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Posts by Ralph Scott

First: hilarious.

Second: A core belief of Trump-brand conservativsm is there are and never have been difficult problems, only dumb leaders without the strength to be cruel enough to solve them.

It's why they always look so baffled when pushing the "more cruelty" button doesn't seem to work.

6 hours ago 637 154 15 3

Academia should have more and better jobs, of course, but insofar as it currently doesn’t, nobody should be beating themselves up. Moreover, the outside is actually pretty nice for most people, and there are many places to use what you learned to do.

21 hours ago 150 13 3 1

Genuinely insane that Steve Hilton is currently leading the field

22 hours ago 1 0 0 0
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Academic Job Market Trends in Politics and International Relations - Political Studies Association Academic Job Market Trends in Politics and International Relations: Evidence from the UK, 2012-25 Authored by: Dr Ralph Scott, Dr Lawrence McKay, and Dr William Allen Read the full report here  …

*NEW ACADEMIC JOB MARKET REPORT*
If you missed the launch of the new #Politics #Academic #Job Market Report at #PSA26 it's now online. Authored by @ralphscott.bsky.social, @lawrencemckay.bsky.social & Dr William Allen in collaboration with PSA ECN @psaecn.bsky.social
➡️ Read report

1 day ago 5 1 0 0

Well yes, but where else would you import your culture war policy from??

1 day ago 2 0 0 0

It might be EDI statements (which I've seen for some jobs although not recently)? Good to see the government addressing what really matters in HE! /s

1 day ago 0 0 1 0
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Remember when the BBC apologized for calling Reform UK "far right"? And how journos invented "hard right" for them?

Well, one thing voters and experts can both agree on is that they are far/radical/extreme right - whichever term you prefer. They belong to that party family. Nothing mainstream.

2 days ago 11 3 2 0
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The significant year on year fall on boat arrivals is broadly unreported by BBC or other media. It has less to do with imminent government changes currently going through than a fall in "push factors" that is Europe-wide

4 days ago 501 205 12 10
Screen grab of an email from jobs.ac.uk saying there have been no new jobs in Politics in the last 3 months

Screen grab of an email from jobs.ac.uk saying there have been no new jobs in Politics in the last 3 months

C'mon jobs.ac.uk , I know things are bad but this is ridiculous

4 days ago 14 2 0 0
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Sharing our meta-analysis on predictors of immigration attitudes — now the most cited article in JEMS. We synthesised 1,185 estimates from 110 studies across 5 disciplines.
Open access 👉 Which individual-level factors explain public attitudes toward immigration? www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10.... 🧵

5 days ago 2 3 1 1
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Job Prospects in Politics – new report for the PSA - Political Studies Association A new report for the Political Studies Association, shared exclusively with Research Professional News ahead of its publication on 31 March at PSA26 Annual Conference, analyses trends in politics…

*PSA News*
📢 Job Prospects in Politics - a new report for the PSA.
We are pleased to share this article by Research Professional News @resprofnews.bsky.social about the new job market report for the PSA.
➡️ Read article

6 days ago 1 2 0 0
Preview
Academic Job Market Trends in Politics and International Relations - Political Studies Association Academic Job Market Trends in Politics and International Relations: Evidence from the UK, 2012-25 Authored by: Dr Ralph Scott, Dr Lawrence McKay, and Dr William Allen Read the full report here  …

*NEW ACADEMIC JOB MARKET REPORT*
If you missed the launch of the new #Politics #Academic #Job Market Report at #PSA26 it's now online. Authored by @ralphscott.bsky.social, @lawrencemckay.bsky.social & Dr William Allen in collaboration with PSA ECN @psaecn.bsky.social
➡️ Read report buff.ly/q8IwqWj

1 week ago 3 3 0 1
In their book Who Wants What?, Rueda and Stegmuller (2019, chap. 3) investigate the influence of expected lifetime earnings (estimated based on an individual’s level of education and working experience) on redistribution preferences in depth. Firstly, through analysis of European Social Survey data (and accounting for country-level variation), they find a strong relationship between expected lifetime income and opposition to redistribution – stronger even than that of current income. They then
examine the causal relationship in Britain specifically, using British Household Panel Survey data to estimate the effect of an individual-level change in income and expected lifetime income (due to changes in educational status and work experience), producing similar results to their comparative work. Building on this work, analysis exploring the effects of life-time income mobility by Helgason and Rehm (2022) suggest that this change is experienced as a dynamic learning process,
whereby those experiencing income mobility steadily change their preferences with reference to their new circumstances, whereas those with stable income profiles at either end of the income spectrum become more entrenched in their support or opposition to redistribution.

In their book Who Wants What?, Rueda and Stegmuller (2019, chap. 3) investigate the influence of expected lifetime earnings (estimated based on an individual’s level of education and working experience) on redistribution preferences in depth. Firstly, through analysis of European Social Survey data (and accounting for country-level variation), they find a strong relationship between expected lifetime income and opposition to redistribution – stronger even than that of current income. They then examine the causal relationship in Britain specifically, using British Household Panel Survey data to estimate the effect of an individual-level change in income and expected lifetime income (due to changes in educational status and work experience), producing similar results to their comparative work. Building on this work, analysis exploring the effects of life-time income mobility by Helgason and Rehm (2022) suggest that this change is experienced as a dynamic learning process, whereby those experiencing income mobility steadily change their preferences with reference to their new circumstances, whereas those with stable income profiles at either end of the income spectrum become more entrenched in their support or opposition to redistribution.

When combined with the wider decompositional evidence that at least part of the effect of education on attitudes toward redistribution is attributable to increased earnings (Marshall, 2016; Bullock, 2021), this suggests that this anticipatory effect may take hold even before the graduate premium is actually present in their takehome pay, and that this will steadily develop over time. In addition, it also suggests that the direction, timing and magnitude of the allocation effect of higher education on economic values is likely to be sensitive to the economic and social context at the time. For example, students in previous generations, where the graduate premium was more pronounced (Boero et al., 2021) and grants were available might feel more positive about their economic outlook and therefore be more economically rightwing, compared with more recent graduates, who face a more uncertain premium and an increasingly onerous tuition fees and student loan regime, who might be expected to lean left on economic issues.

When combined with the wider decompositional evidence that at least part of the effect of education on attitudes toward redistribution is attributable to increased earnings (Marshall, 2016; Bullock, 2021), this suggests that this anticipatory effect may take hold even before the graduate premium is actually present in their takehome pay, and that this will steadily develop over time. In addition, it also suggests that the direction, timing and magnitude of the allocation effect of higher education on economic values is likely to be sensitive to the economic and social context at the time. For example, students in previous generations, where the graduate premium was more pronounced (Boero et al., 2021) and grants were available might feel more positive about their economic outlook and therefore be more economically rightwing, compared with more recent graduates, who face a more uncertain premium and an increasingly onerous tuition fees and student loan regime, who might be expected to lean left on economic issues.

My thesis? It's available here (at some point I will turn this last bit into a paper): pure.manchester.ac.uk/ws/portalfil...

But here are the key extracts to avoid needing to wade through

1 week ago 2 0 1 0

Haha a very familiar feeling!

(the work on income expectations was useful for my thesis which is why I ended up digging in)

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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Who Wants What? Cambridge Core - European Studies - Who Wants What?

Something along those lines in this (which you may already know!) from Rueda and Stegmueller: www.cambridge.org/core/books/w...

Also interesting is the role of altruism, particularly among the liberal-left, who may favour redistribution even if it hurts them financially.

1 week ago 1 0 1 0
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We're doing a series of interviews with former PMs (to be published in the coming months!) and one of them said exactly this: the job is so varied, and you can't pick and choose the good bits of the job - you *have* to do them all.

1 week ago 106 19 6 1

This kind of thing is taken to absurd levels at US airports, where ime you can easily miss your flight if you don't pay for queue jumping privileges

1 week ago 2 0 0 0

Keeping this for the future: Orbán on TV saying that the election results are painful but clear. This feels momentous. #Hungary

1 week ago 145 34 5 10

Yep sorry about that Kenn! At least for me it's good to know the underlying structural issue explains a lot of what's going on!

2 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

It's so good!

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0

Good thread summarising excellent analysis of the grim state of the politics academic job market

2 weeks ago 10 7 0 0

We published a report that used web archives, email digests, and university staff statistics to track the UK academic job market in political science and IR since 2012. It’s part of a broader problem we need to address w/ structural solutions without losing sight of its personal impacts. #polisky

2 weeks ago 20 9 1 1
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truly one of the best to ever do it, right on the intentional/unintentional border

2 weeks ago 17 2 1 0

What I find fascinating about this plot is how political science receives very little public funding relative to other disciplines--but it has the *highest* technical reproducibility rate for published papers.

Way to go guys!! #1 in reproducibility 😎

2 weeks ago 20 3 2 0

Congratulations and well deserved!

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
Bitmoji Anthropology
Bitmoji Anthropology YouTube video by Chris Fleming

While I'm here, this is some of the best Arrival-adjacent content I'm aware of: www.youtube.com/watch?v=E2I0...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Does the public's appetite for unserious, escapist techno-optimism perhaps say something important about our times? Who can say

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Oh man I found some of the PHM music choices so obvious and/or manipulative! And whatever the opposite of diegetic is. But now I'm getting too critical...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0

Yes and it was enjoyable enough, I laughed at the jokes, Ryan Gosling is v charming etc., but it left me feeling a bit empty. Too many convenient solutions too often. Cinema was packed though so there's clearly an audience for it!

2 weeks ago 0 0 1 0

Probably says something about me that I loved Arrival and found PHM just too silly and lacking in real peril

2 weeks ago 2 0 4 0
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