February Low In. Positive January Bodes Well for 2026. I’ll break it all down in a FREE WEBINAR: January Barometer Rules: 2026 Midterm Year Forecast Update. Wed, Feb 11 | 4:00 PM ET. January has spoken. History says listen. Register free: www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/8...
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New Fed Chair Not So Bearish. Aside from 3 months out S&P higher 60% of times. Strip out Meyer’s Depression & Greenspan’s 87 Crash bad timing ups frequency & magnitude of gains. 1-year avg 12.7%, higher 90% of times. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/8...
January #1 NASDAQ Month of the Year. 5th for S&P 500 & DJIA. In midterm years, January rankings slip toward the bottom. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/8...
“Free Lunch” Time on Wall Street Tomorrow. Picks from new 52-wk lows Dec Triple Witching. Performs better after corrections. Recent pullback sets up. Sell quick generous gains. Can be dogs. Profitable 19 of 26 yrs avg gain 8.2%. emailed to subs Dec 20 www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/8...
FREE WEBINAR: 2026 Forecast: 6th Year of Presidency & AI Super Boom Fuel the Bull
Jeff dives into his 2026 Forecast & his assessments of the economy, Fed, inflation, geopolitics & answers the age-old question: Will there be a Santa Claus Rally this year? www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/8...
After surging 8.5% in 5 trading days, Fed is key to continued small-cap outperformance and new Russell 2000 all-time closing highs. With CME Group’s FedWatch Tool signaling an 89% chance of a rate cut (as of this post), small-cap “dips” may be worthy of consideration. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/8...
November’s 1st 5 Days Bullish Cluster: Day DJIA S&P & NASDAQ Up 10 of 13. 1st Day avg gain last 25 years: DJIA +0.20%, S&P + 0.22%, NAZ +0.32%. 1st 5 days Nov all bullish days for S&P 500, up 60% or more of the time for the last 21 years. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
November Best Month of the Year for DJIA & S&P 500. November has twelve bullish days based upon S&P 500, with a string of six in a row starting on its first trading day. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
November Begins Best 3-Month Span!
November maintains its status among the top performing months as fourth-quarter cash inflows from institutions have historically driven November to lead the best consecutive three-month span November-January. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
Insight Session: Real Santa Claus Rally: Stocks & Crypto Year-End Seasonality on Thursday October 30, 2025 at 4:00 PM EDT. Register here: register.gotowebinar.com/register/788...
Small caps shake off Octoberphobia and close at a new all-time high. Russell 2000 up 2.4% thus far in October. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
S&P 7100 By Yearend! Your Roadmap to a Monster Q4 Rally - FREE Webinar Replay - New Stock Picks via @YouTube $SPY $QQQ $DIA $IWM youtu.be/harejuE7XUc?...
October has been choppy last 21 years, but in post-election years since 1950 it has been stronger with market gains persisting until around the 15th or 16th trading day. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
The new Almanac’s here!
Come get one at the Future Proof Festival on Huntington Beach CA Sunday-Wednesday.
I’ll be at the Wiley booth.
futureproofhq.com/festival/reg...
NASDAQ Hot Julys & Later Buys. Every NASDAQ “Hot July” since 1971, except 1980 was followed by a retreat that averaged 5.8% from July’s close to a subsequent low in the second half of the year. Expecting pullback over next 2-3 months.
How Low Volatility Streaks End Matter!
Difference in S&P 500 performance is eye-popping when separating past S&P 500 low volatility streaks (closing w/<+/- 1%) since 1950. Streaks that ended w/ a gain were bullish, those that ended w/ a loss were bearish. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
S&P 500 low volatility streak extends to 18 trading days w/o 1% move. S&P 500 has retreated when past streaks ended. Past streaks that lasted between 26 to 30 trading days, or longer than 40 trading days, were noticeably weaker. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
Market’s Summer Retreat has started around mid-July. Since 1990, DJIA, S&P 500, and NASDAQ all negative from mid-July through the end of September. Full table here: www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
Summer Rally Room to Run But Running Out of Gas $DIA $SPY $QQQ $IWM NASDAQ Best 8 Months Seasonal MACD Sell Signal imminent. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
Most Bullish Day of Year!
1st Day July S&P 500 Up 14 Straight, up 90.5% of the time since 2004, avg gain +0.44%. DJIA & NASDAQ are nearly as strong, up 81.0% and 85.7% respectively. Most consistently bullish day of the year! www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
Pleasure having Anthony @Scaramucci on my WealthWise podcast last Friday for a timely, candid, unfiltered discussion on #Bitcoin #Crypto, #Trump, Geopolitics & Wall Street youtu.be/d_8EkO3fKx0
Small Caps Rocking Typical Post-Election June.
Early strength notably stronger for NASDAQ & R2K. $DIA $SPY have typically struggled. June 2025 3.8% $IWM & 2.5% $QQQ sets up a typical brisk, mid-month drop followed by a month-end rally led by tech & small caps. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
Mastering Market Momentum: @AlexSpiroglou Unveils the MACD-V on WealthWise. Great to catch up and go deep on technicals with my mate Alex technician extraordinaire from across the pond His SMART Trader System is killer. #MACD-V is not my father's MACD! www.youtube.com/watch?v=Afr3...
Hope you can join my: Don’t Sell in May! Reposition Your Portfolio with These ETFs presentation @MoneyShow May 2025 Virtual Expo, May 21–22. I’ll be joined by many others including @StovallCFRA & @EricBalchunas It’s Free! Use this link www.moneyshow.com/expert/ed8d4...
Typical Post-Election Year May performance impressive vs recent trend. Strength 1st 6 days avg gains >1%. Weakness 6th-9th days. Briskly higher through month-end. If this keeps tracking, we’ll likely push thru 200DMAs mid-month. www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...
Thrust & Verify. Technicals flashing green. Stocks likely higher a year from now, but not out of woods. V-Bottom/Zweig Thrust/VIX Spike Scenario has a few hurdles. Until we clear 5500, declining 50DMA, April 2-3 Tariff and Election gaps market likely choppy thru summer www.tumblr.com/jeffhirsch/7...