Orange tabby cat with a stern expression in a cozy living room. Transcribed Text: Me, waiting for my turn to speak, but the topic's already changed.

Tuesday

Mid-April 2026 IRI Model-Based Probabilistic ENSO Forecasts ENSO state based on NINO3.4 SST Anomaly Neutral ENSO: -0.5 °C to 0.5 °C

NEW IRI ENSO forecast

Warmer waters now dominate much of the subsurface:
Niño 1+2 at +1.8°C
Niño 3 at +0.6°C and
Niño 4 at +0.9°C

Together, these signals 𝙥𝙤𝙞𝙣𝙩 𝙩𝙤 𝙧𝙖𝙥𝙞𝙙𝙡𝙮 𝙚𝙫𝙤𝙡𝙫𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙀𝙉𝙎𝙊 𝙘𝙤𝙣𝙙𝙞𝙩𝙞𝙤𝙣𝙨 𝙛𝙖𝙫𝙤𝙧𝙞𝙣𝙜 𝙖 𝙨𝙬𝙞𝙛𝙩 𝙤𝙣𝙨𝙚𝙩 𝙤𝙛 𝙀𝙡 𝙉𝙞ñ𝙤”
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a SOLAR SPILL is just a NICE DAY

Diverse Voices: Weather and climate communication in the 21st century Join us for the next event in our ‘Diverse Voices’ online series, in conjunction with Weather Change. These informal conversations are helping to amplify and celebrate the diversity of scientists work...

Join us for the next event in our ‘Diverse Voices’ online series, “Weather and Climate Communications In the 21st Century” in conjunction with Weather Change.

Speaker: Manali Lukha, ITV

Date: Tuesday, 19 May 2026 | 12:00 – 12:45 | Online

Registration is open www.rmets.org/event/divers...

Antarctic Meltwater‐Stratification Feedback Is Less Pronounced Under High Climate Forcing Sub-surface ocean temperature increase due to additional Antarctic meltwater input weakens under strong climate warming Climate warming weakens vertical overturning in the Southern Ocean, making ...

We're on a roll this week! New paper from us: simulations from a coupled climate-ice sheet model show the meltwater stratification feedback is less pronounced under global warming
🌊❄️

Finally, some good news.

Residents urged to evacuate after New Zealand's capital floods People living in low-lying areas of New Zealand's capital city, Wellington, have been urged to evacuate, as heavy rain continued to drench the city.

People living in low-lying areas of New Zealand's capital city, Wellington, have been urged to evacuate, as heavy rain continued to drench the city.

RECORD HEAT IN INDIA

45C+ in the North

And record heat in the South,near the rock bottom and close to the southernmost tip of India:
Kanyakumari,previously known as Cape Comorin,
rose >37C for the first time in history and did it 3 days in a row ending at 37.6C on Monday

The Qiantang river's tidal bore is the world's largest and most powerful of its kind. Sometimes two tides meet together forming a shape like a cross, that can become even more captivating at sunset.

Original post

Sorry to break the news but we might be in competition for that house 😁

Starting to think that three American cocker spaniels is one too few.

One month down and saved ~$400 in petrol and ~500kg of CO2. Charged at home except when we charged for free at a cafe and there was no wait to plug in.

I‘ve also saved time. Would have stopped at petrol stations ~5 times in a month. That‘s about an hour gained.

In China battery electric trucks and hybrid trucks now outsell diesel trucks for the first time.

Globe showing the Atlantic Ocean with arrows depicting the AMOC circulation: warm surface currents (pink/red) flowing northward from the tropics toward the Arctic, and cold deep return currents (blue/purple) flowing southward. The background shows sea surface temperature trends, with a prominent blue cold patch, the "cold blob", south of Greenland, contrasting with warming (orange/red) across the rest of the ocean.

1/ There's a system of ocean currents in the Atlantic that shapes Europe's #climate, drives monsoons, and keeps sea levels stable along the US coast.

In the last 5 years, the scientific evidence that it could collapse has shifted dramatically.

Most people have no idea. 🧵

Up for it.

A cherry red Rhodochrosite with quartz. 18-05 Pocket Detroit City Portal, 2018 Sweet Home Mine Alma, Park Co. Colorado. No repairs, no restoration. Mounted upright its 2.4 inches. Weight: 92.66 grams. Sharp edges not all etched out. Sold
www.goldenhourminerals.com

With the same fiscal support that Canberra found to back the oil industry, we could start to end our oil dependence.

👉 Read the full story: theconversation.com/this-fu...

New open-access study: summer 2024 in the northern extra-tropics was the warmest in 2000 years.

The warmest reconstructed summer (246 CE) was 1.5 °C colder than 2024.

Helama (2026): link.springer.com/article/10.1...

A large white waterfowl with orange feet stands in front of a door. On the door is a cardboard sign secured with tape that reads, "DO NOT LET THE DUCK IN." Adding insult to injury, I think the duck might be a goose.

Whatever you do,

On this day in 2019, I witnessed one of the coolest things ever. A lenticular cloud lit-up by a setting sun over the Perito Morena Glacier in Argentina.

The current 3-month, Jan-Mar, Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) value of -2.53 for the Contiguous U.S. (single average) is not only the lowest Jan-Mar SPI value since at least 1950, it's the lowest 3-month SPI (any 3-month period) since Dec-Feb 1975-76.

MEDITERRANEAN HEAT WAVE

Fierce heat today in the CANARY ISLANDS

37.7C at La Aldea de San Nicolas

NIGHT Temperatures locally >32C.

Next week exceptional heat in SPAIN
with several records at risk until Wednesday.

20 years of pickup truck design progress in one photo

An exceptionally dry April becomes crystal clear.

No rainfall forecast across most of southern England and large chunk of France over next 10 days by European model. Spring drought is rearing its head again.

Not often you get to boogie board in #Hobart #Tasmania but Sunday was one of those days. 2m sets crashing into about 1m of water thanks to a deep low in the #TasmanSea. Fully feral 😀

Quite significant snow accumulations in higher parts of Tasmania. This was in the lee of Mt Field East on Saturday at about 1100m. Towards the west near Mt Field West there was snow drifts over a couple of metres.

THAILAND is living an extraordinary heat wave with deadly heat 24/7 for weeks:
Maxes up to 44C ,Mins up to 30C and extreme humidity with THIS locally >50C.
Records fall every single day
41.1C Chachoengsao last one

The bad news this will just get worse going into May.

The Dec-Mar 2025-26 period in the Lower 48 is the driest Dec-Mar on record (since 1940-41). A staggering 46.4% of the area was in the "Much Below" or "Record" dry categories (lowest 10th percentile) and over 70% of the area was in the "Below" or drier categories (lowest 33rd percentile).

Very lumpy looking sample of a dark mineral or rock about 3 inches across.

Some people special to me donated their lifelong collection of rock and fossils to the department. One item stood out... I've never held one and rarely seen one for sale. Can any of my geology friends identify it, and explain why it's important in our science?