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Posts by Joshua Gans

A 2x2 graph showing which tasks are automatable (simple, routine), and which still need deep human engagement (novel, complex).

A 2x2 graph showing which tasks are automatable (simple, routine), and which still need deep human engagement (novel, complex).

Fantastic panel on the role of agentic AI in research, hosted by @strategicmgmt.bsky.social and Sukhun Kang, with @mattbeane.bsky.social, Gwendolyn Lee, @cgartenberg99.bsky.social, @joshgans.bsky.social. Image from Claudine Gartenberg. It's a new world (with lots of unanswered questions).

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Cc @alroth.bsky.social

2 weeks ago 8 1 1 0
The machines are fine. I'm worried about us. On AI agents, grunt work, and the part of science that isn't replaceable.

Two thoughtful essays about the impact of LLMs on graduate education:

ergosphere.blog/posts/the-ma...

economics.mit.edu/sites/defaul...

From personal experience I think the self-control problem mentioned in the first essay is very real.

2 weeks ago 34 11 2 1

This would seem to be required for basic preparation. Good grief.

2 weeks ago 3 0 0 0
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Sparking discovery: How new methods and tools trigger science’s major breakthroughs Abstract. Discoveries transform our lives—through breakthrough medicines, technologies and completely new ways to understand the world. Yet one of science’

Interesting new book by Alex Krausse, The Engine of Scientific Discovery. Available here doi.org/10.1093/oso/...

3 weeks ago 2 1 0 0
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How can we tell good AI from bad? [FREE TO READ] More lessons from the jagged frontiers of new technology

How can we tell good AI from bad?
as.ft.com/r/10e94b4b-d...

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after a night of russian missile attacks on Ukraine, I decided my saturday needed something stupid and fun. so I built a random econ paper title generator.

current favorite: Craft Beer Variety as an Instrument for Public Trust in Economists

small joys. dariia-m.github.io/econ-title-g... #Econsky

1 month ago 72 18 4 5
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The Last Quiet Thing Your possessions came alive. Now they won't stop talking.

This is worth 5 minutes of your time. www.terrygodier.com/the-last-qui...

1 month ago 2 1 1 0
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ScienceDirect.com | Science, health and medical journals, full text articles and books.

New short fun paper alert on data pricing.
authors.elsevier.com/sd/article/S...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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Journopoclypse! Yeah, na. I don't think so

I don't think we will have a Journopoclypse open.substack.com/pub/joshuaga...

1 month ago 13 3 1 3

Don’t change the regime and just take the oil?

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U.S. Still Enjoying Small But Loyal Following WASHINGTON—While the nation’s mainstream popularity has largely diminished in recent years, sources confirmed this week that the United States still retains a passionate fan base composed of a few ext...

U.S. Still Enjoying Small But Loyal Following

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I really get the feeling that Anthropic should have been charging more than $200m for what they provide.

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Takeshi Amemiya, my colleague and friend for many decades, has died at age 90. He made fundamental contributions to econometrics, having, as an empirical scholar, some gripes with the available toolkit. In retirement, he taught a course on the Economics of Ancient Greece. /1

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WTF is Pro-Worker AI Provoked by Acemoglu, Autor and Johnson

WTF is pro-Worker AI? open.substack.com/pub/joshuaga...

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Prediction, Decision-MIf artificial intelligence is best understood as a technology of prediction, how does that reshape who makes decisions, who captures value, and who sets the rules of modern markets? @joshgans.bsky.social @utoronto.ca @econuoft.bsky.social discusses: faculti.net/the-microeco...

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Prediction, Decision-MIf artificial intelligence is best understood as a technology of prediction, how does that reshape who makes decisions, who captures value, and who sets the rules of modern markets? @joshgans.bsky.social @utoronto.ca @econuoft.bsky.social discusses: faculti.net/the-microeco...

1 month ago 0 1 0 0

I’m am so sick of these emails. I get one a day from different parts of the world. I assume this is just one spam bot producing them all.

1 month ago 0 0 0 0
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As I collect these stories, @alroth.bsky.social Nobel prize winning paper (“The Economics of Matching: Stability and Incentives,” Mathematics of Operations Research 1982) was initially rejected by the JPE.

1 month ago 6 0 1 0

Just program an AI to logon for you.

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I think someone needs to send a mental health ship to DC.

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There was a real danger American kids could get their hands on more dolls. Phew!

2 months ago 14 2 0 0

Emotional?

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Man linked to international sex trafficking ring finally arrested for improper email forwarding

Man linked to international sex trafficking ring finally arrested for improper email forwarding

“In the criminal justice system, some offences are considered especially heinous" chaser.com.au/world/man-li...

2 months ago 553 146 11 10

So they are releasing the ET Files rather than the Epstein Files?

2 months ago 27 7 3 0
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On the other site got pointed to this JPE article by Tullock from 1973

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Formalising this is useful because, not surprisingly, it isn’t really the number of miracles but their type that matters. But you want to run experiments that target miracles that can be resolved by information. No experiment will help violate a law of physics.

2 months ago 1 0 0 0

The informal idea was that ventures that require too many miracles to happen for success aren’t a great idea. So you want to run experiments (gather info) to reduce the number of miracles that have to happen.

2 months ago 1 0 1 0
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Managing the Entrepreneur's Miracle Budget Founded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, an...

I have a new paper out today that formalises a concept that I and others have been using when advising entrepreneurs: their miracle budget. www.nber.org/papers/w34850

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