Do ‘surreal’ à estabilidade: lições dos planos heterodoxos 40 anos depois Cruzado representou mais que um experimento: foi o início de um aprendizado, sem o qual o Brasil não teria chegado à estabilização na década seguinte

Reportagem sobre o nosso livro, que sairá em breve.
valor.globo.com/eu-e/noticia...

www1.folha.uol.com.br/poder/2026/0...

Pessoas que estudam Brasil e irão participar do congresso da @echistsoc.bsky.social #EHS100 , entrem em contato. A comunidade é pequena, mas unida!
ehs.org.uk/conference/2...

Demorou, mas vai sair.

Isso e o fato do pessoal achar que escutar podcast (especialmente os "brocasts") é algo transcendente\erudito, a maioria é o equivalente a ler "filho rico pai pobre".

Obrigado!

Obrigado!

Texto sobre nosso projeto com o Modern Endangered Archives Program/UCLA. Ajudem na divulgação, precisamos ter uma base Parker-Gallman para o Brasil!

What began as a lecture on the field's evolution is turning into a paper. An animation mapping the affiliations of over 3,000 authors published in the EHR over the last century (Latin America is the most underrepresented region).
@echistsocreview.bsky.social @echistsoc.bsky.social

The first is a working paper by three economists—Elliott Ash, Daniel Chen, and Suresh Naidu—from 2017. While the authors are economists, the actual contribution—summed up in a title that few historians would think debatable, “Ideas Have Consequences”—is about legal or intellectual history. It presents a powerful and discrete account of the transmission of ideas across social networks through textual analysis. The substance argues that privately funded Manne seminars in law and economics—which were attended by a substantial proportion of the federal judiciary—affected the language, decisions, and sentencing of federal justices who attended them and thus, by implication, allowed large-value conservative donors to capture the federal judiciary. The effect seems robust to a variety of covariates [...] Reading this paper was exciting, but looking through the tools and tricks and sources also made me feel like someone in a science fiction movie encountering an artifact sent back from a few decades in the future. The extraordinary quality of data that economists can obtain is almost unimaginable to humanists. It is not just a million or so circuit court votes and 300,000 opinions but also the institutional capacity to file Freedom of Information Act (FOIA) requests to get the exact years of attendance for every judge who went to the Manne program and the disciplinary capacity to casually use relatively new methods like word embeddings without spending pages slowly, gently analogizing them to some “simpler” concept. Humanists wandering through algorithms seem to have to justify using an algorithm by first identifying which Borges short story—whether about the Map of the Empire, the analytical language of John Wilkins, or Pierre Menard and the Quijote—it most closely resembles.

This essay from @bschmidt.bsky.social on how history rejected computational methods, & so "quantitative history" ended up in the social sciences, & "digital humanities" in literature, with no historians doing computational work, is fascinating, & worth a read: dhdebates.gc.cuny.edu/read/computa...

Colega teve um artigo rejeitado em um jornal. Parecerista: não citou papers "fundamentais". Dos 10, 8 não existiam. 1 desses a referência era o mesmo journal e outro era um artigo cuja suposta autora era a colega. Revistas médias e pequenas vão sumir com tanto ruído.

<em>The Economic History Review</em> | EHS Journal | Wiley Online Library Click on the title to browse this issue

The Economic History Review has published a virtual issue collecting the contributions of 2025 Nobel Laureate Joel Mokyr in the journal. I had the privilege of writing the introductory essay. You can read it here, together with Joel's articles and reviews.
onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/toc/10.1...

O site do nosso centro de pesquisa já está no ar e, em breve, reunirá tudo sobre eventos, editais de bolsas e novas publicações.
eesp.fgv.br/centros-de-e...

www1.folha.uol.com.br/opiniao/2025...

Vencedores do Nobel de Economia investigaram a importância da inovação Três economistas foram laureados com o Prêmio Nobel de Economia, divulgado na manhã de ontem (13/10). São eles: o holandês naturalizado norte-americano Joel Mokyr, de 79 anos, da Universidade Northwes...

Vencedores do Nobel de Economia investigaram a importância da inovação. Joel Mokyr, Philippe Aghion e Peter Howitt buscaram entender o papel da tecnologia no desenvolvimento econômico. bit.ly/4nTRGAG

#nobelprize #prêmionobel2025 #nobeleconomia

LIVE: Nobel Prize in economics winner Joel Mokyr speaks YouTube video by Reuters

Fogel to Mokyr: "Economics must deal with economic history. For economics to work without economic history is like an evolutionary biologist without paleontology. If you don't have paleontology, you just missed 99,5% of all the species that existed." www.youtube.com/watch?v=__0s...

Minha nossa, "O regime republicano nasceu de um golpe militar, após 40 anos de estabilidade," realmente é um very bad take. Também mostra como não temos uma explicação clara para o fim do Império.

@leoweller.bsky.social
"Se a anistia de 1979 revelou-se depois indispensável para pacificar o país, afinal os militares ainda estavam no poder, repetir agora o perdão judicial a Bolsonaro e demais réus condenaria a uma instabilidade política que já parecia superada" 👇

@dacemoglumit.bsky.social You're a Nobel Prize winner, you really shouldn't be spreading this completely false bullshit!!

Op-ed no Brasil na década de 1950.

"I rely on close readings of primary documents". Is there a faraway reading of these documents?

{r5r} good news: now it's possible to adjust car speeds in #r5rstats to simulate different scenarios of traffic congestion and road closures. This feature is available in the dev version and will be included in the next release:
ipeagit.github.io/r5r/dev/arti... #rstats #rspatial #r5rstats

We often think of transportation infrastructure as a key driver of economic growth. And that’s true. But it also has a big environmental footprint -- one that’s often underestimated.

Like Great-Grandparent, Like Great-Grandchild? Multigenerational Mobility in American History Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

The past really sticks.

Even after 4 generations, your great-grandfather’s economic status still largely shapes your own.

👉 33% persistence across time for whites
👉 But racial inequality is the key driver

The American Dream? More inherited than we thought.
www.nber.org/papers/w33923

Better data for Brazil

Working paper: osf.io/preprints/so...

I will post the full version shortly, as soon as it appears on socArXiv. In the meantime, here is the new estimate for GDP per capita.

My new paper on Imperial Brazil (1824–89). New price series, maritime freight, internal trade, exchange rates, and ToT. Real wages and GDP per capita show that growth est. are biased by the available price indices, which overstate inflation by 57–270%. Correction resolves the BR low-growth paradox.

Promulgada há 40 anos, a Emenda Constitucional nº 25 foi um marco para a redemocratização do Brasil. Ao garantir o voto aos analfabetos e liberar a reorganização de partidos, avançou nas duas dimensões básicas da democracia: inclusão e contestação. Minha coluna desta semana 👇

Liberals are the only ones who can truly defend us at present.