Explore the full data here:
docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Total Number of Candidates (/5047, Due to Multi-Member Wards):

🌹 LAB: 4,882 (96.7%)
➡️ RFM: 4,801 (95.1%)
🌳 CON: 4,752 (94.2%)
🌍 GRN: 4,446 (88.1%)
🔶 LDM: 3,929 (77.8%)
🧑‍🔧 TUSC: 284 (5.6%)
⚙️ WPB: 72 (1.4%)
🔴 SDP: 48 (1.0%)

🙋 Inds: 861
🏘️ Localists: 572

🚨 2026 LOCAL ELECTIONS TOTAL NUMBER OF SEATS CONTESTED (/2952):

➡️ RFM: 2,950 (99.9%)
🌳 CON: 2,893 (98.0%)
🌹 LAB: 2,857 (96.8%)
🌍 GRN: 2,824 (95.7%)
🔶 LDM: 2,547 (86.3%)
🧑‍🔧 TUSC: 269 (9.1%)
⚙️ WPB: 59 (2.0%)
🔴 SDP: 44 (1.5%)

🙋 Inds: 612
🏘️ Localists: 311

Cliftonville (Kent) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 38.8% (+26.7)
➡️ RFM: 33.1% (-7.0)
🌳 CON: 15.2% (-4.5)
🌹 LAB: 10.4% (-11.6)
🙋 Ind: 1.3% (New)
🔶 LDM: 1.2% (-1.9)

No Ind (-3.0) as previous.

Green GAIN from Reform UK.
Changes w/ 2025.

2026 Statement of Persons Nominated (SoPN) - @ElectionMapsUK

2026 Crowd-Sourced Statement of Persons Nominated Master Sheet is now Live - most will be published by 5PM today.

docs.google.com/spreadsheets...

Just the 1 council by-election this week, a Reform defence in Cliftonville (Kent).

That's awfully kind - thank you!!

Ideally you'll have some knowledge of the software I use, but I don't expect applicants to be able to do it all, so I'm most likely looking to get 2-3 people onboard.

So, I'm looking for someone (or a group) to do a 'Guest Residency' of ElectionMapsUK to cover the 2026 Local Elections while I'm away! If you, or a group of you would like to apply to do this, it would be much appreciated if you could fill out the form below.

forms.gle/ewF1HypMUz5M...

🚨 | Hello! Bit of a weird one this, but I'm going to be away from 27th April for up to 24 nights without access to the internet (I can explain why in a few months time...).

Obviously, I'm aware this is the worst possible time of year for me to be absent.

(and none for an entire month).

The Senedd / Welsh Parliament election takes place 5 weeks tomorrow, and we've only had 6 polls for it the entire year...

My Seat Model:

SNP: 64 (-1)
LAB: 16 (-6)
RFM: 16 (+16)
GRN: 15 (+7)
CON: 12 (-19)
LDM: 7 (+3)

Changes w/ 2021.

Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 39% (+3)
LAB: 15% (-5)
RFM: 15% (-1)
CON: 11% (+2)
LDM: 10% (=)
GRN: 7% (=)

List:
SNP: 29% (+3)
GRN: 16% (=)
RFM: 16% (+2)
LAB: 15% (-4)
CON: 13% (+2)
LDM: 9% (-1)

Via @ipsosinscotland.bsky.social, 26-31 Mar.
Changes w/ 19-25 Feb.

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 24% (=)
CON: 19% (=)
LAB: 16% (-2)
GRN: 16% (-3)
LDM: 13% (+1)
RES: 4% (New)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via YouGov, 6-7 Apr.
Changes w/ 29-30 Mar.

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 30% (=)
LAB: 20% (+1)
CON: 19% (-2)
GRN: 12% (=)
LDM: 12% (+1)
SNP: 2% (=)

Via @moreincommonuk.bsky.social, 2-7 Apr.
Changes w/ 28-30 Mar.

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 27% (-1)
LAB: 20% (-1)
CON: 19% (-1)
GRN: 15% (+3)
LDM: 12% (=)
SNP: 2% (-1)

Via @goodgrowthfdn.bsky.social, 27 Mar - 1 Apr.
Changes w/ 13-16 Feb.

This model is now using my new tactical voting methodology - which brings it in line with the Westminster Nowcast - based on figures from the latest Survation poll.

🚨 | Holyrood Nowcast:

🎗️ SNP: 55 (-9) - 35.0% | 30.1% - 10 Short.
🌹 LAB: 21 (-1) - 18.1% | 16.8%
➡️ RFM: 19 (+19) - 17.2% | 16.8%
🌍 GRN: 12 (+4) - 7.9% | 12.1%
🌳 CON: 11 (-20) - 10.5% | 11.2%
🔶 LDM: 11 (+7) - 9.2% | 9.1%

Changes w/ 2021.
Explore: electionmaps.uk/nowcast/holy...

Register to vote Register to vote to take part in elections in the UK. Includes how to get on the electoral register and how to update your address on the register.

🚨 | The Deadline to Register to Vote for the 2026 Holyrood, Senedd, & English Local Elections is 23:59PM on Monday 20th April.

www.gov.uk/register-to-...

My Seat Model:

SNP: 59 (-5)
LAB: 21 (-1)
RFM: 16 (+16)
LDM: 12 (+8)
GRN: 11 (+3)
CON: 10 (-21)

Changes w/ 2021.

Holyrood Voting Intention:

Constituency:
SNP: 34% (-1)
LAB: 19% (+2)
RFM: 15% (-4)
CON: 11% (+1)
LDM: 10% (+2)
GRN: 8% (=)

Regional:
SNP: 30% (=)
LAB: 17% (=)
RFM: 15% (-4)
GRN: 12% (+1)
CON: 10% (-1)
LDM: 10% (+3)

Via Norstat, 30 Mar - 1 Apr.
Changes w/ 10-13 Feb.

Should of course be Rossendale, not Rossendale & Darwen!

Aggregate Result of the 228 Council By-Elections (for 231 Seats) since the 2025 Local Elections:

RFM: 80 (+68)
LDM: 64(+20)
CON: 28 (-23)
LAB: 17 (-53)
GRN: 19 (+4)
Ind: 9 (-10)
Local: 5 (-6)
PLC: 5 (+1)
SNP: 4 (-1)

Dashboard: electionmaps.uk/byelections-...

Tottington (Bury) Council By-Election Result:

➡️ RFM: 39.5% (New)
🌳 CON: 26.7% (-19.1)
🌹 LAB: 14.7% (-14.5)
🌍 GRN: 10.9% (New)
🏘️ TfB: 8.2% (New)

No Bury Inds (-25.0) as previous.

Reform GAIN from Conservative.
Changes w/ 2024.

Hareholme & Waterfoot (Rossendale & Darwen) Council By-Election Result:

🌍 GRN: 37.7% (+9.2)
➡️ RFM: 34.5% (New)
🌹 LAB: 19.2% (-27.9)
🌳 CON: 6.8% (-17.6)
🔶 LDM: 1.8% (New)

Green GAIN from Labour.
Changes w/ 2024.

Wigmore (Luton) Council By-Election Result:

➡️ RFM: 32.9% (New)
🔶 LDM: 30.4% (-24.2)
🌍 GRN: 19.6% (+10.5)
🌹 LAB: 9.7% (-0.3)
🌳 CON: 6.6% (-4.4)
🙋 Ind: 0.7% (New)

No Ind (-15.2) as previous.

Reform GAIN from Liberal Democrat.
Changes w/ 2024.

Fremington (North Devon) Council By-Election Result:

🔶 LDM: 49.9% (+42.4)
➡️ RFM: 32.9% (New)
🌍 GRN: 8.7% (New)
🌳 CON: 7.7% (-4.4)
🌹 LAB: 0.8% (-7.8)

No Ind (-71.7) as previous.

Liberal Democrat GAIN from Independent.
Changes w/ 2023.

Westminster Voting Intention:

RFM: 26% (+2)
GRN: 20% (=)
CON: 18% (=)
LAB: 15% (-1)
LDM: 10% (-2)
SNP: 3% (=)

Via @findoutnow.bsky.social, 1-2 Apr.
Changes w/ 26-27 Mar.

My Seat Model:

PLC: 38
RFM: 31
LAB: 14
CON: 6
GRN: 5
LDM: 2