Advertisement · 728 × 90

Posts by Russ Schumacher

Well folks, it’s happening. The 661-page budget bill is being read aloud, line by line, by a computer program named Eric. Assuming the motion isn’t pulled, this will go on for ~15 hours, and Rep. Bradley (who moved for the bill to be read) can’t leave the chamber except for brief bathroom breaks.

1 week ago 68 17 10 3
The graph shows the official NOAA CPC ENSO probabilities based on -0.5/+0.5 C thresholds in ERSSTv5 Relative Nino-3.4 index.

The graph shows the official NOAA CPC ENSO probabilities based on -0.5/+0.5 C thresholds in ERSSTv5 Relative Nino-3.4 index.

ENSO-neutral conditions are present and are favored through April-June 2026 (80% chance). In May-July 2026, El Niño is likely to emerge (61% chance) and persist through at least the end of 2026.

#ENSO #ElNino 🧪

www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/ana...

1 week ago 11 5 0 0
Preview
CO Monthly Climate Summary

March 2026 rewrote the record books for early-spring warmth in Colorado. It was warmer than most Aprils. Hundreds of temperature records were set across the state, including a new March record of 99°F. The heat was prolonged, and it was also very dry. Read more in our monthly state climate summary.👇

1 week ago 7 5 0 0
Graph showing the NOAA Colorado Basin River Forecast Center's forecasts of April to July inflows to Lake Powell from 1991 to 2026, with colored lines showing how each season's forecast evolved from January through July. The latest Forecast, April 2026, is the lowest outlook for this time of year since at least 1991, at 22% of average inflows.

Graph showing the NOAA Colorado Basin River Forecast Center's forecasts of April to July inflows to Lake Powell from 1991 to 2026, with colored lines showing how each season's forecast evolved from January through July. The latest Forecast, April 2026, is the lowest outlook for this time of year since at least 1991, at 22% of average inflows.

March was...not helpful.

NOAA CBRFC's April 1st (50% exceedance) forecast now has Lake Powell April-July inflows at 1400 KAF, 22% of average.

Only 2002 (963 KAF) and 1977 (1208 KAF) ended up with lower inflows than that. If dry conditions continue through spring, 2026 could drop below 2002.

1 week ago 14 6 1 0
Earthset captured through the Orion spacecraft window at 6:41 p.m. EDT, April 6, 2026, during the Artemis II crew’s flyby of the Moon. A muted blue Earth with bright white clouds sets behind the cratered lunar surface. The dark portion of Earth is experiencing nighttime. On Earth’s day side, swirling clouds are visible over the Australia and Oceania region.  In the foreground, Ohm crater has terraced edges and a flat floor interrupted by central peaks. Central peaks form in complex craters when the lunar surface, liquefied on impact, splashes upwards during the crater’s formation.
[alt text from NASA]

Earthset captured through the Orion spacecraft window at 6:41 p.m. EDT, April 6, 2026, during the Artemis II crew’s flyby of the Moon. A muted blue Earth with bright white clouds sets behind the cratered lunar surface. The dark portion of Earth is experiencing nighttime. On Earth’s day side, swirling clouds are visible over the Australia and Oceania region. In the foreground, Ohm crater has terraced edges and a flat floor interrupted by central peaks. Central peaks form in complex craters when the lunar surface, liquefied on impact, splashes upwards during the crater’s formation. [alt text from NASA]

#Artemis II lunar flyby images are showing up! 😍

A crescent Earth setting behind the Moon.

1 week ago 3818 888 35 73
Denver Post article:

$350 million vision for gondola transit in downtown Denver to be presented
People who want to move around downtown Denver could glide in gondola cabins 30 feet above ground if the city were to embrace a businessman’s $350 million plan.

Denver Post article: $350 million vision for gondola transit in downtown Denver to be presented People who want to move around downtown Denver could glide in gondola cabins 30 feet above ground if the city were to embrace a businessman’s $350 million plan.

Lyle Lanley from the Simpsons

Lyle Lanley from the Simpsons

glides as softly as a cloud, you say? does the businessman look something like this, perchance?

1 week ago 22 1 1 0
View of the spacecraft (bright, on the left), a dark thin crescent of Moon, and a very small, bright thin crescent of Earth next to it

View of the spacecraft (bright, on the left), a dark thin crescent of Moon, and a very small, bright thin crescent of Earth next to it

"Orion, the Moon, and the Earth. EVERYONE, in that picture" - #Artemis II Mission Control.

1 week ago 3801 1014 47 79
Time series of elevation and storage for Lake Powell (1963 to March 2026)

Time series of elevation and storage for Lake Powell (1963 to March 2026)

Time series of elevation and storage for Lake Powell (1963 to March 2026)

1 week ago 23 8 1 1

I don’t know what it means that even though it is being re-posted by a verified reporter at a genuine news outlet, I still can’t believe it’s real.

1 week ago 417 30 53 0
Advertisement
CoCoRaHS - Community Collaborative Rain, Hail & Snow Network

not sure if it counts as a lab tool, but one of the best ways to measure the properties of hail remains the humble hailpad (a piece of aluminum foil wrapped around a square of styrofoam) www.cocorahs.org/Content.aspx...

1 week ago 6 0 0 0
Preview
Massive budget cuts for US science proposed again by Trump administration Budget proposal would also curb federal payments for scientific publishing.

BREAKING: In response to huge cuts in Trump's budget request, NSF is shuttering its SBE directorate. Staff will be transferred to other parts of the agency and "grants that align with Administration priorities" will be maintained.

That & more w/ @maxkozlov.bsky.social & @edwrdchen.bsky.social

1 week ago 408 322 26 75

what Clark said

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

“go back to the moon but this time we have really good cameras” was a fantastic idea

1 week ago 5399 1122 40 21
That's home. That's us.

That's home. That's us.

This image of home just came down from the Artemis II crew.

Taken after their translunar injection burn, there are aurorae at top right and lower left, and zodiacal light at lower right.

Credit: NASA/Reid Wiseman

1 week ago 21947 7451 293 1004
Preview
Half of staff at Boulder's NOAA Global Monitoring Lab face furloughs as funding freeze drags on Most staff at Boulder's NOAA Global Monitoring Lab are funded through federal grants that have not been released.

“Funding officially ran out for CIRES Global Monitoring Lab employees on March 24. The university informed 42 employees this week that they would be furloughed without pay on May 15 unless federal funding comes through”

boulderreportinglab.org/2026/04/02/h...

1 week ago 14 10 1 0
Preview
It’s been the worst year for Colorado’s snowpack in recorded history. A striking new map shows why. Colorado's snowpack is at historic lows on the eave of runoff season, and a shocking heat map for March 2026 shows why.

It’s been the worst year for Colorado’s snowpack in recorded history. A striking new map shows why.

1 week ago 36 18 0 3
The machines are fine. I'm worried about us. On AI agents, grunt work, and the part of science that isn't replaceable.

Hopefully everyone is reading this (and maybe it's what @andrewdessler.com is commenting on). It touches on all of these issues and there aren't a lot of easy answers.
ergosphere.blog/posts/the-ma...

1 week ago 4 0 0 1

some pretty startling numbers in this post… #cowx

2 weeks ago 12 5 1 0
Advertisement

The March summary for the Fort Collins weather station that our office maintains is chock-full of eye-popping stats. Highest single-month temperature anomaly in the 130+ year period of record, 8 days warmer than the previous March record, earliest 90° day on record by over a month, and more. #cowx

2 weeks ago 12 9 1 1
Significant wildland fire potential outlook for April to July shows areas of above normal risk that expand across the West through the period. the coastal southeast may be at risk through the period.

Significant wildland fire potential outlook for April to July shows areas of above normal risk that expand across the West through the period. the coastal southeast may be at risk through the period.

New seasonal fire outlook dropped. Stay safe this summer, y’all. www.nifc.gov/nicc-files/p...

2 weeks ago 37 24 4 4
Preview
LIVE: Artemis II Launch Day Updates - NASA Live updates for launch of NASA's Artemis II test flight will be published on this page. NASA’s launch broadcast coverage is airing on NASA+, Amazon Prime,

If you'd like to follow along with the #Artemis II launch, NASA has a live blog here: www.nasa.gov/blogs/missio...
and you can watch the official broadcast on the NASA site here:
plus.nasa.gov/scheduled-vi...
or on YouTube here: www.youtube.com/live/Tf_UjBM...

2 weeks ago 1473 705 30 90

Alex, this is so great to hear. Congrats!!

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
Preview
‘On a whole other level’: rapid snow melt-off in American west stuns scientists Experts say brutal March heat has left critical snowpack at record-low levels – and key basins in uncharted territory

“This year is on a whole other level,” said Colorado State University climatologist Dr Russ Schumacher, speaking about the intense heat that began rapidly melting the already sparse snowpack in March. “Seeing this year so far below any of the other years we have data for is very concerning.” #cowx

2 weeks ago 11 6 0 1
Preview
Press Releases - Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory

Rocky Mountain Biological Laboratory in Gothic, CO says snowpack at their high elevation campus is the lowest in their 50 plus years of records: www.rmbl.org/news-press/m...

2 weeks ago 4 4 0 0

"Be skeptical of unsourced or questionable-source news stories that you see on social media and try to confirm if they're actually true before sharing them" is excellent advice that does not just apply to April Fools Day.

2 weeks ago 65 17 0 0

Only a few days left to apply for student travel grants! Students in undergrad and graduate school are highly encouraged to apply if you're planning on attending the Joint Summit.

2 weeks ago 11 11 0 0
Advertisement
Lance Bosart and Morris Weisman in front of a conference poster commemorating the 10th anniversary of the challenge of convective forecasting colloquium

Lance Bosart and Morris Weisman in front of a conference poster commemorating the 10th anniversary of the challenge of convective forecasting colloquium

I probably still have this 10th anniversary one sitting in my office somewhere lol

2 weeks ago 7 0 0 0

Nice! NHC track forecasts
were more accurate than the 5-year means at all lead times. Intensity forecast errors exceeded the 5-year means because there were so many rapid intensification episodes, but intensity skill (which takes this difficulty into account) “remained near all-time highs.”

2 weeks ago 75 17 1 0

do you have similar imagery for 2018? that would be a comparison to a "bad" year within the GOES-R era.

2 weeks ago 5 0 1 0