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Posts by David R. Kotok

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Utah Now the Epicenter of America’s Measles Epidemic This is a quick note about Utah and the measles outbreak there. If your family is not vaxed, do you really want to take your children to Utah for a summer vacation?

We have written about the measles spread and other diseases. We offered evidence about how misguided policies under RFK Jr. are sickening (and maybe killing) some Americans. See evidence of the RFK Jr. deception with citations. dkotok.substack.com/p/utah-now-t...

23 hours ago 2 0 0 0
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Utah Now the Epicenter of America’s Measles Epidemic This is a quick note about Utah and the measles outbreak there. If your family is not vaxed, do you really want to take your children to Utah for a summer vacation?

In Utah, measles vax rates have fallen below long-established immunity-producing levels of 95%. Though once considered eradicated in the US, in Utah it is spreading and measles is now on track to pass the South Carolina epidemic in numbers and scope. dkotok.substack.com/p/utah-now-t...

1 day ago 0 0 0 0
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Hormuz Hope? An Update As the great economist, philosopher, and sage Yogi Berra wrote on the baseball: “It ain’t over till it’s over.”

As I see it, the US cannot waver much without empowering Iran.

dkotok.substack.com/p/hormuz-hop...

2 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Hormuz Hope? An Update As the great economist, philosopher, and sage Yogi Berra wrote on the baseball: “It ain’t over till it’s over.”

Hormuz Hope? An Update.

Like everyone else, we strive to keep up.

Alongside that effort, we encourage readers to consider information and perspectives that constitute valuable navigational tools for a tumultuous time.

See our list here: dkotok.substack.com/p/hormuz-hop...

3 days ago 2 0 0 0
MPBP Episode - 69 Matt Dotts
MPBP Episode - 69 Matt Dotts Please listen to our latest podcast episode featuring a conversation with Matt Dotts. Matt is the Information Security Awareness Officer at Mid Penn Bank. In this conversation, Matt discusses: -…

A conversation with Matt Dotts, Information Security Awareness Officer at Mid Penn Bank.

In this conversation, Matt discusses common scams in today's society and ways to prevent fraud.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=xeWg...

4 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Terrific Interview for Understanding Today’s Markets Ed D’Agostino’s interview with Michael Howell, former director of research at Salomon Brothers, on global liquidity and asset markets is a must for any thoughtful investor. It’s an incisive discussion

Sharing perspectives in diverse settings, whether on the ground in Cuba or in thoughtful interviews like this one are extremely valuable. That’s why I strongly encourage you to listen to Ed D’Agostino’s entire interview with Michael Howell, MD at GL Indexes. dkotok.substack.com/p/terrific-i...

4 days ago 1 0 0 0
"Bonds Share In The Rally" - Week in Review
"Bonds Share In The Rally" - Week in Review Dear Clients & Friends, Thank you for watching Cumberland Advisors’ Week in Review. Our end-of-week update on market conditions, equities & bonds with Matt C. McAleer, President of Private Wealth,…

"Bonds Share In The Rally" - The Cumberland Advisors’ Week in Review, end-of-week update on market conditions, equities & bonds.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=HdmC... #markets

4 days ago 1 0 0 0
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Central Banking Series: Paris | Global Interdependence Center Join GIC for Springtime in Paris.

The Global Interdependence Center invites you to join them in Paris for GIC’s conference in partnership with the Banque de France, May 6-8, 2026.

Keynote remarks will be given by François Villeroy de Galhau, the Governor of the Banque de France.

www.interdependence.org/product/cent...

5 days ago 0 0 0 0
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A bad tick season, CDC rabies testing paused, plus a new measles epicenter, stomach flu, and a late RSV season that's prompting great questions from parents. The Dose (April 14)

Measles: South Carolina’s outbreak is winding down, coming at a staggering cost: an estimated $35.5 million in response spending as of early March, plus significant school disruption, missed workdays, and caregiver burden. yourlocalepidemiologist.substack.com/p/a-bad-tick...

5 days ago 0 0 0 0
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Trade-Off: Nukes vs. Gasoline? It’s not over. The Hormuz Hope Rally was problematic.

The IRGC leaders in charge of Iran represent the same murderous regime that has been in place since 1979. Its military capabilities are heavily damaged, and its nuclear program has suffered a setback of years.

What trade-offs to consider where we stand now? dkotok.substack.com/p/trade-off-...

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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The Coming RFK Jr. Health Recession Part 4 RFK Jr.’s policies and appointments do economic damage while they increase sickness and raise mortality. Details follow.

Blowing vaccine risks far out of proportion relative to vaccine benefits is one way vaccine skeptics erode trust in vaccines and whittle vaccination rates. The flip side of that coin is being less than forthright about the relative benefits vs. risks. dkotok.substack.com/p/the-coming...

1 week ago 2 0 1 0
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The Coming RFK Jr. Health Recession Part 4 RFK Jr.’s policies and appointments do economic damage while they increase sickness and raise mortality. Details follow.

The Coming RFK Jr. Health Recession Part 4
: RFK Jr.’s policies and appointments do economic damage while they increase sickness and raise mortality. Details follow. dkotok.substack.com/p/the-coming...

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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Iran Ceasefire Quick Note We can all follow the unfolding situation. Biased media reports range from extreme-right praise to extreme-left criticism. But one question is fundamental!

The scope of an oil shock is wider than most people realize. Explore Giacoma Prandelli’s list of impacted products here. dkotok.substack.com/p/iran-cease...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Iran Ceasefire Quick Note We can all follow the unfolding situation. Biased media reports range from extreme-right praise to extreme-left criticism. But one question is fundamental!

If you only focus on outcomes that we can see, would you prefer a wounded Iran with a likely diminished nuclear capability, at the temporary expense of the oil shock? Or would you instead prefer an Iran with undiminished nuclear capabilities? dkotok.substack.com/p/iran-cease...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Stocks From Liberation Day To Iran War Summary

* Pres Trump’s address to the nation on Apr 1 precipitated an immediate & sizable market reaction, underscoring theme of volatility.
* Tracking one year
* Tools focusing on volatility metrics & “the Greeks”
* Cont...

seekingalpha.com/article/4889...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Stocks from Liberation Day to Iran War We look at diverse stock charts for perspective about the market’s roller coaster ride of the last year. Where things go from here is an open question. And we recall “the Greeks.”

Stocks from Liberation Day to Iran War
: We look at diverse stock charts for perspective about the market’s roller coaster ride of the last year. Where things go from here is an open question. And we recall “the Greeks.”

dkotok.substack.com/p/stocks-fro...

2 weeks ago 2 0 0 0
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Are you in New Jersey? Please join me at the Greater Vineland Chamber of Commerce Luncheon event, "Global Monetary Policy & the Price of Gold" on April 7th, 2026 www.vinelandchamber.org/events/detai...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna and the Russians I have watched this FL politician from nearby Sarasota. I’m appalled by the decisions Rep. Luna makes. This time, IMO, she went too far. So, be silent? Or speak up?

Putin’s Russia is helping Iran wound and kill Americans. Can congress risk getting cozy with him for temporary gains? dkotok.substack.com/p/congresswo...

2 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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The stock market ended the first quarter on a high note the last day of March.

“I call this a ‘Hormuz Hope’ rally,” said David Kotok, co-founder of Cumberland Advisors. “Market agents think this is a turning point.”

(Paywall) www.wsj.com/finance/stoc...

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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This conference will confront the defining question of our monetary moment: whether US–China rivalry will reshape or shatter the dollar-driven order, and what a bifurcated system means for sovereign borrowers, central banks, and the future of int'l finance.

www.interdependence.org/product/44th...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Is the Iran War just the sort of rainy day that justify drawing upon sovereign wealth funds (SWFs)?

I thought about the pros and cons of this and then sought out my longtime friend, SWF veteran Paul O’Brien, former CIO at the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority.

dkotok.substack.com/p/hormuz-and...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Watch the latest Cumberland Advisors "Week in Review" here: www.youtube.com/@CumberlandA...

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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US-China Rivalry and the Future of Global Monetary Leadership | Global Interdependence Center We invite you to join us for the 44th Annual Monetary and Trade Conference on April 9, 2026. The conference theme is the US-China Rivalry and the Future of

US-China Rivalry and the Future of Global Monetary Leadership | Global Interdependence Center www.interdependence.org/product/44th...

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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War and Pause Continue: Two Sides, One Coin? A pause without a pause is not a pause. Meanwhile, a buildup of American forces (Marines, 82nd Airborne) in the Hormuz region continues. No one knows what happens next.

According to a March 25th JINSA report, the two negotiating positions for the US and for Iran as of March 25 are miles apart. dkotok.substack.com/p/war-and-pa... #IranWar #Hormuz

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Kotok Report Quick Take - Middle East War with Iran: It’s also a Religious War
Kotok Report Quick Take - Middle East War with Iran: It’s also a Religious War In this Kotok Report Quick Take, David R. Kotok lays out some of the religion factors that are working their way into the war narrative and what ramifications they may cause.

Kotok Report Quick Take - Middle East War with Iran: It’s also a Religious War

A religious context is suggested. 3 minute YouTube explains.

www.youtube.com/shorts/YnWZK...

3 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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An economy and its financial market function best when market agents are not sick. While an economy can be spurred in the short term by subduing fear, it cannot be fully restored as long as pandemic-caused disease, death, and disability erode human health and productivity. www.thefedandtheflu.com

3 weeks ago 1 0 0 0
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The Iran War Pause Abrupt and startling changes with multiple media reporting various views. What can we determine from this blistering pace? Is there a Kurdish connection?

Amid the ongoing barrage of new developments, let’s take a moment to consider the war’s impact on Kurdistan.
We are watching the buildup in the Kurdish areas. A fragmented Iran offers the Kurds options. dkotok.substack.com/p/the-iran-w...

4 weeks ago 0 1 1 0
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Trump now confronts his version of the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis with a face-to-face standoff with Russia. A new, tense chapter may be about to be opened.
The crisis bears reviewing now. dkotok.substack.com/p/cuba-cigar...

1 month ago 0 0 1 0
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Cuba — Cigar or No Cigar? As the Iran War has spiraled into regional war with global impact, Cuba remains a hot topic.

Since January, without Venezuelan oil, the situation on the island has grown even more dire — even life-threatening. People chop wood or burn charcoal to cook what food they can procure over fires, and they must wait for a bit of gasoline for months.

dkotok.substack.com/p/cuba-cigar...

1 month ago 1 0 0 0
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We're setting new "Hottest Day on Record" events around the country. Is America's Climate Mitigation Policy Dead? dkotok.substack.com/p/is-america...

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1 month ago 1 0 0 0