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Posts by Eamon Kircher-Allen

NYT: "Iran War Live Updates: Trump Says U.S. Will 'Blockade' Straight of Hormuz After No Peace Deal Reached"

NYT: "Iran War Live Updates: Trump Says U.S. Will 'Blockade' Straight of Hormuz After No Peace Deal Reached"

Short-term winner: US and Russian oligarchs.

Long-term winner: China and renewables.

Loser: US economy, households

1 week ago 25 9 1 0

The Trump budget once again proposes to eliminate NOAA OAR, which brings you the CO₂ Keeling Curve. In this piece, I argued that the Keeling Curve is a treasure that belongs to humanity as the most poignant indication of our impact on the environment and as a testament to our ability to document it.

2 weeks ago 619 287 9 14
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Elon Musk had DOGE defund USAID, the largest humanitarian organization in the world, causing HUNDREDS OF THOUSANDS of deaths from starvation and disease - and Trump GLEEFULLY approved it. It’s the single most evil act in US history. Cartoon by Mike Luckovich

2 weeks ago 6117 2151 158 116
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The pain that consumers are feeling from the Iran war is real, and likely to get worse. But those short-term costs are only the tip of the economic iceberg, writes CI editor-in-chief @eamonka.bsky.social in a new commentary.

2 weeks ago 1 1 1 0
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The Iran War’s Forever Costs Will Far Exceed the Immediate Pain for Consumers The most headline-grabbing economic effects of the Iran war are immediate, directly felt in consumers’ daily life: Pump prices are up 35 percent, and the

@centuryintl.bsky.social colleague @eamonka.bsky.social lays out how Trump's war on Iran – in addition to being monstrous and wrong – will also incur all kinds of second-order economic costs, making Americans' lives materially worse: tcf.org/content/comm...

2 weeks ago 3 2 0 0
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The Iran War’s Forever Costs Will Far Exceed the Immediate Pain for Consumers The most headline-grabbing economic effects of the Iran war are immediate, directly felt in consumers’ daily life: Pump prices are up 35 percent, and the

Got to stretch my econ muscles and explain just how bad the Iran war is for the US economy—and it goes way beyond inflation. New commentary for @centuryintl.bsky.social tcf.org/content/comm...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Runaway war spending disfigures every aspect of the economy.

Americans will be paying the costs of Trump’s reckless war on Iran for generations.

@eamonka.bsky.social for @centuryintl.bsky.social

tcf.org/content/comm...

2 weeks ago 2 2 0 0
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The @cssl.bsky.social is reporting zero snow water equivalent this morning, with just a little snow left around the property. It’s the earliest melt out of the lab’s snowpack since 2015. Median March 30 snow water equivalent is 34 inches. #CAwx

3 weeks ago 67 26 7 2

I think often of a New York Times photo of a little Iraqi girl tending to her parakeets in a bombed house, probably from 20 years ago now. I will think of this man and his sweet dog often now too. People just want to love what they love, care for their little beings, and instead we do this to them

3 weeks ago 8100 2169 52 23

probably nothing

3 weeks ago 52 8 0 0
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Line graph time series of 2026's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. Additional scatter points show the maximum extents from 2000 to 2025. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year.

Line graph time series of 2026's daily Arctic sea ice extent compared to decadal averages from the 1980s to the 2010s. Additional scatter points show the maximum extents from 2000 to 2025. There is a long-term decreasing trend in ice extent for every day of the year.

Unless there's a sudden shift in weather conditions, preliminary estimates show that 2026 set another new record low maximum extent for #Arctic sea ice. This follows very closely with last year, which previously set the record. Not good!

Download graphic at zacklabe.com/arctic-sea-i...

1 month ago 244 106 5 7

There are so many ways in which this war can still escalate much further.

4 weeks ago 212 15 5 3
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Bike lanes that greatly reduced crashes on National Mall set for removal After the 15th Street bike lanes were constructed, bicycle injury crashes decreased by 91 percent, according to the District Department of Transportation.

“Bike lanes that greatly reduced crashes on National Mall set for removal”

10/10 hed, no notes. #bikedc

1 month ago 331 88 6 8

I dunno, man. I really just do not know what to say at this point.

1 month ago 230 14 10 0
Map of U.S., from coolwx.com, showing locations currently experiencing record-breaking temperatures. There are countless such locations in the Western U.S., with hundreds of red dots (locations breaking daily record highs) and countless pink dots (locations breaking March monthly record highs). The region of record heat extends from the Pacific Coast to the Mississippi River, and from Canada to Mexico. The region of red and pink dots is vastly larger even than yesterday's.

Map of U.S., from coolwx.com, showing locations currently experiencing record-breaking temperatures. There are countless such locations in the Western U.S., with hundreds of red dots (locations breaking daily record highs) and countless pink dots (locations breaking March monthly record highs). The region of record heat extends from the Pacific Coast to the Mississippi River, and from Canada to Mexico. The region of red and pink dots is vastly larger even than yesterday's.

...And, again today, a huge swath of the continental United States clear across from the Pacific Coast to Mississippi River is experiencing all-time March monthly record heat. Some locations are so hot that they are actually exceeding *April* all-time record highs. Incredible.

1 month ago 209 91 10 10

I've interviewed more than a dozen hydrologists and climatologists across the West the past 10 days.

A sense of panic is starting to set in. Wildfires and water shortages will start mounting this summer. Adverse impacts are expected from not only this heat wave, but the historically warm winter.

1 month ago 2667 983 82 114

This is true but also a very problematic framing that has been adopted by too many. The issue isn’t simply a lack of strategy, it is a lack of justification for launching the war in the first place.

1 month ago 38 9 3 1
After a series of fatal strikes involving civilians in Iraq and Afghanistan, Congress directed the Pentagon to reduce civilian casualties as part of a 2019 law. During the Biden administration, the Defense Department created the Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response initiative.

The civilian mitigation teams – cut by 90% by Hegseth – work with military commanders on target planning, and making sure that targets are actually military sites. The teams help come up with "no strike" lists, including religious and cultural sites and schools

After a series of fatal strikes involving civilians in Iraq and Afghanistan, Congress directed the Pentagon to reduce civilian casualties as part of a 2019 law. During the Biden administration, the Defense Department created the Civilian Harm Mitigation and Response initiative. The civilian mitigation teams – cut by 90% by Hegseth – work with military commanders on target planning, and making sure that targets are actually military sites. The teams help come up with "no strike" lists, including religious and cultural sites and schools

I knew that the Department of War shot a missile into a school & killed 175 civilians, mostly children.

This is learned today:

Secretary of War Hegseth had cut the teams assigned to prevent such tragedies by 90%.
www.npr.org/2026/03/11/n...

1 month ago 4086 2080 133 136
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A rebooted global version of the neoconservative fervor of March 2003.

1 month ago 51 7 1 0
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The U.S. and Israel – whose war of aggression you co-signed – are working to turn a vast swathe of the region into an ungoverned waste, from which millions of new refugees will flee to Europe

You absolute doofus

x.com/clashreport/...

1 month ago 29 9 4 4
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The "forever war" paradigm doesn't really describe the Iran war, writes
@abujamajem.com.

This U.S.–Israeli attack is something more acute, and immediate—this is a war of aggression, chaotic and wild.

1 month ago 12 4 1 2
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Hezbollah escalated a war with Israel that had never ended, despite a nominal ceasefire.

Renewed fighting will punish Lebanese civilians, but will probably also further weaken Hezbollah.

@abujamajem.com in new roundtable

tcf.org/content/comm...

1 month ago 6 3 0 0
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Hegseth: "The dumb, politically correct wars of the past were the opposite of what we're doing here. They had vague objections with restrictive, minimalist rules of engagement. No more."

1 month ago 1351 319 811 766
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NO!

Wednesday or Thursday is too late. You do not need to be briefed before voting on this. Troops should stop all military action now.

1 month ago 37 12 3 1
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They are trying to drag us into war now.

We needed a vote on @rokhanna.bsky.social’s War Powers Resolution last week. Instead the war hawk caucus of the Dem Party delayed it, and now it may be too late.

1 month ago 45 16 1 1

This allows the Trump administration to literally condition citizenship on what it defines as acceptable speech

1 month ago 1898 802 48 15
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Violent and non-violent death tolls for the Gaza conflict: new primary evidence from a population-representative field survey This first independent population survey of mortality in the Gaza Strip shows that violent deaths have substantially exceeded official figures whereas the demographic composition of casualties aligns ...

“This first independent population survey of mortality in the Gaza Strip shows that violent deaths have substantially exceeded official figures... women, children, and older people together comprised 56·2% of violent deaths” - Lancet

www.thelancet.com/journals/lan...

2 months ago 48 27 0 2
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Trump's Caribbean Surge Nears $3 Billion Price Tag So Far The operations around Venezuela that eventually led to the capture of its president pulled in nearly a fifth of the US Navy’s surface fleet at a cost of more than $20 million a day.

Bloomberg says we've spent $3B on Trump's invasion of Venezuela.

Which is 6X more than the cancer, Alzheimer, diabetes, and heart disease cures they've cut to pay for it.

www.bloomberg.com/news/article...

2 months ago 3885 2051 95 89

Anyone currently involved in federal immigration enforcement, every officer, every bureaucrat, every lawyer, every judge, is a member of the most evil group of people this country has seen since Reconstruction. Darkness personified, every one. Doing this to children is beyond depraved.

2 months ago 4702 1601 27 40
Excerpt from a book describing the inconsistency of climate denial

Excerpt from a book describing the inconsistency of climate denial

I am so tired

2 months ago 335 71 23 4