Thanks, all good. I just wanted to clarify to avoid any misunderstandings.

Thanks, Charles! Since I only analyzed Remeslo's channel, I can only make limited generalizations based on the data I examined. However, it seems that the observations of others confirm that something is brewing in the Z blogger community.

From Z-Blogger to Putin Critic? – Riddle Russia Fabian Burkhardt on what Ilya Remeslo’s Telegram channel can tell us about fractures within Russia’s elite

Recently, one of popular pro-Putin bloggers who for years pushed pure Kremlin narratives turned against Putin using no kind words.
Did he go nuts or did his sponsor change?
@faburkhardt.bsky.social gives an in depth analysis for the last 4 years of Remeslo’s TG posts
ridl.io/from-z-blogg...

Nepotismus: Russlands mächtige Familien-Netzwerke - дekoder | DEKODER Wie einflussreich sind Putins Familienmitglieder und die Kinder seiner Vertrauten? Welche Rolle spielen sowjetische Vorfahren für Aufstiegschancen in Russland heute? Eine investigative Recherche von P...

Ausführlicher @dekoder.org-Artikel über Nepotismus in Russland, der auch unsere Studie über die russische Nomenklatura zitiert. Diese zweite Riege ist wichtig für staatliche Herrschaft, funktioniert aber nach anderen Rekrutierungslogiken als die Top-Elite.
www.dekoder.org/de/gnose/nep...

In den Ukraine-Analysen 329 hat mein Kollege @faburkhardt.bsky.social eine aktualisierte umfassende Dokumentation zum Stand der #Friedensverhandlungen zusammengetragen: Von einer Chronologie bis zu verschiedenen Friedensplänen. Wer den Überblick verloren hat und Orientierung sucht - hier entlang 👇

Thank you for the endorsement! This was truly a team effort, and I'm glad our assessments align. 👇

Very insightful thread by Mikhail. This is already the fourth former deputy of Shoigu to be arrested. Beyond Shoigu, this also sheds light on the broader increase in elite repression since 2024, which we tracked for a recent report.
cedarus.io/research/how...

The figure illustrates top-down and bottom-up mechanisms of Russia’s wartime redistribution of property.

4 years into the full-scale invasion, Russia has experienced its largest redistribution of property since the 1990s. A new report by IOS researcher Fabian Burkhardt, featured in The Bell & Meduza, tracks nationalizations affecting 12% of Russia's Forbes billionaires.

🔗 cedarus.io/research/ass...

‘A false semblance of choice’ Putin’s latest passportization deadline dials up the pressure on civilians in Ukraine’s occupied territories — Meduza Ukrainians living under occupation have long faced pressure to assume Russian citizenship. But in March, Vladimir Putin turned things up a notch. In a decree aimed at boosting the Kremlin’s campaign t...

“When Russia says they’re ‘deporting’ someone, they’re not deporting them back to Ukraine.”

My story on how Putin’s latest attempt to force Russian passports on Ukrainians paves the way for more war crimes in the occupied territories. meduza.io/en/feature/2... @meduza.io

Во внутриполитическом блоке Кремля обсуждают возможные изменения Они связаны с его новыми задачами на «внешнем контуре»

since Putin's 2000 presidential campaign).
Reporting on these yet to be confirmed developments in the redistribution of responsibilities from Kozak to Kirienko: www.vedomosti.ru/politics/art...

he formally retained his position in the presidential administration. But as a decades-long Putin confidant, Kozak's fate will send an important signal to the elite about how Putin deals with (former) close associates (Kozak has been a key team member

Kirienko would then have more power than any previous spin doctor in the presidential administration responsible for domestic policy (such as Surkov and Volodin). It's clear that Kozak fell out of favor after the Russian Security Council debacle of February 21, 2022, even though

Kirienko's empire in the presidential administration to grow: As usual, formal structural changes will follow earlier informal power shifts. Kirienko has already dealt with post-Soviet space (especially the occupied territories) and foreign policy, including hybrid interference.

Ukraine-Analysen Nr. 306 | Länder-Analysen

Link zur ganzen Ausgabe: laender-analysen.de/ukraine-anal...

Link zur ausführlichen Dokumentation laender-analysen.de/ukraine-anal...

und direkt zu den Vertragsentwürfen: laender-analysen.de/ukraine-anal...

Aus aktuellem Anlass: Die Ausgabe der Ukraine-Analysen @laenderanalysen.bsky.social vom November 2024 über Friedensverhandlungen, in der auch das Scheitern der Verhandlungen in Istanbul im Frühjahr 2022 erläutert wird. Insbesondere empfehlenswert sind die Vertragsentwürfe im vollen Wortlaut.

Thanks for your contribution, keep up the great work!

US delegation aims for Black Sea ceasefire in Ukraine, Russia talks The White House says the aim of the talks is to reach a maritime ceasefire in the Black Sea, allowing the free flow of shipping.

Quite interesting for the Beseda watchers:

"Russia will be represented by Grigory Karasin, a former diplomat who is now chair of the Russian upper house of parliament's Foreign Affairs Committee, and by Sergei Beseda, an adviser to the director of the FSB."

www.reuters.com/world/europe...

Übersicht der Ukraine-Analysen 311 zum Thema drei Jahre russischer Angriffskrieg und Friedensverhandlungen.

Die #Ukraine Analysen am 3. Jahrestag widmen sich natürlich dem #Krieg: Die randvolle Ausgabe resümiert die militärische Lage in 2024, analysiert Russlands Luftkrieg, und wie dieser die Stimmung der Menschen beeinflusst. Dazu Kommentare zu #Friedensgesprächen. laender-analysen.de/ukraine-anal...

Excellent piece by @pociumban.bsky.social and Andras Racz @dgap.org.

Already during the Minsk process, Russia used elections to manipulate conflict resolution. The same sequencing mistakes shouldn't be repeated this time.

Digital ballots, partisan bias: digital authoritarianism and support for internet voting in Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine The answer to the question of why authoritarian regimes adopt internet voting seems simple: Internet voting is yet another upgrade to the authoritarian menu of electoral manipulation by making inde...

Voting technologies aren’t neutral, esp in the contexts of high political polarisation and electoral manipulation. In the new article, @faburkhardt.bsky.social & Jan Matti Dollbaum analyse surveys from Russia, Belarus, and Ukraine on internet voting & public perceptions
@democratization.bsky.social

📢*Four* academic jobs 📢 in political science and related disciplines with a focus on Eastern Europe in our growing Department of Politics at the Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies.
Two postdoc and two doctoral positions, deadline 28 March 2025.

Wirklich ein „Diktator ohne Wahlen“? Zur Legitimität und Popularität des ukrainischen Präsidenten Wolodymyr Selenskyj | Länder-Analysen

Analyse zur Legitimität und Popularität des ukrainischen Präsidenten Wolodymyr Selenskyj von @edklein.bsky.social u. @laenderanalysen.bsky.social, die alle wichtigen Argumente knapp auf den Punkt bringt. Russische Desinformation kommt eben nicht nur aus Russland.
laender-analysen.de/ukraine-anal...

📢*Four* academic jobs 📢 in political science and related disciplines with a focus on Eastern Europe in our growing Department of Politics at the Leibniz Institute for East and Southeast European Studies.
Two postdoc and two doctoral positions, deadline 28 March 2025.

The latest issue of the Russian Analytical Digest looks at the impact of indoctrination in schools & universities. The five articles are complemented by data on attitudes toward patriotism and indoctrination efforts.
Edited by @faburkhardt.bsky.social (@leibniz-ios.de).
➡️ css.ethz.ch/en/publicati...

Die neuen Russland-Analysen dokumentieren die schwerwiegenden Folgen des Krieges für das russische Bildungswesen: Der Staat strebt an, die jungen Generationen an Schulen und Universitäten zu indoktrinieren.
Redaktion: @leibniz-ios.de.
▶️ laender-analysen.de/russland-ana...

Thanks for the contribution, really enjoyed working with you on this issue!

Ab sofort posten hier die Länder-Analysen alle aktuellen Ausgaben sowie Online-Publikationen der herausgebenden Institutionen. Der Inhalt ist ab heute identisch mit dem Twitter-Konto der Länder-Analysen.

20 Jahre Russland-Analysen: Die Jubiläumsausgabe 442 wirft die Frage auf: Hat das Putin-Regime eine Ideologie?

Mit Beiträgen über Paranoia, Konservatismus, Chauvinismus, Verschwörungstheorien, Repressionen und Totalitarismus. Redaktion: Leibniz-IOS.
▶️ www.laender-analysen.de/russland-ana...