I mean I can see the argument "there's no way we're going to coordinate well enough to pause, so it's a waste of time" but it seems to me that a sane civilization would absolutely be pausing right now
why not?
I think people holding such a view(that is, doom has substantial probability but is not certain, regardless of whether they support a pause) have had better predictions of the way things are going down than any other group basically
So what would you say to those who hold a "moderate" doomer position that there is a lot of uncertainty but doom is certainly a live possibility and this on its own is reason to substantially slow down
This is almost certainly an ai video made by some twitter degen
The stunlocking was made all the more infuriating by the characters' repetitive screams of "EYAAAA" and "EH??" accompanying the egg-rolls
3d platforms where you run around rolling eggs over fruit until they hatch into monsters that do your bidding. Fun local multiplayer where you could mercilessly stunlock people with repeated egg-rolling
I liked Billy Hatcher and the giant egg
prediction just seems like the easiest way to get a bunch of feedback signals from the world for learning so I assume the brain does a lot of it.
Seems like twitter might actually be dying on a technical level. on the one hand it's sad, on the other the gradual failure of the antiwoke hostile takeover to maintain a prima facie not very complicated site is kind of abstractly interesting.
This and adjacent attitudes seem common among rats. Familiarity with deception and zero sum games might've been useful back when many of them got convinced to work for openai and anthropic
Andrej Karpathy was cursed by a witch to write smaller and smaller GPT implementations until he finds one that fits in a single character. We can only guess at what he did to earn such a fate
at last we can build "humans consulting HCH" from the classic blog post "maybe consider building humans consulting HCH" www.lesswrong.com/posts/NXqs4n...
at last we can build "humans consulting HCH" from the classic blog post "maybe consider building humans consulting HCH" www.lesswrong.com/posts/NXqs4n...
Nice try but I already wrote an arxiv preprint proving arxiv preprints are impossible
Ideal rational agents would only use unsubsidized PMs to hedge. In practice PMs are about exploiting peoples' psychological flaws and produce good forecasts as an externality.
Ideal rational agents would only use unsubsidized PMs to hedge. In practice PMs are about exploiting peoples' psychological flaws and produce good forecasts as an externality.
what was the answer?
"Weapons" like this also
what exactly is your issue with people having a place to post compiled tex files online
Uh, and like 90% of math and physics preprints? You think those should all be shut down too?
(x.com/gracecondition that is)
Now there's a name I haven't heard in a while
Semi-relatedly I tried learning ancient Greek a while back and was struck by how many different (and short) words they had for "therefore", logical implication. (disclaimer I am not an expert, this may not even be true) Perhaps related to their propensity for philosophy
I feel similarly when introspecting on my thoughts, the concepts that get used a lot don't correspond to common English words(but correspond *decently* with unusual English words).
This doesn't surprise me so much, I feel like this is an artifact of {words used commonly in written text} being different from {words that are useful conceptual scaffolds in an internal chain of thought}
asymptotically, nothing ever happens
Very normal day on the prediction market discords.
hmmm really? I think an effective longtermist would look like a more ethical SBF or elon. not "meek" at all. I think if you look meek you're not trying very hard.
Is it meek? It's about optimizng the whole future lightcone that's not very meek