Looking forward to the analysis!

Brilliant work btw

Have you analyzed how predictable your xFA is vs xA? As in, how well does past xFA translate into future xFA/future fantasy assists?

--- Expected Fantasy Assists (xFA) ---

Ok the results are in, how does xFA v1.0 perform in comparison to xA?

Well I looked at 2023-24 #FPL season data and xFA is 3.6% off the FPL assist total, compared to 29.8% off for xA - that's an 8x improvement (!!)

🧵

Have been thinking about takeaways from the wonderful bps podcast from @aboveaveragefpl.bsky.social and I think I have found something vaguely interesting re: forwards and the value of their first goal vs additional goals. This season forwards have 191 bonus points from 110 goals.

Blue sky is running hot this evening. Setting up a few lists. Analytics FPL devotees are going to have a list of their own.

Please share this so I can add you to it if you are interested in fantasy premier league data and how it can be used in fantasy football. #FPL

New to Bluesky, FPL account from Twitter