Screenshot of EH team standard data sum table for the 25-26 playoffs

Data for the 25-26 NHL playoffs is now available on the site!

Episode 179: First Round Preview - Evolving Hockey Podcast Yes we're a few days late, but we're sticking to our schedule - we've never missed a week or recorded on another day. Our First Round Preview is up on the site, and we spent the entire episode coverin...

We're a few days late, but we're sticking to our schedule - we've never missed a week or recorded on another day. Our First Round Preview is up, and we spent the entire episode covering every series with no interjections. This was all business, like always.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

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VGK 49.5% UTA 50.5%

EDM 63% ANA 37%

COL 89.3% LA 10.7%

DAL 57.5% MIN 42.5%

Western conference

BUF 63.7% BOS 36.3%

TB 70% MTL 30%

CAR 73.2% OTT 26.8%

PIT 62.3% PHI 37.7

## THE FIRST ROUND ##

Our preview for the first round of the 2026 NHL playoffs is up. We did it. Let's go.

evolving-hockey.com/blog/evolvin...

Table showing the top-20 Hart Leaders for the '25-26 season. There is a lot of data here that is not convenient to, unfortunately, share. Players: Connor McDavid Cole Caufield Nathan MacKinnon Moitz Seider Lane Hutson Zach Werenski Nikita Kucherov Quinn Hughes Mark Stone Jake Sanderson Leon Draisaitl Macklin Celebrini Brandon Hagel Evan Bouchard Martin Necas Nick Suzuki Alex Debrincat Mark Scheifele Tyler Bertuzzi

Our NHL Awards article is up!

We selected the correct NHL Award winners with data and numbers and statistics. This is our time to shine.

evolving-hockey.com/blog/evolvin...

EH Team Point Projections chart (by division). Teams still with a chance: PHI - 52.9% CBJ - 32.2% WSH - 9.6% NSH - 27.6% L.A - 77.1%

We're finally getting a clearer view of the final 25-26 playoff picture in our team point projections... with ~2 games left for each team.

Evolving Hockey Podcast Shawn Ferris and Josh & Luke Younggren of Evolving-Hockey.com talk weekly about hockey focusing on NHL players, teams, and other current events from an analytical and statistical perspective.

We're back after a week break (b/c of Shawn it wasn't our fault). We spent the first segment discussing the ongoing insanity of *this* season, playoff races, statistical oddities, and the Hell In a Cell match. Later we previewed our awards picks and the inverse of that.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/

Episode 176: The Playoff Race - Evolving Hockey Podcast With only a few weeks of the NHL season left, we felt the need to talk about professional bowling and who owns the hockey pucks. In all seriousness, we spent most of this episode analyzing the current...

With only a few weeks of the NHL season left, we felt the need to first chat about professional bowling and who owns the hockey pucks. With that covered, we felt ready to move on to the current playoff race, various team strengths, and disappointing western teams.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 175: Montreal, Minnesota, and Linkin Park - Evolving Hockey Podcast As we approach the end of the season, it's important to focus on what matters [see title]. Shawn spent the weekend scouting the Habs, so we made him share his thoughts on the team. Later, we talked ab...

As we approach the end of the season, it's important to focus on what matters [see title]. Shawn spent the weekend scouting the Habs, so we made him share his thoughts. Later, we talked about our die-hard Wild fandom, Hogs, and the odd era of 2000s rock music.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 174: Trade Deadline Recap (2026) - Evolving Hockey Podcast The 2026 Trade Deadline is over, and we're here wondering whether it happened at all. We spent the entire episode evaluating all the trades and drama, picking winners and losers, talking Sabres, recom...

The 2026 Trade Deadline is over, and we're here wondering whether it happened at all. We spent the entire episode evaluating all the drama, picking winners and losers, talking Sabres, recommitting to the Wild, and contemplating cassette tape collecting.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Screenshot of the big board presented in the linked article. Cap hit range is league minimum to $8M (John Carlson), all metrics are positive except the last three players in points. Top 20 players shown: Charlie Coyle Dylan Holloway John Carlson Michael Bunting Nick Blankenburg Jason Dickinson Ilya Mikheyev Trevor Zegras Bobby McMann Matias Maccelli Nicholas Robertson Cole Perfetti Nick Foligno Bobby Brink Philipp Kurashev Mackie Samoskevich Mathieu Joseph Pavol Regenda Shakir Mukhamadullin Justin Barron

TRADE DEADLINE 2026!

Our annual preview and objective-data-analysis-exercise for the NHL trade deadline is live. Check it out!

evolving-hockey.com/blog/evolvin...

Episode 172: Olympic Finale! - Evolving Hockey Podcast Unfortunately, the Olympics are over. The Twins spent the last week binge-watching Olympic sports while Shawn just watched the hockey. We spent the majority of the episode discussing the hockey medal ...

Unfortunately, the Olympics are over. The Twins spent the last week binge-watching Olympic sports while Shawn just watched the hockey. We spent the majority of the episode discussing the hockey medal rounds, USA vs. CAN, curling, jingles, and all-nighters.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 171: The Olympics! - Evolving Hockey Podcast We're a big Olympics podcast now. We know all the sports and have great opinions about all of them. We spent the first half discussing everything that's happened, but really we just talked about curli...

We're a big Olympics podcast now. We know all the sports and have great opinions. We spent the first half discussing everything that's happened, but really we just talked about curling. Later, we chatted about (disappointing USA men's) hockey. The Olympics rock.

www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 170: Olympic Previews - Evolving Hockey Podcast Alright - the title might be a bit misleading. After (another) week break we're back to discuss bad arenas, Olympic problems, classic

Alright - the title might be a bit misleading. After (another) week break we're back to discuss bad arenas, Olympic problems, classic "bad" hockey players, and brain health. There's definitely some NHL discussion in here - I promise.

www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 169: Messed Up Times and Josh Doan - Evolving Hockey Podcast We're back after a week break due to some [things]. We spent the first half discussing a few recent trades, bad teams in the West, and a surprise Goalie Fight. Later we chatted about favorite colors, ...

We're back after a break due to [things]. We spent the first half discussing recent trades, bad teams in the West, and a surprise Goalie Fight. Later we chatted about favorite colors, The Twins being right about the Peterka trade, and shows we haven't watched yet.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 168: Olympic Rosters and Expected Goals - Evolving Hockey Podcast Various countries announced their Olympic Rosters this past week before we could get to talking about our predictions, however, we still have a lot of thoughts. Before we dug into them, we first chatt...

Various countries announced their Olympic Rosters this past week before we could get to talking about our predictions, however, we still have a lot of thoughts. Before we dug into them, we first chatted extensively about Expected Goals and modeling problems.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 167: The Holiday Spirit - Evolving Hockey Podcast We're back after an unplanned Holiday break, and we all really felt like talking. We spent the first half discussing The Holidays, geography, and The Red Wings. Later we discussed the Blue Jackets and...

We're back after a quick break, and we all really felt like talking. We spent the first half discussing The Holidays, geography, and the Red Wings. Later we chatted about Columbus and Zach Werenski, ancient YouTube videos, and standardized tests for some reason.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 166: Quinn Hughes - Evolving Hockey Podcast One of the biggest mid-season trades in recent memory just occurred, and it happened to involved our favorite team: The Minnesota Wild. We spent the first half discussing all things Hughes. Later we a...

One of the biggest in-season trades in recent memory just occurred, and it happened to involve our favorite team The Minnesota Wild. We spent the first half discussing all things Hughes. Later we analyzed the Sabres' recent GM change and the Skinner/Jarry Equation.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

We aim to please

Episode 165: The Best Modern Teams and Russian Basements - Evolving Hockey Podcast It's December, and the Avalanche are still destroying everyone. We spent the first half discussing the Avs in relation to the modern "greats" and moved on to hypothetical Russian basement dwellers. La...

It's December, and the Avalanche are still destroying everyone. We spent the first half discussing the Avs in relation to the modern "greats" and moved on to hypothetical Russian basement dwellers. Later we chatted about hockey rink dimensions and "circle math".
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 164: Trying to Figure it All Out - Evolving Hockey Podcast Just like everyone else, we're trying to figure out what the hell is going on with the NHL this season... in general just overall. We spent the first half doing exactly that (it's figured out now). La...

Just like everyone else, we're trying to figure out what the hell is going on with the NHL this season. We spent the first half doing that (it's figured out now). Later we discussed incredible pump-up songs, Scott Stapp, a more optimal league environment, and TRL.

www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

S.J @ COL, 2025-11-16 - S.J 18.5% - 81.5% COL. Almost mirror reverse images of underlying shot metrics

Oh boy, here we go!

Due to some data issues with yesterday's games we were not able to update the site with Nov 17th's data (other than game projections for Nov 18th). This will hopefully be fixed for tonight's daily update. We apologize for any inconvenience.

Episode 163: Parity and The Problematic Atlantic - Evolving Hockey Podcast The Atlantic Division has been all over the place for 20 games, so we took the opportunity to investigate each division relative to our preseason expectations. We discussed the odd Canadiens, bad Leaf...

The Atlantic has been all over the place, so we took the opportunity to investigate each division relative to our preseason expectations. Later we hinted at some early Awards picks and tried to get Shawn to watch a movie.

www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 162: The Ducks, Age, and Astrology - Evolving Hockey Podcast We're well into the NHL season at this point, which means it's time for us to meander. We spent the entire episode discussing the surprising teams AND the unfortunate teams, young people and old playe...

We're well into the NHL season, which means it's time for us to meander. We spent the entire episode discussing surprising teams AND unfortunate teams, young people and old players, our updated fantasy tools, and McDavid's astrology info. This was a blast.

www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Screenshot of the Under/Over performing fantasy projections page on Evolving Hockey. Top 5 skaters shown: Leo Carlsson Cutter Gauthier Macklin Celebrini Connor Bedard Marcus Johansson

Our in-season Fantasy Projection tools have been updated for the '25-26 season! These include under/over performing estimates as well as rest-of & end-of season projections.

Glossary: evolving-hockey.com/glossary/fan...

Link: evolving-hockey.com/stats/fantas...

Episode 161: Spooky Season - Evolving Hockey Podcast It's Halloween, and Shawn wants nothing to do with it. We spent the first half discussing spooky teams, standout goalies, and teammate combos. Later we chatted about scary movies, superstitions, injur...

It's Halloween, and Shawn wants nothing to do with it. We spent the first half discussing spooky teams, standout goalies, and teammate combos. Later we chatted about scary movies, superstitions, injuries, and early awards picks.

www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

Episode 160: Wins Above Replacement and "Bad" Jeserys - Evolving Hockey Podcast GAR, xGAR, and RAPM data is now up on the site for the '25-26 season! We spent the first half talking about statistical models and jerseys that are actually awesome. In the second half we discussed su...

GAR, xGAR, and RAPM data is now up on the site for the '25-26 season! We spent the first half talking about statistical models and jerseys that are actually awesome. In the second half we discussed surprising teams, road maps, and feeling very old.
www.buzzsprout.com/1836821/epis...

RAPM chart from Evolving Hockey for Connor McDavid, '25-26. EV xGA/60 and CA/60 are both over 2 standard deviations above the positional mean. All powerplay components are well-above average.

## Announcement ##

All GAR, xGAR & RAPM data (along with QoT/QoC data) is now updated on the site for the '25-26 season!

We're a little early this year, so please have fun but also be safe. That said: McDavid for Selke?