I would point out re: Italy that in 2022, 18-34 year olds were the only age group to give the centre-left coalition a plurality whereas every other age group voted for the far-right lead coalition by a wide margin!
Posts by Tim βΏοΈπ(he/him) π¨π¦
2025 German election exit poll (only putting age here as it is most relevant, full can be found here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2025_German_federal_election#Voter_demographics) Total vote: Union 29, AfD 21, SPD 16, Grune 12, Linke 9, BSW 5, FDP 4, Others 4 18-24: Linke 25, AfD 21, Union 13, SPD 12, Grune 10, BSW 6, FDP 5, Others 8 25-34: AfD 24, Union 17, Linke 16, Grune 14, SPD 12, BSW 6, FDP 5, Others 4 35-44: AfD 26, Union 24, Grune 14, SPD 13, Linke 8, BSW 6, Others 5, FDP 4 45-59: Union 33, AfD 22, SPD 15, Grune 12, Linke 5, BSW 5, FDP 4, Others 4 60-69: Union 33, SPD 21, AfD 19, Grune 11, Linke 5, BSW 5, FDP 4, Others 2 70+: Union 43, SPD 25, AfD 10, Grune 7, Linke 5, FDP 5, BSW 4, Others 1
AfD doesn't really have a very strong age skew at all, especially compared to several other German parties like Linke and the two traditional parties.
That is suburban Cook.
I honestly donβt see any reason why a Cornyn endorsement couldnβt just end up being Luther Strange Mk. II anyway.
Much like Moore vis a vis Strange, Paxton is far right enough that he could easily be preceived as more MAGA than Cornyn even without the Trump endorsement.
What makes the error odd to me is that it only happened in the Senate race in Maine.
Maine presidential polls were an average of Biden +11.6 (actual Biden +9.1)
The Senate race average was Gideon +3.8, with the final result being Collins +8.6 (although certainly would be closer if RCV was applied)
The IOC: lets keep sports and politics separate
Also the IOC:
They sent JD Vance to Indiana and they were like never do that to us again
this is the most successful a CIA officer has been at toppling a government in years.
They played division series that year because of a players strike that shortened the season.
SurveyUSA poll from 2022 in Minnesota that had Walz up 51-43 (he ultimately won roughly 52-45), but Ellison down 49-42 (Ellison won narrowly)
Has the same energy as this tbh
HUGE FLIP: Democrat Catelin Drey wins deep-red state Senate seat in Iowa, breaking the GOP's supermajority.
Drey won by 11 points in a district Donald Trump carried by 11 points last year. It's another massive overperformance. The Iowa GOP should be very worried for the midterms.
Our full writeup:
How are the opposition choking this badly?
I thought the LDP/Komeito were on track to get heavily defeated.
Fuck you for publishing this Nazi bullshit.
UAW has Canadian members whose interests sure as shit arenβt being served by these tariffs!
You canβt take our country β and you canβt take our game.
HELL YEAH BROTHERRRRRRRR
THE TRUE NORTH STRONG AND FREEEEEEE ππ¨π¦ππ¨π¦ππ¨π¦ππ¨π¦ππ¨π¦
CONNOR MCFUCKINGDAVID
Trumpflation causing a Trump slump.