not straightforward

It was later modified to 2-3 ships per cluster of Kuwaiti tanker, still linked by AWACS and w/ the carrier on call to strike Iranian targets should they fire on the ships from shore w/ Chinese Silkworm ASCM. The actual "wake up call" was an inadvertent Iraqi attack with an Exocet missile on Stark