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Posts by Eric Maugendre about emissions

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Though created primarily for amphibians, this cluster of newish ponds on edge of Humberhead Peatlands produced a decent invertebrate fauna including the Near Threatened water beetle Hydrochus elongatus. Location matters: new habitat close to existing can draw on a large pool of potential colonists.

3 days ago 28 4 2 0
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In almost 30 years of living in and around Death Valley I have never seen the calthaleaf phacelia this dense and abundant, coating the barren rock hills with purple. They are having a banner year in this hyperarid part of the Mojave Desert

1 month ago 189 46 4 0
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This gem of a pond is on a remnant of common land near York. I last sampled here 20 years ago, so reassured to find the scarce and declining diving beetle Agabus labiatus still present. The surrounding fen and wet grassland supports a rich invertebrate assemblage including several other rarities.

18 hours ago 64 10 3 0

A message of "we will manage the decline slightly better than the other guys" simply does not inspire the kind of massive, grassroots mobilization required to overcome deeply entrenched, aggressive opposition from the billionaire interests in both parties.

1 day ago 331 60 3 1

NYT is a repeat offender pushing the idea that activists are scary radicals

1 day ago 44 1 1 0

Excellent! Thank you!

18 hours ago 0 0 0 0
Why a 'No-Risk' Category Would Weaken EU's Landmark Anti-Deforestation Law (EUDR) Explore how a no-risk category would create loopholes, weaken enforcement and undermine the EU Deforestation Regulation's effectiveness.

Deforestation: Why a "no-risk" category would jeopardize the EUDR’s effectiveness and Why the current regulation is already fit for purpose: www.wri.org/insights/no-...

#carbon #deforestation #timber #beef #cattle #palmOil #oilPalm #emissions #landUse #agriculture #rubber

19 hours ago 0 0 0 0
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DAG: skin cancer is caused by age and sunburn (via moving to Florida)

DAG: skin cancer is caused by age and sunburn (via moving to Florida)

Directed Acyclic Graphs (DAGs) and Regression for Causal Inference
by Susan Alber (2022) health.ucdavis.edu/media-resour...

#intervention #policy #causality #causalInference #stats #statistics #counterFactuals #probabilities #causation #confounding

2 days ago 1 0 0 0

We also push back on the idea that “consumption” is irrelevant. We don't mean it as individual guilt or footprint obsession but as collective, everyday politics. It's vital to push for building new infrastructures and desires that make another way of living feel normal (and worth fighting for).

2 months ago 2 2 1 0

I will wait to read.

2 days ago 1 0 0 0

Does the preprint address?: Whether engaging the capital is an investment or an expenditure 🙂

2 days ago 0 0 1 0

Decolonisation and knowledges of decolonisation produced outside academia supersede the fraction of knowledge pooled in by academia on the topic. This realisation, not a hindrance in the labour of epistemic decolonisation, invites us to engage other formations of knowledge.

5 months ago 33 16 1 2

Thank you for the study.
Prohibition is a firm "stepping stone" (i like your wording).

You mention "expending significant political capital" but i understand that the driver's reputation was not consumed by the law. Is that correct?

2 days ago 1 0 1 0
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Symbolic wins as stepping stones toward material gains: Lessons from Sweden’s fossil fuel production ban How and why do some countries without ongoing fossil fuel exploration and extraction decide to unilaterally ban such activities? As part of a global m…

NEW ARTICLE: How can fossil fuel non-producer contribute to the transition away from fossil fuels?

🇸🇪🛑Drawing on extensive interview data from my fieldwork in Sweden, I trace the political dynamics of Sweden’s 2022 fossil fuel exploration and extraction ban: www.sciencedirect.com/science/arti...

2 days ago 12 7 3 0

High-grade semiconductors may be delivered for still some time.
The lack of sulfur from Africa to India already is preparing starvation in Q4.

5 days ago 1 0 0 0

I think i remember that there was even a paper that showed that the academic system rewarded the number of papers.

5 days ago 0 0 0 0

This is correct, papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers....

6 days ago 8 4 0 1
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"CATE plot – interaction between income (quadratic) and treatment."
"The effect of the experimental treatment on willingness to reduce consumption is conditional on income. However, that conditionality is non-linear. The effect of the treatment becomes more intense as income increases, achieving a level of statistical significance at higher levels of income."
From https://doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2026.2633837

"CATE plot – interaction between income (quadratic) and treatment." "The effect of the experimental treatment on willingness to reduce consumption is conditional on income. However, that conditionality is non-linear. The effect of the treatment becomes more intense as income increases, achieving a level of statistical significance at higher levels of income." From https://doi.org/10.1080/09644016.2026.2633837

"Making people aware of intergenerational climate justice increases individuals’ willingness to accept near-term economic sacrifices."

Study confirms that public awareness campaigns and educational programs have more effect on the individual consumption of the rich.

h/t @doctorvive.bsky.social

6 days ago 3 1 0 0
Three-panel chart. Top: bar chart of annual fossil CO₂ 1959–2025 with linear fit, as above. Middle: cumulative emissions as a percentage of the 1850–2025 total, shaded blue pre-UNFCCC and orange post-UNFCCC, annotated at 45.3% by 1992 and 80.5% by Paris 2015. Bottom: year-on-year change in emissions as orange (positive) and blue (negative) bars, showing no systematic trend.

Three-panel chart. Top: bar chart of annual fossil CO₂ 1959–2025 with linear fit, as above. Middle: cumulative emissions as a percentage of the 1850–2025 total, shaded blue pre-UNFCCC and orange post-UNFCCC, annotated at 45.3% by 1992 and 80.5% by Paris 2015. Bottom: year-on-year change in emissions as orange (positive) and blue (negative) bars, showing no systematic trend.

2/ Global fossil CO₂ has risen in a near-perfect straight line since 1959.

UNFCCC, Kyoto, Paris, all marked. None produces a visible change in trajectory.

53% of all industrial-era emissions have happened during the policy era.

1 week ago 85 18 3 0

The situation is a mouthful!

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

Your examples are informative but there might be a misunderstanding: i do not have a substack account.

On the contrary: i mostly publish from my own domain: data.yt

1 week ago 0 0 1 0

I stand warned. Thank you!

1 week ago 1 0 1 0

I found you thanks to this article.
Such prospects of fewer molecules are comforting.
But i guess your question mark indicates irony (over the propagation of catastrophic disruptions). Suffering is mounting.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0
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The Last Molecule Standing How One Reservoir, One Strait, and Five Manufacturers Became the Hidden Operating System of Seven Global Industries

"How One Reservoir, One Strait, and Five Manufacturers Became the Hidden Operating System of Seven Global Industries"
By Shanaka Anslem Perera:

1 week ago 3 0 2 0
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So much winning Please make it stop, Mr. President

A status report on commodities and on military hardware:

1 week ago 0 0 0 0

See published PDF: www.jasonhickel.org/s/Principles...

Or Open-access version: zenodo.org/records/1904...

Credits to my colleagues: Vivien Fisch-Romito, Jason Hickel, Jarmo Kikstra, Joel Millward-Hopkins, Yannick Oswald, and Julia Steinberger,

2 weeks ago 1 1 0 0
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"While post-growth will encounter stronger socio-cultural and political opposition from affluent classes and pro-capitalist actors who would see diminished power, it faces weaker geophysical and technological feasibility concerns by decreasing demand for energy, materials, and land."

tr.ee/Pj0qxl

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
Europe's Annual Solar Installations

The graph shows continuous and regular increase of solar installations from 2016 to 2023.

Europe's Annual Solar Installations The graph shows continuous and regular increase of solar installations from 2016 to 2023.

Thank you for the pointer!

The graph indeed shows continuous and regular increase of solar installations from 2016 to 2023.*
Yet Bloomberg does not remark that there also is a plateau at 2024: solar deployments in the EU stalled after state incentives vanished.

1 week ago 1 0 0 0
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'Mass delusion and wishful thinking': Why everything you think you know about methane is probably wrong What’s really damaging is fooling yourself into thinking that eliminating methane has as big an impact as eliminating carbon dioxide.

"A kilogram of CO₂ in the atmosphere has a warming effect that lasts millennia. You put a kilogram of methane in the atmosphere, the warming effect will disappear almost entirely after 20 years. So the amount of warming you get depends on the emission rate of methane".
via @jessimckenzi.bsky.social

1 week ago 1 0 0 0

I accept that. Thank you.

1 week ago 0 0 0 0