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Posts by Harry Dienes

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Against Optimization We are bombarded by messages telling us to worship the gods of efficiency and optimization, life hacking our way to prosperity. It's a trap. Resilience is a smarter, sturdier goal.

So much of our modern world tells you that you’re a failure if you don’t optimise everything. But, as I explain here, that’s not just the pathway to a miserable life; it’s also a surefire way to destroy resilience and create catastrophe, from individual lives to complex social systems.

1 year ago 197 67 12 6

Deeply strange entering middle-age at a time in world history where things are getting measurably worse. Just a continual psychic struggle of “is this fogeyism or are things just not what they used to be?”

1 year ago 2486 265 115 0
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Can offshore wind help some fish? Research increasingly says yes. First shipwrecks. Then oil rigs. Now, it’s offshore wind turbines that are becoming artificial reefs for creatures from haddock to lobster.

www.canarymedia.com/articles/off...

Perhaps offshore wind and the lobster industry are actually natural allies?

1 year ago 338 71 7 4

A lot of positions would be better off being filled by lottery among people who meet a certain minimum standard (higher for more difficult positions), as this allows more opportunities to find unusual talents that may not be well documented on paper.

Especially in university admissions.

1 year ago 104 11 4 3
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Politics with Proper Names On Przeworski and Teune, Gove and "Rove"

Was Michael Gove right? There's a brave question to start a thread about my latest post... But in the current turmoil it might help liberals to think through the limits of 'expert-led politics', which is but one branch of liberalism. 🧵1/n

benansell.substack.com/p/politics-w...

1 year ago 98 33 26 25

Umberto Eco once wrote that Europeans are vaccinated by centuries of conflict on their continent.

One of the most important things in today’s Europe is to call out those who doubt the efficacy of this vaccine.

We have anti-democratic forces in our midst, now is the time to stand up against them.

1 year ago 96 27 2 2
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Rebel technocrats start to disentangle Syria’s corrupt state Transitional authorities grapple with bureaucracy filled with phantom jobs, pervasive graft and culture of obedience

Rebel technocrats start to disentangle Syria’s corrupt state - on.ft.com/41uI6Mm Great read, not just for the official whose job was "flags"

1 year ago 33 14 1 2
A chart in three parts showing data on child mortality to make the points that "The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time."

A chart in three parts showing data on child mortality to make the points that "The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better. All three statements are true at the same time."

The world is awful. The world is much better. The world can be much better.

All three statements are true at the same time. Understanding this is key to solving big global problems.

We believe data & research can help us understand both the problems we face & the progress that’s possible. 🧵

1 year ago 1248 419 11 40

Oscar Piastri after contact with Max Verstappen: "Yep. Move of a World Champion, that one."

1 year ago 174 16 6 1
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Essential yet evasive: Theoretical and methodological insights into business power and influence This introduction sets the stage for a collection of articles that explore business power and influence through a historical lens, presenting case studies from various regions and time periods. The...

Business historians have a lot to contribute to the study of business power. I look forward to reading this forthcoming Special Issue in th journal Business History, edited by Maiju Wuokko and Susanna Felman:
www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1 year ago 10 5 0 0

Reflecting on Starmer’s comments on the CS yday and on the response it’s got in Whitehall since.

If there’s any piece of advice I’d give Starmer - and at this fragile juncture I want to shout it from the rooftops - it would be:

‘Blame the system, not the people’.

🧵

1 year ago 257 89 14 27

Completely. I feel like it must have become “un-normalised” at some point…

1 year ago 1 0 0 0
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Treasury asking ministers to draw up billions of pounds of infrastructure cuts Exclusive: departments asked to model cuts of up to 10% despite Rachel Reeves’ vow to invest in growth

None of this is really filling me with great confidence. As an ex-HMT person I see where this is coming from but the public infrastructure in this country is in a state of collapse.

www.theguardian.com/politics/202...

1 year ago 42 11 3 0

No idea Nick Crafts had passed away! Always worth listening to.

1 year ago 2 0 0 0

Seeing as there are so many new accounts here now, reposting this thread (of 50, not 100). Posted one a day until I ran out of steam.

1 year ago 18 6 4 0
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Thomas Chaney and I updated our working paper on "Trade and the End of Antiquity" (which recently got some airtime on twitter). A short re-cap: 1/n

1 year ago 93 29 2 6
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Mortality from the 1944–1945 famine in Java, Indonesia This article examines the human toll of the 1944–1945 famine in Java, Indonesia's main island. It estimates birth and death rates for the Indonesian population in Java during 1941–1951. Using the net....

Drought, famine & Japanese occupation killed 1.8 million in Java 1944-45 & reduced births by 1.5M. Population declined 4%, according to a new OA paper by Pierre van der Eng in the Asia-Pacific EcHR. Further Losses 1946-49 were comparable!
📉📈🗃🏺📗 📜 😷 🛟 #history #AcademicSky #demography #Java #edusky

1 year ago 12 3 2 0