It makes the hell of a Tinde bio

Dude, the last thing I need is another book on the pile of doom but now I have to get this

Global Labor Mobility between Shrinking and Growing Labor Forces (Winter 2026) - Falling fertility and improved mortality create a powerful and inexorable demographic arithmetic of ageing in the coming decades around the world, with three patterns. The richest coun...

The native workforces of today's wealthiest countries are rapidly disappearing due to fertility that is low and very unlikely to rise—ever, and certainly not in time to make a difference.

The brilliant Lant Pritchett spells out the implications for migration policy:

www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=...

1. Less skilled labor is abundant. 2. Skilled emigration is a brain drain. 3. Development substitutes for migration. 4. Migration substitutes for failing development, but doesn't cause development.

The International Monetary Fund asked me to review the literature on migration economics to draw lessons for low-income countries.

In a new @iza.org paper, I argue that policy for the 21st century must discard four outdated ideas.

www.iza.org/publications...

🧵 thread—>

@dieworkwear.bsky.social

Pasoliniano

A British crow is asking passersby if they're alright.

The cost of inaction or overcompliance is a huge hidden cost of corruption, in my opinion

Civil servants will privately tell you that a major reason every process is slow, full of redundant checks and forms is that, "government accidentally granted benefit to someone who shouldn't get one" is a front page tabloid story, and "government was annoying, slow and painful for citizen" is not.

Closest to Zidane that I've seen

This is the Tufte format of choice, no?

Hirayama es Travis limpiando los zapatos de la familia durante hora y media

Wouldn't it al least try to avoid the frontal collision with the other cybertruck, like in Seinfeld's parakeet bit?

Making economic growth the overriding purpose, to which all else must be sacrificed, not only trashes ecological and social values. It's also spectacularly bad politics. Governments can't control growth, but when it dips, this government, by its own criteria, fails. A rod for its own back.

Are they trying to provoke autism to the market?

Strong Bannon ousting vibes

Hi ha un paràgraf que sembla insignificant, però és clau en la lluita contra la pobresa. I és aquest:

Tenemos que hablar de inmigración, con calma Tengo a un grupo de WhatsApp muy preocupado por la inmigración. Parece que sus integrantes han escuchado que los inmigrantes van a ser un problema fiscal para España. El...

Lectura recomendada: www.elmundo.es/opinion/2025...

New post: Labour and Growth
mainlymacro.blogspot.com/2025/01/labo...
There is a danger the government is giving undue prominence to achieving growth in areas where the growth benefits are relatively small or where the costs are high, while ignoring the reasons for the past 15 years of decline.

Trump suspends US foreign assistance for 90 days pending reviews President Donald Trump has signed an executive order temporarily suspending all U.S. foreign assistance programs for 90 days pending reviews to determine whether they are aligned with his policy goals...

Trump suspends U.S. foreign aid for 90 days, saying aid is “antithetical to American values” and serves to “destabilize world peace.”

apnews.com/article/trum...

Does Unilateral Decarbonization Pay For Itself? Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

Interessant: Adrien Bilal & Diego R. Känzig zeigen, dass unilaterale Dekarbonisierung fuer grosse Laender sinnvoll sein kann:

www.nber.org/papers/w33364

Your turning of the median student into the mean Harvard student

In which Chuck Manski sets out to overhaul welfare economics: arxiv.org/pdf/2501.0...

How do employers and workers behave during dismissals?

In a new paper with @schoefer.bsky.social, we test between cooperation and deliberate imposition of costs.

Summary 🧵:

1/9

I've been warning about this for a while. Sooner than you think U.S. economists may have to go Argentine, cobbling together alternative estimates of inflation, employment and so on because the official data have been corrupted.

new WP y'all www.nber.org/papers/w33236

Japanese art (known mainly through postcards) was very popular at the time. They influenced may impresionist and post impresionist artists. VVG art was much more cerebral and learned than the popular image would have it

Can you guess what happens when a Walmart Supercenter enters a community?
...
...
...

◾EITC receipts in the community increase
◾ workers' incomes go down

as a direct result.

"Walmart Supercenters gradually accumulate and exercise monopsony power, with negative consequences for workers."

Excited to debut my new paper, "Housing Is the Financial Cycle: Evidence from 100 Years of Local Building Permits,” joint with @cortesgustavos.bsky.social. We document that building permits predict financial market volatility across a century of U.S. economic history.
papers.ssrn.com/abstract=485...

Can Weakened Unions Fuel Formal Work? Lessons from Brazil's Labor Reform. Guest post by Nikita Kohli

In today's #econjmp, Nikita Kohli of Duke uses synthetic DiD to show how a labor reform in Brazil that was intended to increase formal employment by weakening union power actually decreased formal employment & increased informal labor due to less enforcement blogs.worldbank.org/en/impacteva...?