Amortized Bayesian Workflow
Chengkun LI, Aki Vehtari, Paul-Christian BΓΌrkner et al.
Action editor: Tom Rainforth
https://openreview.net/forum?id=osV7adJlKD
#mcmc #generative #amortized
Posts by Seth Axen πͺ
ArviZ 1.0 is out! We have refactored it to be more modular, flexible & lightweight. For an overview of the changes, check the migration guide. python.arviz.org/en/stable/us...
Also I start to get the chills when I know I'm dealing with a special case of a hypergeometric function, because I just *know* as soon as I try differentiating or integrating something I'll be stuck with just a hypergeometric.
Literally every function that is non-integrable. They have evil intentions, and I don't trust them.
"Other extensions of the factorial function do exist, but the gamma function is the most popular and useful. " did the gamma function herself/itself write this
Anyone aware of a collection of agent skills tailored towards FOSS workflows for package development and maintenance? Strongly considering writing my own.
If you have been using LOO-PIT, this is a must read for you! @herman-tesso.bsky.social has done excellent work with this paper! Thanks for @florencebockting.bsky.social and @aloctavodia.bsky.social for getting this to bayesplot and ArviZ. I'll notify when I have my casestudies updated with this
Congrats, and this is amazing!! π
russian blue? worth. it.
Yes there are dozens of tasks throughout the day that I can accomplish much faster with AI, but these are usually sporadic and non-routine. Building a whole set of agents to manage these would then become its own large task with little concrete benefit that I can see.
Like my #1 productivity blockers are my own mental clarity/energy (which are helped by exercising, resting, and preserving a routine and focused time for thinking, writing, and hacking on stuff) and family/home duties (which AI is mostly useless for).
I've been seeing some folks recently explain how they're using agent-based workflows to help manage their life/work. I think it's great that people are sharing this and probably super useful for some. But I still haven't seen a use case that would be helpful for me.
I think @vgel.me is thinking of the subset of Pauline letters in the canon for which the scholarly consensus is that they're pseudepigraphic. Would probably include 1&2 Timothy, Titus, Ephesians, and a few others. You can find them online in any digital Bible.
Over the break I was picking away at a personal project where brms is clearly the best tool to use, and hot damn, is brms nice!
Introduce yourself as what almost killed you:
Hi there, I'm a hernia
taking personal branding to a whole new level
I believe eigen fly. I believe eigen touch the sky.
I guess there's Rogue Scholar for archiving blog posts and generating a DOI (rogue-scholar.org).
The main problem is one of venue. For arXiv I'd want to rework/polish the content to increase precision, and IME that can take at least as long as writing the original blog post.
This kind of makes me want to add DOIs to my blog posts, but then again, the description of my blog is writings "that I haven't felt like turning into papers".
I was pleasantly surprised to find that a TMLR paper last year (openreview.net/forum?id=Kre...) cited in one of their proofs my blog post on injectivity radii for unitary groups (sethaxen.com/blog/2023/02...).
Last year I went from ~1 beer/day to now ~1 beer/month, and the main thing I noticed was that now when I do drink that one beer, I feel noticeably worse in the morning. Don't know if that was always the case and I just couldn't notice it or if my alcohol-sensitivity is now much higher.
I gotta say, most of the CeTZ examples at diagrams.janosh.dev with TikZ corresponding examples look (to me) not nearly as nice as the TikZ ones.
I don't have specific ones in mind. Usually in the polish phase when in TeX I might reach for tikz or some package to tweak formatting, and I haven't worked with the typst ecosystem enough to be convinced that I won't end up in a scenario where I want to customize something but can't easily.
Finally got around to trying out @typst.app, and I'm really surprised how easy the learning curve coming from TeX has been!
I'm still not convinced it has all of the features I would want to replace TeX for papers, but it might replace my current TeX-in-MD derivation workflow.
It's generally much faster these days with the help of an LLM. And it hasn't borked one of my machines yet, which is more than I can say for myself.
We both have survived!!
Updating CUDA on my desktop machine today, thoughts and prayers appreciated.
I definitely wouldn't require contributors follow it within PRs. I first encountered something like this in the scipy dev docs. I'd already written the code for a PR before reading their docs, and then I had to go back and break it all into conventional commits. very annoying.
Seems more useful in the age of AI coding tools. If I prompt an agent to follow the spec, its commits are usually more atomic and readable. It also can better understand my own commits.
I do think an extension to impose more structure on the long commit message would be useful for these agents.