Posts by Andreas Schmittner
While studies showed that violent crime rates went down nationwide in 2025, experts found political violence sharply increased.
Cool animation
44% of Americans are very worried about climate change — among the highest levels since 1989 — and 63% believe the US government is not taking enough environmental action, the highest since @Gallup.com started polling the question in 1992.
"A decade ago, southern sea ice suddenly and dramatically declined. Scientists say the culprit was a 'very violent release' of deep, pent-up heat." via @grist.org at grist.org/oceans/deep-...
The recent warming is also unusual compared with the past 10,000 years.
Here is the google spreadsheet if you're interested in the data sources. docs.google.com/spreadsheets...
The hockey stick's blade is getting longer. Global temperatures over the past 2000 years. Temperatures over the past 30 years were 0.75 warmer than the 1901-2000 average. Warmer than at any time during the past 2000 years.
Map showing snow water equivalent percent of the 1991-2020 median for the Western United States on April 10, 2026.
This is a frightening map, especially given the fact that this is normally near the peak in snowpack across the West. There are many far-reaching consequences from this historic snow drought, ranging from increasing risk of summer wildfires to major water concerns.
Map by nwcc-apps.sc.egov.usda.gov
Renewable energy generation for electricity in the EU increased from 22% in 2021 to 30% in 2024!!! www.energyintel.com/00000194-848...
An electric farm, an electric harvest …. electric everything #energysky -- via Renew Economy: reneweconomy.com.au/...
Finally!
Whereas the maximum (mode) has shifted towards warmer temperatures in the latter part.
The earlier part of the record has more extreme cold events.
This large weather noise is why (human-caused) temperature trends at local scales are more difficult to detect. It also illustrates why it is difficult for us humans to notice climate change.
Here is a histogram of the full 1939-2026 record.
Looking at smaller spatial and temporal scales, we can see a lot of variability, e.g. in temperatures from a certain day of the year (Jan 12) in Eugene, Oregon, year-to-year fluctuations are easily 20 deg F (10 deg C), and thus much larger than the trend (~0.8 deg F/Decade or ~0.4 deg C/Decade).
This map shows the spatial distribution of warming, illustrating not only the differences between the ocean and land, but also differences between latitude bands, with more warming in the Arctic. This is called polar amplification or Arctic amplification.
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Climate...
Whereas over the ocean it is only half of that (0.14 deg C/Decade). And since two thirds of the Earth's surface is ocean, the global (land & ocean) mean trend of 0.2 deg C/Decade is closer to that of the ocean.
Land warms more than the ocean. The trend over the past 50 years is 0.32 deg C/Decade.
The later period has a broader distribution due to the trend.
But this seems to be a result of the trend in the data. When you plot the histogram of the early period only, it is much more symmetric.
A histogram of the same data shows a very asymmetric shape with a fat tail at the warmer temperatures.
There was a 1 deg C warming over the past 50 years. Prior to that, during the first half of the 20th century, there was a 0.2 deg C warming, such that, compared to 100 years ago climate is currently 1.2 deg C warmer.
Graph of Global Land and Ocean Annual Average Temperature Anomalies
Climate Science 101: This term I'm teaching climate science and I may share some of the things here too.
Observations show global temperatures are going up. Over the last 50 years there is a near-linear trend. This graph is from NOAA's climate at a glance website: www.ncei.noaa.gov/access/monit...
As the first reanalysis data become available, I think I can say with a fairly high degree of confidence that the March 2026 heatwave will go down as the most anomalously extreme heat event ever observed at any time of year in the southwestern U.S.
I wouldn’t argue that. I do believe individual actions are useful. But I’m also aware that they are limited in their effectiveness.
It’s mind boggling