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Posts by håvard mokleiv nygård

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The tour for this book has been a wild ride. I met so many people who are trying to understand what's happening to civil society. I offer some ideas -- and encouragement.
Thanks to all those who made this a bestseller.

1 year ago 162 42 22 13
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Zambia’s 2026 general elections: Democratic progress amid persistent challenges – Peace Research Institute Oslo (PRIO) PRIO Policy Brief

Together with @oyvindstiansen.bsky.social and Lise Rakner, I've prepared a short brief on Zambia's upcoming general elections, and three key challenges for the resilience of its democracy.

www.prio.org/publications...

6 days ago 5 3 0 0

Some quick thoughts on Secretary Bessent’s WB/IMF Spring Meetings statement as regards the World Bank bits… TLDR: one really good bit, some silly bits, and a lot in the middle.

1 week ago 2 2 1 1
Hard Questions: Expert Perspectives Ahead of the 2026 World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings
Hard Questions: Expert Perspectives Ahead of the 2026 World Bank/IMF Spring Meetings YouTube video by Center for Global Development

🔴 Now live: Hard Questions: Expert Perspectives Ahead of the #WBGMeetings

What questions are shaping the Spring Meetings? What do they mean for developing economies?

Join the conversation, moderated by @devex.com on shocks, debt, and the future of development finance.

👉 go.cgdev.org/4muiHuH

1 week ago 3 2 0 0
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No amount of gerrymandering will fix that

1 week ago 306 65 4 10
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Identifying Genocide by its Fingerprints Every conflict leaves a demographic fingerprint in its casualties - who was killed, by age and sex, reflects the nature of the violence itself. Combat deaths skew young and male; some mass atrocities ...

An interesting statistical presentation which makes the case that the nature of Israel's assault on Gaza most closely resembles the massacres in Rwanda, Cambodia and the El Mozote Massacre in El Salvador.

Presenter says this isn't itself proof of genocide but is of indiscriminate killing.

1 week ago 106 21 4 1

@everycasualty.bsky.social

1 week ago 3 1 0 0
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Identifying Genocide by its Fingerprints Every conflict leaves a demographic fingerprint in its casualties - who was killed, by age and sex, reflects the nature of the violence itself. Combat deaths skew young and male; some mass atrocities ...

1/7
Yesterday I presented new research on what I'm calling the "demographic fingerprints" of armed conflict — and what they reveal about Gaza.
Here is a recording of the presentation: vimeo.com/1175493576?s...

1 week ago 8 4 1 4

Reuters says Tisza has at least 135 seats: 133 is the constitutional supermajority!

Live by highly disproportional electoral systems (which Orbán made even more disproportional with the extra compensation votes awarded to winners), die by highly disproportional electoral systems.

1 week ago 178 42 6 4
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1 week ago 135 21 1 3
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1 week ago 101 22 5 1

Please read the whole thread. I concur with Elizabeth's assessment.

2 weeks ago 14 4 1 0
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Living in Hell War crimes coming: A horrifying update

Don't think I've ever been as terrified in all the Trump security crises. As @pkrugman.bsky.social said, "It’s the most astonishing, awful thing that I’ve ever seen, and we’ve all seen a lot of awful things." Mainly as cope, and to teach it, I keep asking why. 1/ open.substack.com/pub/paulkrug...

2 weeks ago 1094 399 28 74

I'm a bit of a broken record on this, but usurping the power of the purse isn't just one constitutional violation among all the many others. It is, uniquely and singularly, the death of constitutional government altogether. Game over, end of story, you now live in an autocracy.

2 weeks ago 6996 2255 84 62
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The Strategic Defeat of the United States Congratulations, Trump administration, you played yourself -- and America.

It's time to call it. danieldrezner.substack.com/p/the-strate...

2 weeks ago 601 150 15 20
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Drivstoffkutt koster like mye som ett års gratis barnehage eller tannhelsereform Prisen for å kutte i drivstoffavgiftene tilsvarer flere omstridte forslag i Stortinget. – Dette handler ikke om å bruke penger, sier Frp-leder Sylvi Listhaug.

Prisen for å kutte avgiftene på diesel og bensin i et halvt år koster like mye som nasjonalt månedskort, tannhelsereform eller gratis barnehage.
Det kunne finansiert underskuddet i frie midler til kommunene eller sørget for innføring av billigere tannhelsetjeneste. Matmomsen kunne også vært halvert

2 weeks ago 106 37 3 8
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Well the banner is up. Nothing more nerve-wrecking than to send your manuscript to people you respect & wait for their opinion. V.grateful to @jonathanfreedland.bsky.social @ciaranm.bsky.social @gavinesler.bsky.social and especially the generous @jameshawes.bsky.social for supporting my book.

3 weeks ago 123 31 7 6

I want to put this as plainly as possible: This site has way too many self-righteous, underinformed assholes looking to pick a fight. We need fewer of them and more people with Mark's expertise.

3 weeks ago 2137 247 71 10
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NEVER FORGIVE • NEVER FORGET

On March 31, Ukraine marks four years since the liberation of Bucha, the Kyiv suburb whose name became synonymous with the brutality of Russian occupation.

It became the proof the russians are the absolute evil of this world.

RUSSIAN WAR CRIMES

3 weeks ago 84 62 7 2
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Trump Tells Aides He’s Willing to End War Without Reopening Hormuz Administration officials assess that forcing the waterway back open would mean extending the military mission

Trump is now apparently willing to leave Iran in control of the Strait of Hormuz because reopening it will take too long

What an incredible own-goal. If this happens, it will studied in our textbooks as one of the most disastrous, and self-inflicted, strategic blunders in military history

3 weeks ago 363 116 16 35
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Donald Trump's Badly-Timed Iran Narrative A president who loves instant gratification now wants everyone to wait. That dog won't hunt.

Trump is asking everyone to wait on Iran, promising long-term benefits. But this goes against Trump’s entire political schtick, which is one reason it’s not working. open.substack.com/pub/danieldr...

3 weeks ago 59 16 5 3

Social movement scholar here to comment on No King again. a 🧵:

These protests are important b/c:

1.) as sustained image events, protests offer evidence of continued disapproval of the direction the country is going and disavowal of the country's leadership.

3 weeks ago 3582 1353 43 124

@ejprjournal.bsky.social even timed the publication to my birthday 🎉😀

More seriously: so happy to see this published, and grateful to have worked with and learned from @plutscher.bsky.social & @draege.bsky.social

Propaganda—>Diff’t Emotions—>Protest behavior

Check out Philipp’s thread 👇

3 weeks ago 17 4 0 0
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Diesel­demonstranter truer med å stenge Oslo «Køyr sakte»-arrangør truer med å sette kursen mot Oslo om kravene deres om lavere dieselpriser ikke møtes.

Se for deg reaksjonene, debattene, fordømmingen som hadde kommet hvis noen i den (unge) klimabevegelsen *truet* med noe sånt som dette. Om Greta hadde gjort det… Enormt talende hva vi ser på som ekstremt og radikalt og hva som er innafor.

www.vg.no/nyheter/i/j0...

3 weeks ago 2 0 0 0

The theme of public excellence is something Mamdani emphasized in his inauguration address. One big potential he mentions here is inhousing tech talent rather than spending too much on contracts that don't deliver.

4 weeks ago 976 145 23 13
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beste tegnet på at du gjør noe riktig 👍

4 weeks ago 51 9 3 2
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How settler outposts are seizing new regions of the West Bank After decades consolidating their control over Area C, Israeli settlers are expanding into Areas B and A — nominally under Palestinian Authority jurisdiction — and displacing communities, a joint inve...

After decades consolidating their control over Area C, Israeli settlers are expanding into Areas B and A — nominally under Palestinian Authority jurisdiction — and displacing communities.

By Oren Ziv & Ariel Caine, with
@thenation.com & @mekomit.bsky.social

www.972mag.com/israel-settl...

4 weeks ago 64 58 2 5
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I wrote a book! A whole, real, actual book! Ada Limón, genius poet, said nice things about it! As did other absolute heroes! And now it's in libraries and bookstores in several countries! Be careful what you wish for, it might turn out awesome bookshop.org/p/books/huma...

7 months ago 428 91 28 10
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💡 What does V-Dem Data not cover?

Watch the V-Dem Methodology video or read in the thread to find out! 👇

🧵1(9)

#Polisky #PolDataSky #PoliSciSky #Academia #VDemMethodology #VDemDataset
@vdemamlat.bsky.social

4 weeks ago 8 3 1 0