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Posts by Benjamin Guinaudeau

Google Trends chart showing interest in commercial coding agents increasing dramatically in early 2026

Google Trends chart showing interest in commercial coding agents increasing dramatically in early 2026

You can just research things. New from @jatucker.bsky.social & me at @brookings: Coding agents like Claude Code and Codex will likely accelerate research AND undermine institutional structures we built to support it.

1 month ago 32 12 1 5
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Was there censorship on TikTok after the U.S. takeover? A TikTok outage more likely explains recent anomalies – there’s no evidence of larger platform changes so far.

🌐 📲 With international collaborators, the Observatory’s director @andreucasas.bsky.social revisited recent “TikTok censorship” claims after the TikTok USDS takeover

➡️ Detailed information about the analysis available: goodauthority.org/news/was-the...

🧵[1/5]

2 months ago 13 13 1 2
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Last week the story was that TikTok censored anti-Trump/ICE/Pretti videos after the U.S. ownership change. We investigated with a large set of US TikTok data and found some interesting results, short thread...

2 months ago 216 91 6 16

Are you a CSS researcher using LLMs for text annotation tasks? Do you integrate the results into downstream statistical analyses?

Turns out, even with SOTA models you have a 31-50% chance of coming to wrong conclusions this way!

Learn more about this and mitigation strategies in our new preprint 👇

7 months ago 10 3 2 0
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TODAY Aug 28 - "Politics in 60 Seconds: Short-Form Video, TikTok, and Political Communication" at #APSA2025 -

2 PM, VCC West Ballroom B

Chair: @eunjikim.bsky.social. Discussant: @mollyeroberts.bsky.social

7 months ago 4 2 1 0

Just made this little diagram and it's so pretty! {ggdiagram} is really neat for these types of graphics #rstats

(code here: gist.github.com/andrewheiss/... )

7 months ago 64 10 3 0

Quite a strong final statement: "Descriptive research is important and it is a pity that the general obsession with causal estimates disincentivizes researchers from attempting to publish careful and detailed description."

9 months ago 88 30 4 2

🚨 Big News for European Political Science 🚨

We’re thrilled to announce the launch of the European Political Science Society (EPSS): a new, member-led, not-for-profit association built to support our scholarly community.

🔗 epssnet.org

Here’s a thread with everything you need to know.

🧵

9 months ago 375 210 4 58
Proportion of Papers by Year and Team Type

Proportion of Papers by Year and Team Type

Excited to kick off #EPSA2025 on Day 1, Panel 1! 🎉

I’ll present my co-authored research with @michaelimre.bsky.social on 50 years of gender representation in political science publications. We analyze nearly 100,000 articles across 72 journals to uncover long-term trends. 🔍

@epsanet.bsky.social

9 months ago 127 43 3 1
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Currently in FirstView: In “Crowdsourced Adaptive Surveys,” @yamilrvelez.bsky.social introduces a methodology (CSAS) that converts open-ended text from participants into survey items and applies a multi-armed bandit algorithm to determine which questions should be prioritized in the survey.

10 months ago 10 5 1 0
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If you know me, you know I am obsessed with building dashboards. 😅

Well, I am excited to share that @ernesto-deleon.com, Max Paulus, & I were awarded a small grant to build an #rstats package to make them accessible to other researchers.

And we’re hiring a Research Assistant to help us do that!

11 months ago 31 16 2 1

Ryan speaks so well to this moment - how we the faculty have held our universities to a higher standard, how we can move them to right action by speaking loudly and together, and how universities will only continue to on the right side of history through our effort.

1 year ago 72 16 1 0

Excited to present our large-scale algorithm audit study where our team collaborated with 30 political parties to investigate bias in political ad delivery at the #AlgoSoc2025 conference!

Come to the poster session at 17:30 today if you want to know more :)

favstats.github.io/EuroAlgos/po...

1 year ago 29 7 3 5
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🧵 Germany is heading toward a new ⚫️🔴GroKo, and Merz and SPD are pushing through a constitutional reform that will allow €1.000 billion in new debt. What happened to the CDU’s promise of budgetary rigor?
Our WP with @elisadeisshelbig.bsky.social sheds light on this. Let’s talk coalition politics.👇

1 year ago 15 3 1 1
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Just run the wordfish model. I was not aware of such ideological segregation among supporters

1 year ago 2 0 1 0
The flyer shows the overview of the programme for the Text-as-Data Spring Term Speaker Series 2025, which usually takes place on Wednesdays at 5pm Berlin time.

The flyer shows the overview of the programme for the Text-as-Data Spring Term Speaker Series 2025, which usually takes place on Wednesdays at 5pm Berlin time.

The #TaDa Speaker Series is back for the spring 🎉 We're looking forward to an exciting line-up of talks by @prashantgarg.bsky.social, @miriamschirmer.bsky.social, @chdausgaard.bsky.social, @taniseceron.bsky.social, @lukashetzer.bsky.social, and Catarina Pereira! More infos at tada.cool & on Slack ⬇️

1 year ago 25 9 1 11
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To universities: He pushed you to rewrite websites, he is pushing you to the next line.

What are you going to do?

1 year ago 128 36 1 2
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a group of minions are standing next to each other with the words welcome to the club ALT: a group of minions are standing next to each other with the words welcome to the club

🥳

1 year ago 1 0 1 0
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New WP with @vincentab.bsky.social @ryancbriggs.net. We use LLMs and RAs to track publication trends in polisci. Here’s how subfields have changed in AJPS and JOP osf.io/v7fe8

1 year ago 134 47 5 17
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Il y a des tweets qui vieillissent mieux que d'autres

1 year ago 2 0 1 0
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The French Parliament has just brought down Michel Barnier’s government via a vote of no confidence – a first since 1962. A 🧵 on what is happening, what to expect next - and how the far right is capitalizing on the crisis.

1 year ago 37 21 1 2
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Wrapper for the AT Protocol Behind Bluesky Wraps the AT Protocol (Authenticated Transfer Protocol) behind Bluesky <https://bsky.social>. Functions can be used for, among others, retrieving posts and followers from the network or posting conten...

As more #rstats folks arrived here recently: you can use the Bluesky API for free and there are several packages for it. You can find the one @benguinaudeau.bsky.social @favstats.bsky.social and I wrote here:

jbgruber.github.io/atrrr/

And a fun bot project: www.johannesbgruber.eu/post/2024-01...

1 year ago 119 52 6 1

I didn't even notice CRAN already approved it, but our (@benguinaudeau.bsky.social & @favstats.bsky.social) #rstats package to interact with 🦋 got an update 😁

1 year ago 11 5 0 0
Main Workshop, Workshop on Research Design for Causal Inference, Faculty & Research: Northwestern Pritzker School of Law

Seriously? Not a single woman instructor, presenter, or organizer for a two week workshop. Do better.

www.law.northwestern.edu/research-fac...

2 years ago 11 3 0 0

Our Bluesky #rstats package has made its way to CRAN 🥳

@benguinaudeau.bsky.social @favstats.bsky.social

2 years ago 21 6 1 0
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Wrapper for the AT Protocol Behind Bluesky This package wraps the AT Protocol (Authenticated Transfer Protocol) behind Bluesky <https://blueskyweb.xyz>. Functions can be used for, among others, retrieving posts and followers from the...

We had to rename our ATproto/Bluesky #rstats package as CRAN does not allow submitting packages that already existed at some point (even archived once).

So here we (me + @benguinaudeau.bsky.social and @favstats.bsky.social)(re-)introduce {atrrr}: jbgruber.github.io/atrrr/

2 years ago 13 8 4 0
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Genuinely opening a colleague's script to smoothly transition again into working after the X-Mas break. When suddenly... 🤌😵

2 years ago 1 0 0 0

Congrats!!

2 years ago 1 0 0 0
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Inspired by the monotony of my review queue, here are 10 open American politics research questions that DO NOT involve the attitudes of Democrats and Republicans and can be answered with public data

Please, study literally anything other than the attitudes of Democrats and Republicans.

Here we go!

2 years ago 41 14 4 3