Good to ask @tomfletcherun.bsky.social today at @chathamhouse.org if international diplomacy is broken - and get his answer - broken for who? www.youtube.com/shorts/1sD3X...
Posts by Olivia O'Sullivan
This paper represents a small but deeply impressive and genuinely important achievement by the much maligned British state in what is probably the most important global issue of our era.
Hear me out ( 🧵) 1/
www.aisi.gov.uk/blog/our-eva...
The Strategic Defence Review, which Robertson spearheaded, came out in September 2025, as I was writing the last chapter of my book, which is focused on foreign policy and strategy. I read that entire document and interviewed a number of experts about it. A few thoughts. 🧵
Britain’s leaders have shown a “corrosive complacency” towards defence, putting the country “in peril” while it is “under attack”, a key government adviser has warned, in a stinging rebuke of Sir Keir Starmer’s military policy.
via @lucyfisher.ft.com
www.ft.com/content/88b1...
UK government has put out a call for input relating to its own future anti coercion instrument
Doc "sets out the rationale for why the UK government is considering new powers to protect the UK from adverse economic pressure and how these might work"
www.gov.uk/governmen...
Greggs, selling matcha
Will everyone please accordingly update their class takes, which will take effect from 5pm today
CNN reporting a "regional source" saying there may be some kind of ceasefire deal tonight.
edition.cnn.com/2026/04/07/w...
Good call yesterday with Keir Starmer.
We discussed the situation in the Middle East and the Strait of Hormuz.
Iran’s actions are putting global economic stability at risk.
We will work with our partners to ensure freedom of navigation can resume as soon as possible.
FT exclusive:
The UK government is on the verge of fully nationalising British Steel, almost a year on from using emergency legislation to take control of the business
www.ft.com/content/f885...
Start your day with a very moving lunch with the FT, sensitively told by @edwardluce.bsky.social www.ft.com/content/4c17...
Really pleased to have this piece from our UK in the World and Middle East and North Africa Associate Fellow @cjophillips.bsky.social on the tightrope Starmer is trying to walk on Iran, and what it means for the UK's relationship to American power:
Keir Starmer confirms suspension of crypto-donations to political parties.
“I can tell the house, we will act decisively to protect our democracy – that will include a moratorium on all political donations made through cryptocurrencies.”
"I think the worst-case scenario for the Gulf states is playing out. They’re seeing a US-Israeli operation being executed with no day-after planning."
Read Sanam Vakil's interview with @ichotiner.bsky.social for @newyorker.com on the impact of the US-Israel war with Iran on the Gulf states.
Opposition to the United States' military action against Iran has risen by 10pts among Britons over the last week
Support: 25% (-3 from 2 March)
Oppose: 59% (+10)
yougov.com/en-gb/daily-...
Latest assessment on US/Israeli attack on Iran. The administration continues to give the impression that it is making it up as it goes along. The choices for the Iranian regime remain dire but it continues to show defiance and cause international economic turmoil. open.substack.com/pub/samf/p/m...?
Legal advice re use of UK bases for attacks on Iranian missile bases now published www.gov.uk/government/n...
Looks like Iran has decided on three types of targets: US military bases in the region (Bahrain & others), oil infrastructure (eastern Saudi Arabia) and, perhaps most escalatory of all, densely populated urban areas to maximise economic and political impact (Dubai).
Good to see that there is *finally* some movement on this!
“Neutral Ireland is seeking closer co-operation with the UK and other Nato countries to defend its vast maritime area as Russia intensifies its surveillance of vulnerable undersea cables that criss-cross Irish waters.”
Snap judgement on Trump Supreme Court verdict - UK largely unaffected, may get lower tariffs now, but hadn't committed much to get them. EU, never ratified Trump deal anyway, now don't until the next step. China, still tariffs.
More affected - those who did full deals e.g. Indonesia, Vietnam
And another bites the dust?
The BBC World Service will run out of funding in just seven weeks. Its funding arrangement with the Foreign Office finishes at the end of March. There is no plan for what happens next.
www.theguardian.com/commentisfre...
Starmer rightly warning against the ‘warm bath of complacency’ just because Rubio made a slightly more conciliatory speech than Vance last yr. Also Starmer really has thing about disliking warm baths
‘A generational shift in defence-industrial cooperation’ including looking closer at economic alignment
Starmer says Carrier strike group being deployed to North Atlantic; nuclear cooperation with France being enhanced; more to be done with the EU on defence
Starmer also pointedly emphasising Greenland’s sovereignty and hymning British troops who died in Afghanistan here
⚡️US military aid to Ukraine dropped 99% in 2025, report finds.
European countries stepped in to fill the gap, increasing military aid to Ukraine by 67% and non-military support by 59% in 2025, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy.
It was great to chat to @philtinline.bsky.social for the writing of this excellent report, which gets to grips with why it is so hard for the state to actually do stuff, and features a cameo from my old team, the Open Innovation Team. Many insights in here apply to foreign policy too:
There is such huge opportunity cost to each Trump tantrum. So many people with critical jobs have lost another week when they could have been doing something useful.