Thank you.

Wasn't so simple as blaming Carter. Republicans lost 26 seats in the House in the 1982 elections.

Great writing from
‪@pkcapitol.bsky.social, with several lessons on political careers.

Catastrophic.

Support Ukraine. Provide US aid.

Madison: The accumulation of all powers, legislative, executive, and judiciary, in the same hands, whether of one, a few, or many, and whether hereditary, self-appointed, or elective, may justly be pronounced the very definition of tyranny.

Rs have been insisting that they would not nuke the legislative filibuster. The use of reconciliation for regular approps, now accepted by Rs for DHS, has the same effect—only with tighter limits on amendments and debate than the cloture process. A massive precedent.

Congratulations!

This seems highly illegal.

And if it somehow is allowed to continue, why would anyone else enter into any sort agreement with this administration?

This is an absolute scandal; the United States government is deliberately consolidating all deportation cases of an ethnic minority that the President has called "garbage" in front of a handpicked group of judges and with dramatically accelerated timeline.

A lawsuit was filed yesterday against it.

Gotta like the coordination between Trump and Thune. :)

A few things to say about the rule reported today:

1. An unusually close vote on an amendment.

Column | Congress could be headed for a tipping point, irreversible decline After nearly two decades covering Capitol Hill, a reflection on how bad things are.

We just published my swan song for The Post: Congress nears tipping point of irrelevance.
It’s been an amazing 19-plus-year run, especially last decade of this @PKCapitol column. The Post has been family, giving me this perch to cover Congress.
So lucky …

www.washingtonpost.com/politics/202...

I asked Sen. Mike Lee if there are any historical examples of the Senate using a “talking filibuster” to pass bills that didn’t have the votes for cloture.

He cites the 1964 civil rights act but then concedes it did get cloture.

And says SAVE can get 60.

“Yes. I believe we can get there.”

WATCH:

Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2011 The Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel 2011 was awarded jointly to Thomas J. Sargent and Christopher A. Sims "for their empirical research on cause and effect in th...

So weird: there's more than one scammy memorial site inviting donations or tree-planting in my dad's memory.
We are not asking for that, but if people feel moved, donations in lieu of flowers to www.aclu-mn.org, www.aclu.org, or www.eff.org
Econ folks, can you help get the word out?

For years, @pkcapitol.bsky.social, who I consider a friend, has been one of the single best reporters on Capitol Hill. And now he is leaving the Washington post. They still have several good house and senate reporters, but this hurts. Covering the hill was a core function of the paper.

The Senate sergeant-at-arms carried Sen. Bob Packwood, R-Ore., into... - UPI Archives The Senate sergeant-at-arms carried Sen. Bob Packwood, R-Ore., into the chamber early Wednesday in a move to round up recalcitrant senators absent from a...

As the Senate is once again considering the future of the filibuster, could we pause to remember the most entertaining filibuster of all time? @pkcapitol.bsky.social www.upi.com/Archives/198...

Meanwhile, in Vermont…

People are getting gassed for protesting ICE. Yep, that’s still going on. America sure is great, isn’t it?
#Vermont #ICE #SouthBurlington

Trump is likely the only president since 1960 not to have been advised by or read Neustadt. Threat and retribution are not sub-entries in Neustadt's index under bargaining.

2/Nor could H Repubs get Trump, who is MIA in legislative details, involved in a meaningful way. They'll need him to move S Repubs off bipartisan provisions of the Senate bill. Good luck with that. Trump doesn't care.

1/Quite a different world. Some House Republicans feel shut out of *Senate* negotiations on the housing bill. In their view, party before chamber. Remarkably, senators did not see that way. The H Repubs could not wait until it was time for House-Senate negotiations.

$11.3 billion could cover any of the following for a full year:
-1.4 million people on Medicaid
-19 million kids getting free school lunches
-1.4 million people getting affordable housing
-1.1 million hungry seniors fed
-0.8 million children given free child care

When I worked for senator Kennedy in the 90’s, we spent weeks in conference with the house on the no child left behind bill. By the time 2004 rolled around and I was working for Reid- conference committees were dead. Leadership ran everything ( for better or worse)

Established empirical regularities in ACS/CPS wage regressions for prime-age, full-year workers; typical magnitudes of gender, racial/ethnic, and BA wage differentials in log-wage models expected R² values for sparse human capital specifications plausible sampling precision given ACS sample size"

"No. These coefficients were not generated by running the 2024 ACS microdata through statistical software. They are informed predictions based on: 3/

Followed up with this: did you use statistical software to calculate these estimates? 2/

I wrote similar prompts for ChatGPT and Gemini with similar but not identical results. /1

2/Several related factors contribute to the demise of conferences: packaging tactics, shrinkage in number of bills passing both houses, filibuster-avoidance, majority caucus expectations, party leadership strategies, partisan polarization, deadlines, &, at times, divided party control.

1/Here is some background on the plight of committees. It is a significant change in who leads inter-chamber negotiations. Sure, top cmte leaders remain involved, but on major measures they often are in supporting roles to top leaders.
stevesnotes.substack.com/p/beneath-th...