Another one bites the dust?
Posts by George Moser
Several executive orders this evening invoking the Defense Production Act so Trump can directly financially support US oil/gas/petroleum/coal production, which is a great signal about how poorly this war is going economically and how little they planned for this
www.whitehouse.gov/presidential...
Even if Trump’s inexperienced negotiators—Vice President JD Vance and special envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner—do finally meet their Iranian counterparts, there is scant reason to hope for a diplomatic breakthrough covering all the issues on the table.
If the United States does not develop the capability and the credibility to manage this threat, what is now a short-term, if painful, disruption will harden into a durable feature of the global energy system—raising the long-term costs of both the war and the peace that follows.
Iran has demonstrated that it can impose costs on global energy markets through limited disruption. Whether this takes the form of outright blockades, intermittent harassment, or even quasi-institutionalized “tolls” on Gulf shipping, the precedent is now established.
A few weeks old, but I missed it. It's sort of like "can't tell the assholes without a program" for the news media
open.substack.com/pub/stopthep...
Four Iranian ships made a run at the blockade.
One was intercepted - This is what the US Media reported
Three made it through - This SKY piece is the first I've heard of it.
news.sky.com/share/13534236
www.youtube.com/watch?v=6UGa...
I saw this piece this AM and it brought to mind the first time I performed with the Bay Street Theatre in Hedwig and the Angry Inch. The song Origin of Love, is derived from Aristophanes contribution to Plato's Symposium. Music video and a picture of me performing as Krzysztof in the comments.
STUBB: On battlefield, from December to April, Ukraine has been killing 30,000 to 35,000 Russians per month. And Russians are not able to recruit as many soldiers as they are losing. And 95% of these kills are happening unmanned, with drones.
Today's winner of the Internet. Congratulations!
Two weeks ago, in an op-ed in The New York Times, I argued that Iran was not collapsing under pressure, but instead moving toward a new form of durable power rooted in its ability to influence the global economy through the Strait of Hormuz. At the time, that claim ran against the dominant narrative
The world is beginning to treat Iran not as a problem to be solved, but as a power to be reckoned with.
That distinction marks the emergence of something rare in international politics: a new center of world power.
Who knew that negotiating for world peace is nothing like cutting a deal for concrete with the Gambino crime family?
“The Khamenei Strait of Hormuz will be the biggest and most beautiful trade chokepoint EVER!” the ayatollah announced in a social media post.
This chart is spooky. Elasticity of demand is an underappreciated variable in the scenarios being advanced, I think.
Basically, the U.S. can get the Strait reopened by loudly proclaiming victory while quietly accepting de facto defeat. All this will take is for Trump to accept reality, admittedly a hard climb.
#Aprilmusicchallenge
Day 20 - A song everyone should hear
youtu.be/zuC4SC1bI2U?...
Whatever happens with the ceasefire, it's worth remembering that even if the war ends, the damage remains. The broader economic consequences are large, and persistent, and affect all of us.
JD and the Chucklefuck Twins = Form over substance.
European allies fear an inexperienced U.S. negotiating team is pushing for a swift, headline‑grabbing framework deal with Iran that could entrench rather than resolve deeper problems, diplomats with past experience dealing with Tehran said.
Protesters tried to overcome barricades that included a manure-filled trench, hay bales and a barbed-wire fence. Some protesters did get through the fence but were unable to enter the facility, where an estimated 2,000 beagles are kept..
#Aprilmusicchallenge
Day 19 - A song that takes you back to the past
youtu.be/hzaguP9lWE0?...
I only meant to post Shattered!