(2) Things might get slightly better after the US (gerrymandered) 2026 elections, but one cannot define a foreign policy and a security architecture for the long haul subject the the vagaries of the political cycles tormenting the American public or the sheer lunacy of the clownish White House.
(11) It is up to Europe, and Europe alone, to call a spade a spade, get its act together, and save Ukraine (and itself). The EU must absolutely derisk from an unreliable ally.
It is now obvious that Europe (minus Putin stooges) needs to derisk from NATO and replace it with a new architecture minus USA. It is the only way forward.
The Chinese reaction to the tariffs is interesting. It is relatively muted. So far, we have only heard about filing a complaint to the WTO Trade Organization, which is very close to being a dead corpse. It's a way for Beijing to signal being a rule based player. Curious about what comes next.
Now that Trump has triggered a massive recession, watch for the explosion of the relationship between Maga and the plutocracy. Trump may have signed his own impeachment resolution by impoverishing his backers far more than he thinks he has.
@jcstrauss.bsky.social Hello, Julia great to see you here and all my best wishes for a rapid recovery. P! 蛇年快乐！
The Inspectors General refuse to leave until the action is taken legally, which they do not believe it was, and neither do senators like Chuck Grassley. This is what not backing down looks like.
static.politico.com/b3/3e/5baf92...
I hope he is banned for life from entering Schengen Europe.
Nice to learn that China has extended Visa free stays to 30 days effective November 30th.
“…the US is the only nation in the world currently governed by a document drawn up in the age of the Enlightenment.”
3-One of the main areas of doubt is whether countries that launch economic warfare at each other are going to be able to maintain reasonable people to people relationships when each country's popularity sinks lower among the otherçs mass public.
2- It is entirely unclear whether any of these assumptions will hold under Trump II.
I find it hard to believe that public opinion support for China in the United States will rise after January 2025 if Trump does indeed roll out sorts of actions that he trumpeted in his campaign.
The written account of the Xi Biden meeting in Peru reads like the Playbook of the constructive engagement of the 1990s reiterating elements that are 'important' while making several assertions about what will presumably help sustain a fruitful relationship between the two countries.
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