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Posts by FSI Stanford

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Opinion | Viktor Orbán’s loss matters far beyond Hungary Michael McFaul: In the 21st-century struggle between autocrats and democrats, these election results rank among the most significant outcomes in the past 20 years.

Orbán’s defeat could signal the peak of power for illiberal populist nationalists in Europe and perhaps also the United States, writes @mcfaulmike.bsky.social in @msnowreports.bsky.social.

6 days ago 34 11 0 0
Francis Fukuyama: Is Western Civilization in Decline? | Endgame #263
Francis Fukuyama: Is Western Civilization in Decline? | Endgame #263 YouTube video by Gita Wirjawan

How are liberalism, realism, and nationalism colliding and reshaping global geopolitics?

@frankfukuyama.bsky.social joins Gita Wirjawan to discuss America's role in the deepening crisis within the liberal international order. ow.ly/c7w450YHVtK

1 week ago 6 1 0 0
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How America's political parties evolved since its founding A Pew Research poll released late last year showed just 17% of Americans surveyed said they trusted the government in Washington to do what was right.

While there are changes underfoot and signs of weariness with the status quo, political parties still play a critical role in binding and bridging citizens to their government, says @didikuo1.bsky.social of @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social: ow.ly/jBqW50YGjr0

1 week ago 0 1 0 0
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Trump floats consequential decision to send U.S. troops into Iran amid negotiations With pressure mounting on Gulf region allies and the economy amid the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, President Trump is weighing sending in U.S. ground forces. MS NOW International Affairs Analyst a...

Without a clearly defined objective for the conflict, @mcfaulmike.bsky.social warns that sending U.S. ground troops into #Iran would be a "very scary measure" likely to cause even further escalation: ow.ly/neLs50YAXo5

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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Study links past emissions to trillions in future economic damages Future climate damages from past greenhouse gas emissions dwarf the economic harm already inflicted.

A new framework developed by @marshallburke.bsky.social and colleagues @stanforddoerr.bsky.social links past and future emissions from specific sources to location-specific damages, providing an additional tool for calculating loss and damage costs.

📄 Read more in @nature.com: ow.ly/bml850YyVLx

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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Meet Our Researchers: James Goldgeier Exploring U.S. foreign policy and the path to studying how major international decisions are made with Professor James Goldgeier.

"Research requires patience, but it’s essential if you want to understand how foreign policy actually develops."

Jim Goldgeier describes how his career developed, and offers advice to students just starting out. @jimgoldgeier.bsky.social, @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social, @stanfordcisac.bsky.social

3 weeks ago 6 2 0 0
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What AI Hypists Miss These systems still struggle with implementing real world solutions.

Intelligence alone is not enough to create viable, usable policy, says @frankfukuyama.bsky.social, which is why he believes AI will fall short of being able to single-handedly solve complex issues without humans in the loop. ow.ly/uiC250YvZRR

3 weeks ago 9 3 0 1
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The Universal Pursuit of Safety and the Gun Debate New research by SHP courtesy faculty member Marcella Alsan shows that beneath the country's polarization over gun violence, those who own firearms and those who don't share the common goal of safety, ...

Firearm owners and non-owners both share a common objective of safety, but they disagree sharply about whether lethal firearms achieve it, analysis from @healthpolicy.stanford.edu scholars finds: ow.ly/LlgF50YxQsx

3 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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Strategic Stability in a Rapidly Changing World Podcast Episode · Horns of a Dilemma · March 18 · 34m

Do Cold War-era assumptions about arms control still hold true in our world of emerging technologies?

@htrinkunas.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social joins the @tnsr.org podcast to discuss how AI, cyber, and hypersonics are changing the landscape of deterrence: ow.ly/uKuQ50Yx0pN

4 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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Commenting Anew on Article 23 of Geneva Convention IV New Commentary on Geneva Convention IV describes Article 23 as "significantly diminished" in importance in today's legal context.

Article 23 of the Geneva Convention, the treaty’s key provision governing the duty to allow the passage of essentials to civilians, needs to be reformed and updated for today's realities, argues @tomdannenbaum.bsky.social of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social in @justsecurity.org.

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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Germans Who Move and Declines in Local Political Engagement CDDRL Research-in-Brief [4-minute read]

Relocating to a new town or city does not have a significant impact on people's participation in national politics, but it can have major consequences for engagement with and continuity of local politics, research from @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social finds:
ow.ly/70Y850Yv2bB

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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How the War in Iran Reshapes South Korea and Japan’s Nuclear Strategy - Korea Economic Institute of America Iran’s failure to achieve nuclear latency has significant implications for South Korea and Japan’s thinking on their own nuclear strategy.

The failure of nuclear latency to prevent an attack on #Iran could have far-reaching implications for the nuclear ambitions of South Korea and Japan, writes @dcsneider.bsky.social.

1 month ago 1 2 0 1
Ex-US ambassador says now is the wrong time to ease Russia sanctions In an interview with Kyiv Post, former US Ambassador Steven Pifer said easing Russia sanctions would give Moscow more money for war as its position on Ukraine remains unchanged.

The conflict in Iran is causing a surge in oil prices globally, but Steven Pifer of @theeuropecenter.bsky.social & @stanfordcisac.bsky.social says easing sanctions to allow more Russian oil into the market is a poor solution that will only strengthen Russia's position against Ukraine.

1 month ago 1 1 1 0
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A Far Weaker Iran Still Won't Bring Stability to the Middle East My interview with Stanford University scholar and Associate Director of the Program on Arab Reform and Development Hesham Sallam on what the war in Iran will – and won't – change in the Middle East

The neutralization of Iran as a regional power, whether through military defeat or stalemate, diminished capacity, or even regime collapse, will not necessarily translate into greater stability in the region, cautions @wazirelkif.bsky.social of @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Expecting Iran to Unconditionally Surrender Is a Fool’s Errand Here’s why.

Deeming unconditional surrender unlikely, @frankfukuyama.bsky.social offers three possible paths forward in the war with #Iran. ow.ly/rOpQ50YrAC5

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Iran regime put country on ‘war path’ for decades, historian says | CNN Christiane Amanpour speaks with historian Abbas Milani and journalist Scott Anderson about the historical forces shaping Iran’s current war and what the country’s past may reveal about its future.

"The future of Iran has to be determined by the people of Iran. It cannot be determined in Israel; it cannot be determined in Washington."

Listen to Abbas Milani's full interview on @cnn.com with @camanpour.bsky.social ⏯️ ow.ly/UfS350YqAqV

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Taiwan’s AI Basic Act Can Be a Model for Asia The new law lays down Taiwan’s “soft law” foundation for a development journey toward economic security through AI, write Wesley Chu and Charles Mok.

Taiwan's new AI Basic Act serves both to protect and support its citizens and to bolster international confidence in the island's role as an indispensable and trusted partner to much of the world, writes @charlesmok.bsky.social in @techpolicypress.bsky.social.

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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🎧 New episode of #WorldClassPodcast
Colin Kahl examines the unfolding military campaign in #Iran w/ Or Rabinowitz of @stanfordcisac.bsky.social and Abbas Milani of @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social, who share their analysis of what the conflict means for the Middle East:
podcasts.apple.com/us/podcast/a...

1 month ago 4 3 0 0
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Seven Things to Know About the U.S.-Israel Campaign in Iran Scholars from FSI offer insights into the war between Iran and U.S.-Israel forces, and the risk of the conflict expanding beyond the Middle East.

As the war in #Iran continues, FSI scholars share seven things to know about the U.S.-Israel campaign and its potential to expand beyond the Middle East.

w/ @mcfaulmike.bsky.social, @frankfukuyama.bsky.social, Colin Kahl, and more from @stanfordcisac.bsky.social & @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social

1 month ago 3 2 0 0
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Kim Jong Un Builds a Wall With South Korea at Party Congress - Korea Economic Institute of America Kim Jong Un’s speech at the Ninth Party Congress covered familiar themes on economic and military development and preconditions for dialogue with the United States, but revealed deep antagonism toward...

After Kim Jong Un's highly antagonistic remarks toward South Korea during the Ninth Congress of North Korea’s ruling Workers’ Party, @dcsneider.bsky.social looks ahead to what this may signify about future relations on the peninsula. ow.ly/AJPj50YolM4

1 month ago 3 1 0 0
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What to know: Operation Epic Fury Amichai Magen, director of Jan Koum Israel studies program at Stanford, joins Raj Mathai to discuss the Iran war.

Amichai Magen of @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social explains how the U.S. strikes on #Iran may work to re-establish its posture with countries like Russia and China, and where the attacks may backfire against America's interests. ow.ly/jVRp50YoRiZ

1 month ago 2 1 0 0
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Watch Shah Biographer Says Tehran ‘Desperate’ for Ceasefire - Bloomberg Stanford University’s director of Iranian Studies, Abbas Milani, says the remnants of the Iranian government are desperate to reach a ceasefire that would end US and Israeli attacks. He says the strai...

WATCH | Abbas Milani offers his insights on how the remaining Iranian regime may respond over the coming days and weeks, and why he believes a civil war within Iran remains unlikely. ow.ly/EpKW50YoluF

1 month ago 1 1 0 0
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Francis Fukuyama on Trump’s War With Iran Yascha Mounk and Francis Fukuyama examine why military strikes rarely achieve their political objectives.

In Persuasion, @frankfukuyama.bsky.social discusses whether the unprecedented strikes on #Iran will lead to the downfall of the mullahs and whether America can avoid getting drawn into a new Middle Eastern quagmire. ow.ly/itsF50YnSrK

1 month ago 3 1 0 0
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The ‘botlash’ movement is gaining momentum Protesting and unsubscribing are being promoted as forms of modern-day strikes

"When the MAGA right and the progressive left converge, something fundamental is shifting...Whoever manages to unite these groups by building a popular AI regulation movement will tap into new political power."

Read more from @marietjeschaake.bsky.social in @financialtimes.com: ow.ly/Np5e50YlqfY

1 month ago 2 2 0 1
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I was US ambassador to Russia. Trump’s recklessness is playing into Putin’s hands 'Trump’s negotiating tactics have dramatically weakened Ukraine’s position,' says Michael McFaul, former US ambassador to Russia

Speaking from firsthand experience negotiating with the Kremlin, @mcfaulmike.bsky.social offers his take on what the White House needs to do to make progress on getting Putin to agree to a ceasefire in #Ukraine. ow.ly/krAy50YkLya

1 month ago 37 11 2 0
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Four Years After the Invasion, Ukrainian Leaders Build Foundations for From parliament to regional government to independent media, alumni of the Center on Democracy, Development and the Rule of Law’s Strengthening Ukrainian Democracy and Development Program are implemen...

Four years into the full-scale war between Ukraine and Russia, alumni from the Strengthening Ukrainian Democracy and Development Program at @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social are strengthening #Ukraine for the future and building the foundations for recovery.

Read their spotlights at the link ↘️

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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How U.S. Competition with China is Shaping the Global Political Landscape In the first of a new quarterly series of events, scholars from the Freeman Spogli Institute evaluated recent developments in world affairs, and offered an outlook for 2026.

In the first of a new quarterly series of events, scholars from the Freeman Spogli Institute evaluated recent developments in world affairs, and offered an outlook for 2026. Featuring scholars from @theeuropecenter.bsky.social, @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social, @stanfordcisac.bsky.social

1 month ago 0 3 0 0
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Former National Security Advisors Examine America's Evolving National H.R. McMaster and Jake Sullivan join Colin Kahl on the World Class podcast to break down the 2025 National Security Strategy and discuss how questions around Venezuela, Iran, Russia, China, Ukraine, a...

H.R. McMaster and Jake Sullivan join FSI Director Colin Kahl on #WorldClassPodcast to examine the 2025 National Security Strategy and discuss how questions around Venezuela, Iran, Russia, China, Ukraine, and U.S. partnerships with Europe may shape the rest of 2026: ow.ly/Bu0O50YiGnL

2 months ago 2 0 1 0
Global Trends and Geopolitics in 2026: A Look Ahead
Global Trends and Geopolitics in 2026: A Look Ahead YouTube video by FSIStanford

📹 WATCH | FSI scholars Colin Kahl, Larry Diamond, Or Rabinowitz, Anna Grzymała-Busse, & Harold Trinkunas discuss the risks, opportunities, and policy implications in the increasingly complex global landscape of 2026. @theeuropecenter.bsky.social @stanfordcddrl.bsky.social @stanfordcisac.bsky.social

2 months ago 2 3 0 0
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2026 Oksenberg Conference – Coping with a Less Predictable United States Stanford University

🗓️ Mar. 3, 2-5:30 PM | Join leading experts at the 2026 Oksenberg Conference, focusing on how China and other Indo-Pacific actors read the geopolitical landscape and devise strategies to shape the regional order amid uncertainty about U.S. policy and the future of the intl' order. stanford.io/4aheHrw

2 months ago 1 3 1 0