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Posts by James McCaw
1/ Would you like to input on GSIDD aims and plans?
💬 As we collectively shape the future of GSIDD, we invite the infectious disease dynamics community to review & provide feedback on our proposed mission, values & strategic plan.
🔗: www.gsidd.org/about
#IDsky #EpiSky #PublicHealth #OneHealth 🧪
Postdoc (Sydney, Australia)
Post-Doc Fellow (Level B) in Infectious Disease Modelling
with Alexandra Hogan, James Wood
at UNSW Sydney
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2512
Early career faculty (Sydney, Australia)
Teaching and research 5 year position at level B (lecturer) with a focus on IDD
at @UNSW
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2511
A propos nothing, this is a great long read on Al-Aly's Long Covid studies
undark.org/2024/07/25/l...
1/ 👋 Hi all, we are the Global Society for Infectious Disease Dynamics (GSIDD). #GSIDD #IDsky #EpiSky 🧪
🗺️ GSIDD serves the global community of researchers, practitioners and educators in infectious disease dynamics.
➕ Follow us for updates on our activities!
🔗: www.gsidd.org
🎓We are advertising three 2-year research+teaching positions in applied maths or stats.
These have a reduced teaching load (50 lectures a yr) compared to a standard academic position so applicants can gain teaching experience while having time for research
jobs.canterbury.ac.nz/jobdetails/a...
I'm excited to be co-hosting the launch with @bansallab.bsky.social!
And please note for some people around the world, one or both of these sessions will be on Friday 27th (your local time - so please check the website and use the calendar invites on that page).
Launch of the Global Society of Infectious Disease Dynamics. 🎉
2 online webinars on Thursday 26th.
Do join to see what it's all about, and get involved in the community as it kicks off!
www.gsidd.org/post/join-us...
I'm confident it is this new variant though. And I'm also hopeful that our real-time analyses will eventually (2026?!) be public in near real-time
No sequencing, but by combining sub-type proportions with overall notifications and our statistical methods (academic.oup.com/aje/advance-...), ACEFA (acefa-epi-analytics.org) identified clear onset of the late H3N2 epidemic in early August this year. Sadly, reports aren't made public in real-time
UNSW School of BABS Special Seminar Peer review meltdown Carl T. Bergstrom, University of Washington Host/Chair Prof Mark Tanaka Monday 23 June 2025 1pm-2pm Mathews Theatre C You’ve seen it yourself. Peer review is coming apart at the seams. Editors face a mighty struggle to recruit reviewers. Researchers are overwhelmed with review requests. Authors wait months or longer for low-quality reviews of their work. In this talk, I present a series of simple mathematical models to illustrate what is happening and why. (1) An elite journal relies on peer review to identify the top papers; knowing the quality of the peer review process, authors self-screen and send only their best work to this journal. But when the reward from publishing in the elite journal increases, submission volume increases. (2) When submission volume increases, review quality drops as the most qualified reviews are no longer available — but we prove that when review quality drops, submission volume necessarily increases as more authors try to sneak in undeservedly. This feedback process swamps the journals with submissions and erodes the quality of review. (3) We next consider what happens as elite journals proliferate and show that, paradoxically, as the number of elite journals increases, researchers self-screen more assiduously, but the review load continues to increase. To illustrate the consequences, we consider welfare measures for authors, reviewers, and readers. (4) Finally, we explore the way in which aggressive desk rejection policies can partially check this peer review meltdown.
Australian friends!
I'm going to be visiting Sydney in just over a week. I'll be at UNSW on June 23-25th and Macquarie on June 26-27th.
I'd love to catch up with people in person, and also will be giving (at least) two talks at UNSW.
The first is science-of-science modeling talk, on June 23:
As was I (same conference)
Possibly the best thing I've read about ChatGPT yet.
h/t @melaniemitchell.bsky.social
amandaguinzburg.substack.com/p/diabolus-e...
For example, explaining that smoking causes lung cancer "directs people to believe one idea over another regarding health outcomes."
Helping people understand that vaccines prevent diseases and do not cause autism "directs people to believe one idea over another regarding health outcomes."
A core element of public health involves working with the public to help them understand how they can protect themselves and their neighbors from disease.
This memo (see the next post) equates this vital aspect of public communication with censorship.
Here NIH officials target contracts that "may be related to any form of censorship at all or *directing people to believe one idea over another regarding health outcomes*."
Directing people to believe one idea over another regarding health outcomes IS public health. It's also education.
A science agency wants to stop knowing which ideas are true and which ones aren’t.
Nailed it
I would very much like the researchers we already have in Australia to be properly funded, before we consider new money for poaching people from other countries. But one cannot help but contrast this ERC announcement with the narrow thinking here in Australia.
Very important paper that avoids saying ANZ had some easily followable approach to COVID, while at the same time drawing out genuinely general principles for pandemic response - not least that it requires but is not receiving adequate resources.
Latest post on measles vaccines and the fallacy of ‘one more study to settle things’: kucharski.substack.com/p/a-wild-vac...
In one week:
- An unnecessary study to investigate a debunked vaccine conspiracy has been authorized.
- Federal grants to study vaccine hesitancy have been rescinded.
- False conspiracies regarding measles are been pushed by health leadership.
The scale of damage this is causing will last decades.
I don't know how else to say this except for bluntly:
It is not normal to have outbreaks of preventable diseases in wealthy countries.
It is not normal to have children dying from preventable diseases in wealthy countries.
This is the first US measles death in 10 years. There should be none.
PhD position (Melbourne, Australia)
Developing an integrated modelling and health economics approach to understand Strep A transmission and control.
with Rebecca Chisholm, Angela Devine
at La Trobe University
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2281
this is how it's done
PhD position (Melbourne, Australia)
Mathematical modelling of antivirals against influenza virus infection
with @ada-w-yan.bsky.social @jmccaw.bsky.social
at University of Melbourne
More details: http://iddjobs.org/jobs/2268
The quadratic formula is one of the great achievements of human civilisation; artists of all people should realise that we should provide support to and education in all such endeavours regardless of immediate utility or variability in subjective enjoyment.