Got some more shelf cloud pics. #memwx

@memphisweather.net in Bartlett, TN pic of a shelf cloud or at least part of it.

Smoke from the Canadian Wildfires will be, if not already is, impacting portions of the US over the next few days thanks to northwesterly flow in the mid-levels of the atmosphere. Will make for some great sunset pics and might bring hazy conditions as well.

Good morning from Ponca City, OK. Plan is to play southwestern/southcentral KS, which may have the best combo of lift and spatial extent of instability. We will be departing for Medicine Lodge, KS shortly and adjust from there.

Number trucks are less than the expected number of chasers so far 🤣🤣🤣

Managed to capture this double rainbow just a few minutes ago. #mswx

Link: www.facebook.com/profile.php?...

If you want to see more photos like this, come check out my storm chasing page on Facebook. After some thinking, will use Facebook to upload my photographs from now on out. Will also continue to share a couple of photos on here as well like the one👇.

@memphisweather.net In Bartlett, TN

I have decided that I will be chasing this afternoon/evening as it will be a decent chance for discrete storms across Northeast AR/MO Bootheel before the storms merge into a linear system. The severe weather threat will also continue into the overnight hours as well. Take all warnings seriously.

A Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued for Central MS and northern AL until midnight tonight. A watch means conditions are favorable for storm to become severe.

A Tornado Watch has been issued for West TN, North MS, eastern AR, Southwest KY and portions of Middle TN until 11 PM.

A watch means conditions are favorable for tornadoes.

SPC has increased their confidence for the potential tornadic storms this afternoon/evening for MS and TN. However, I am unlikely to chase today as model guidance showing the best chance for discrete storms being to my north. Will make an attempt to get lightning photos this evening, if possible.

While I was unable to chase any tornadoes yesterday, I did channel in my inner wildlife photography for the first time and capture this gem while being on the reservoir.

Latest MD regarding the issuance of a PDS Tornado Watch for Centra and NE MS. Today is just getting started. Take all warnings and watches seriously. There will be potential for long track and violent tornadoes across the region.

Today looks to be a long day.

If I were to chase, I would think Macon, MS into Huntsville, AL. I am not chasing as the storms will be coming to me so no need to work harder lol. Plus worry about QLCS behind the line of sups.

Never a good sign when 12z sounding already showing 1,000 plus CAPE for both sfc and ML. High risk as been extended into north AL. All modes of severe weather likely along with long track and violent tornadoes will be possible.

Will not be chasing today as the overall environment is not favorable for chasing. However, the severe weather threat remains present with the major concerns being damaging winds and tornadoes.

Not every day you get a Red Flag Warning across North MS. More information can be found in the graphic 👇

I am new when it comes to the long term forecasting and analogs and curious to know the methodology behind these analogs.

If this keeps up, I won’t have to go very far to chase 🤣🤣

Who’s needs to chase and when comes straight for you 😅🙃🙃🙃

Tornado Watch has been issued which extends from Central Louisiana all the way up to western TN until 10 PM tonight. Remember a watch just means conditions are favorable for a tornado.

Today I have decided to not chase due to the main tornado threat being associated with the QLCS along with the low potential of discrete storms out ahead of the QLCS.

That is why I said for me, it is no big issue for me but even with me being so close, I am not that pressed for skipping this one for a better setup down the. road.

So for me I am in MEM for now, but I will be based out of JAN for much of this year.

For sure. For me, I am little so close that it would not cost me any extra resources, but I am no way pressed for a chase day. I just want to see what 12z data shows in the morning before I make a final decision. If this trend continues, MAM could be very interesting.

Not at all, but if something can develop, especially pre-frontal, then there js a chance. I am fortunate enough to be close enough to make a last minute chase decision if needed.

Given the current model guidance, tomorrow does not look good for chasing at all. It appears the main show will be embedded within the line and will be towards the evening hours. Will continue to monitor model data to see if any prefrontal storms could develop before making a final decision.

While at work yesterday, I saw plume of dust being transported across AR into North MS and West TN behind a front. I find it cool to share with everyone. This should serve as a reminder how important something like satellites are to meteorologists when tracking weather phenomena.