Fifteen minutes before the President announced he was pausing strikes on Iran, somebody moved $500 million in oil futures. Somebody knew. Somebody told them. Or somebody is them.
New piece ↓
open.substack.com/pub/adamkinz...
"Biden skippers" slide deck
"Biden skippers" slide deck
"Biden skippers" slide deck
Why they didn't vote:
whoever coined this should be given a ticker tape parade
Once anyone starts talking about odd money-transfer arrangements, your alarms should be screaming.
I'm agnostic on whether Molly Shah was in on it but it's wild to me how anyone who actually followed her interactions with 'Mahmoud' (that she posted screenshots of!) could think that was anything other than posts from a scam farm. Maybe you need to encounter them more frequently like we have to.
A cocktail coupe glass full of prosecco, on a little round end table n the verandas of a cruise ship. The scene is sunny, but the illusion of warmth is belied by the somewhat steely looking waters of the Tongass Narrows, visible through the glass deck barrier.
Pro tip for cruising: always wander around the ship with beverages - they do not care.
Advantage: when you get a complimentary bottle of prosecco, you can reuse a lovely cocktail coupe, instead of chugging it out of a water glass, like a cretin. 😄
Far Side comic: “through a gross navigational error, the Love Boat steams into the Strait of Hormuz.
Gary Larson was joking about this almost 40 years ago!
{gift-link}
Prime takeaway on tolerance and enablement of fascists:
Forgive? Maybe.
Forget? Never!
Forgetting lets the rot fester. 😒
www.theatlantic.com/ideas/2026/0...
It is likely that Trump's Iran catastrophe will lead to some kind of compensation for all the countries the US has screwed (which is all of them). We would do well now to lay groundwork for seizing assets of the Palantirs and Musk fortune that enabled Trump's rise and invasion.
as historical parallels go you can do a lot worse than comparison of Trump to Napoleon (the first one), minus the genius or the winning of course
People do need to pool resources and spread risks, but we can have rules, limits & guardrails & still make great progress.
We got to the Moon - originally - without enriching an Elon Musk.😒
Our common goals now all getting outsourced to profit-takers? Unnecessary, even under capitalism!
I was recently on vacation, chatting with a seemingly nice Canadian. Then he starts going on and on about "how entitled" and "lazy" Indigenous people in Canada are, "all they want are more handouts."
I know all eyes are on America being the psycho clown next door, but this needs more daylight:
In between yelling at his aides and fretting about looking like Carter, Trump still found time during all this to obsess over his ballroom and consider giving himself the Medal of Honor.
Anyone who works there should be shunned. 😒
Any candidate that takes money from Palantir should not receive your vote.
Co-founder Joe Lonsdale is pouring millions into a PAC to buy off Democrats, especially in California.
techcrunch.com/2026/04/19/p...
Yikes.
The guy didn’t even know how to turn the safety off… until ChatGPT told him. 🫤
I'm so glad this brave law enforcement officer is OK after being violently smirked at. Praying for him and his family
Prediction markets are presented as real-time measures of probable outcomes driven by collective investment. Which is what horse racing odds are, and we don’t treat those as more than a novelty. Gift link: www.ctinsider.com/columnist/ar...
It is interesting, isn’t it, how some people reject the “marketplace of ideas” once they realize people aren’t buying?
So they’re incompetent on multiple axes.
I will absolutrly criticize people for attending. It’s a grotesque spectacle nobody who cares about press freedom should dignify with their presence.
A German exchange student lived with my family for part of the year in the 80s. The first weekend, he decided to walk to the mall. He didn't believe us when we explained that simply wasn't possible.
Democrats' net favorability of Israel: Mod./conservative: 2022: +22 2026: -55 Liberal: 2022: -26 2026:-74
Democrats' net favorability of Israel: Age 50+ 2022: +10 2026: -54 Age 18-49: 2022: -25 2026: -70
Brutal polling when it comes to public opinion among Democratic voters on the topic of Israel:
Source: x.com/forecasteren...
The Commander in Chief is a clear and present danger to his own troops.
It can’t be any clearer than this. He should not be in power.
bastards
Gaza genocide, the broligarchy, corruption, ICE, forever wars..
The DNC's leaders and donors will not change or adapt, folks. They're not made for this moment. They are too ideologically committed to restoring the old ways.
They must be culled and replaced with better leaders.
a real testament to stefanik’s total lack of dignity that she is doing this AFTER trump totally threw her under the bus, backed up, and ran her over just to be sure
Schumer seems determined to cost the Democrats seats in the biggest wave election any of us will probably ever see. Just pushing and pushing for status quo candidates in a year where even habitual Republican voters want SOMETHING to change.
Establishment Dems are greatly, greatly underestimating the party base and our anger at their lack of strategy, fight or vision. We’re on two separate pages.
The dissatisfaction is broad, deep, and also extends beyond Democratic voters of all demos into independents.