Unexpected.
Posts by Brian Moon
Bonkers.
“can you just please give us a chance to put some absurd satire out there before you prove that it's more realistic than we ever intended?”
www.polygon.com/the-boys-sho...
Gordian Knot of the Free Will Debate - a really nice review of "Free Agents" 😊 sayanisarkar.substack.com/p/gordian-kn...
"The true essence of the system exists in the relations between those parts." - @wiringthebrain.bsky.social
The failure to understand this creates an explanatory blindness that can only be corrected with rose-colored glasses.
The naturalistic row is also curious... Promising?
There's a Soylent Green joke in here somewhere...
Sounds quite familiar!
@quiltydunn.bsky.social and @johnwkrakauer.bsky.social -- you might have a look at the literature from:
naturalisticdecisionmaking.org
Also:
www.amazon.com/Darwins-Peop...
"Unquestioned ... is the metaphor that brains are computers—the hardware on which the software of consciousness is run. Here, we meet a metaphor parading as fact. Indeed, the whole paper and its conclusions hinge on the validity of this metaphor."
www.wired.com/story/book-e...
Why do AI decision-support systems often fail to improve real decisions?
Join our next NDMA webinar with @tmiller-uq.bsky.social for a new way of thinking about decision support: Evaluative AI, influenced by NDM.
🗓️ Wed, Jan 28, 2026 • 3:00 PM EST
www.eventbrite.com/e/ndma-webin...
Free Will Absolutely Does Exist with Dr. Kevin Mitchell - Factually! www.youtube.com/watch?v=26Ng... - I'd forgotten about this one - a very fun chat with Adam Conover! 😊
Going analogue with the snake oil intake.
We’re extending our holiday pricing for The Plot Thinkens through January 5.
If you’re wrapping up end-of-year training spend or planning Q1 team development, this gives you a little extra time to take advantage of the offer.
Details here: perigeantechnologies.com/tpt-holiday-...
You don’t have to be in academia to do so. You merely have to be rigorous in the way you observe reality.
More notes when I’m done."
I look forward to more notes!
There are many ways to do falsification, and running an experiment is not the only way.
Somehow, I have never heard this message.
Anyway this is actually a super super hopeful message, because it means more folks can actually do science.
Specifically your explanations can’t guarantee that something will happen, only you can show that something absolutely CANNOT happen without a thing being present. And he argues, convincingly, that this approach to science goes all the way back to Popper.
Brian’s goal with the book is to remind you that it is absolutely possible (and valid! and good!) to do science in this manner. We simply have forgotten that this is true.
Of course it isn’t JUST “tell stories of case studies” — there is some epistemology involved.
“Watch carefully and tell stories of case studies” isn’t science. And yet “watch carefully and tell stories of case studies” was exactly how we got the theory of evolution.
Somehow, in the many decades since Darwin, we don’t say this.
We think: “oh, it’s only science if it’s a large scale experimental study” or “RCTs are the gold standard of science” or something of the sort.
It would be super strange, wouldn’t it, if you said “I am a scientist and the way I do my science is I watch animals (read: people) very carefully and then I write extremely detailed notes on what they do in their natural environment.”
On the one hand we see him as a scientist’s scientist. And yet on the other we do NOT espouse his methods: observing and then telling stories about animals.
I want to say it’s about a new epistemology of science … but actually it’s about a very VERY old epistemology of science.
My one sentence pitch: have you ever thought about the fact Darwin’s approach to science is actually quite … odd?
"Somehow, I have never heard this message."
Reposting from Twitter: @cedricchin.bsky.social's (initial) review of my book.
"I’m not done with the book, but Darwin’s People by @perigean is shaping up to be nothing short of remarkable.
Looking for a useful gift and a smart way to use end-of-year training funds?
The Plot Thinkens gives teams low-prep, high-impact decision practice.
Holiday pricing (through Dec 26): $20 off or Buy 2, Get 1 Free
➡️ perigeantechnologies.com/tpt-holiday-...
- The Trillion-Dollar Cost of IT’s Willful Ignorance, by Robert N. Charette
spectrum.ieee.org/it-managemen...
"The consequences of not learning from blunders will be much greater and more insidious as society grapples with the growing effects of artificial intelligence, or more accurately, “intelligent” algorithms embedded into software systems."