The Ukraine war will shape the world We must not repeat the mistakes of the appeasers in the 1930s

Great piece by Martin Wolf

#UkrainianView

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Trump’s Ukraine policy is based on fabricated numbers ($350bn). His Russia policy is based on fabricated numbers (majority support for Russia in occupied territory). Why are we surprised that his trade policy is also based on fabricated numbers?

Trump Says Recession Unfortunate But Necessary Step To Get To Depression WASHINGTON—Warning that Americans should brace themselves for an economic “period of transition,” President Donald Trump told reporters Monday that a recession would be an unfortunate but necessary st...

Trump Says Recession Unfortunate But Necessary Step To Get To Depression

What are the effects of macroeconomic #uncertainty on consumers&firms?

In short, randomized controlled trials show that macroeconomic uncertainty inhibits econ activity

Economic Policy Uncertainty index is now higher than it was during COVID.

This means a higher prob of a recession

#EconSky

I think this shows unequivocally that he’s not reading his intelligence briefings. This is a bizarre description of the Kursk situation.

Replacing foreign aid: A macroeconomic plan B for #Ukraine (and Europe)
A new CEPR brief w/ @torbjornbecker.bsky.social, B Eichengreen, S Guriev, @simonhrjohnson.bsky.social, @mylovanov.bsky.social, M Obstfeld, K Rogoff, @ilonasolohub.bsky.social & @wederdim.bsky.social

#EconSky #UkrainianView

Where is the outrage in America about this shameful betrayal by Trump? Where are the Senators and Members of Congress who cheered Zelensky when he addressed them, but are now too afraid of Trump to say a word in defence of Ukraine?

Jeff Sachs gave a speech at the EU parliament. Among many crazy things in the speech: "So I’m giving [Estonia] advice, do not stand there, Estonia, and say we want to break up Russia, are you kidding?" That is, Estonia must return to Mother Russia.

Unhinged...

#UkrainianView

tinyurl.com/yc8rnxe6

This would be a cruel and senseless act. Utter shame

Trump and Vance in particular were always looking to suspend military aid to Ukraine. Makes the White House confrontation look even more like a set up

I guess things were actually looking quite good for the US as a superpower. Russia was stuck in an unwinnable war + really bad economy, China's growth had slowed down, and Iran's regime looked fragile after the protests. Oh well, then Trump came along, and now the American century seems to be over.

Da

Video: Trump, Zelensky and Vance Argue Over Ukraine War President Trump and Vice President JD Vance scolded President Volodymyr Zelensky of Ukraine during a meeting in the Oval Office on Friday, claiming he was not grateful enough for U.S. aid.

This will be remembered as the day when America's honor took a deep dive...

And meanwhile #Ukraine will keep fighting for all of us who believe in freedom, justice and democracy

#UkrainianView

www.nytimes.com/video/us/pol...

What makes Trump’s magic number $500bn? The lawlessness of big numbers

When everything looks like $500bn

Please share this fact sheet on Ukraine with anyone who needs it

understandingwar.org/backgrounder...

To: The future German chancellor To: The future German chancellor From: Economists For Ukraine. Dear Chancellor, Congratulations on taking the helm of the Federal Republic of Germany! You are in a perfect storm, and Germany mus...

Hey #EconSky

Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d

Please share this letter with your colleagues.

To: The future German chancellor To: The future German chancellor From: Economists For Ukraine. Dear Chancellor, Congratulations on taking the helm of the Federal Republic of Germany! You are in a perfect storm, and Germany mus...

Economists for Ukraine (econ4ua.org) drafted an open letter to the future German chancellor. We call for 🇩🇪 & 🇪🇺 to step up & to ⬆️ support for #Ukraine. Please read & sign (if you agree), the form is at the end of ✉️): tinyurl.com/m9ta2b5d

Please share this letter with your colleagues.
#UkrainianView

Who started the war in Ukraine? U.S. President Donald Trump claimed on Feb. 18 that Ukraine "should have never started" the war.

Incredible article!

kyivindependent.com/who-started-...

“This War [Russian invasion] is far more important to Europe than it is to us,” Trump wrote. “We have a big, beautiful Ocean as separation.”

A message to 🇵🇱, Baltics, 🇵🇱, 🇸🇪, 🇩🇪 & the rest of EUR? "Don't count on the US for help if things go bad. There is a big, beautiful Ocean."

#UkrainianView

EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal Advocates say reopening pipelines could help settlement with Moscow and cut energy costs

OMFG, these people just learn nothing.

EU debates return to Russian gas as part of Ukraine peace deal on.ft.com/4hlAUXR

I am ecstatic that my paper “Sinking ships: liquidity constraints and return predictability in recessions” is now in press at the Journal of Monetary Economics! 🥳 If you are interested in financial frictions, illiquidity, and asymmetric amplification, you can find it here: doi.org/10.1016/j.jm...

This is a thread about remaking the tech sector.

The true shock in this war came from Ukraine itself - its people, defying scripts written in Moscow and Washington

Yet, the old ways of thinking persist. Speaking in Berlin this week, I was struck by how much of the debate revolved around Trump imposing a top-down solution 1/

U.S. Transfers $20 Billion Loan to Ukraine Backed by Russian Assets The economic lifeline ensures that Ukraine will have economic support after President-elect Donald J. Trump takes office.

Ms. Yellen described the loan as one of the most important things that she had been involved with during her time in the job.

Yellen: "... #Russia increasingly bear the costs of its illegal war, instead of taxpayers in our coalition.”

👍

BTW, it's Dr. Yellen.

#UkraineView

Russia uses civilians as ‘target practice’ for killer drones Southern Ukrainian city of Kherson hit more than 9,500 times as Moscow attempts to drive out residents

Another day in Kherson, another Ukrainian civilian hunted down and killed by a Russian drone, according to the regional military administration head Oleksandr Prokudin. The victim was a 67-year-old man. t.me/olexandrprok...

Read our @financialtimes.com investigation here: www.ft.com/content/31b6...

Lavrov: we didn’t attack Ukraine. It is Ukraine and the U.S. who attacked us

Translation: War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is Strength 1/

Lavrov, through Tucker Carlson, delivers a sharp, manipulative pitch: Russia is ready to deal directly with Europe, bypassing the U.S.

He tells Europeans they shouldn’t suffer for America’s fight but focus on their own security and prosperity with Russia He said:

1/

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Russia uses civilians as ‘target practice’ for killer drones Southern Ukrainian city of Kherson hit more than 9,500 times as Moscow attempts to drive out residents

A completely horrifying investigation by FT that proves intent to harm and kill civilians beyond any reasonable doubt. Never forget: russia is a terroris state.
on.ft.com/4fTNzAL