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Posts by Philipp Lutz

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Thrilled that my paper (w/@sarahobolt.bsky.social,@catherinedevries.bsky.social,@simonecremaschi.bsky.social) was accepted at the American Political Science Review!

We find that declining public services fuel support for the populist right — and show why the right benefits more than other parties 🧵

2 weeks ago 351 146 8 21
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False Beliefs or Just Bad Guesses? Understanding Public Views on Immigration | nccr – on the move What if most immigration misperceptions aren’t beliefs at all? Swiss survey evidence points to uncertainty rather than conviction.

False Beliefs or Just Bad Guesses? Understanding Public Views on Immigration --> summary of our research on immigration misperceptions nccr-onthemove.ch/blog/false-b...

2 weeks ago 0 0 0 0
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Migrationsland Schweiz - Mythen, Realtitäten und Perspektivenraum Schule

Neu erschienen: Migrationsland Schweiz: Mythen, Realitäten und Perspektiven (Denknetz), mit meinem Beitrag: „Warum das Migrationsland Schweiz eine (neue) Erzählung braucht“.

Viele lesenwerte Beiträge zur Gestaltung von Migration in der Zukunft.

pdf-Download --> www.denknetz.ch/migrationsla...

4 weeks ago 3 1 0 0
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Negativity and Misinformation There are large and growing bodies of research highlighting inaccuracies in news coverage. In this paper, we suggest that negativity biases account for a substantial portion of longstanding inaccur...

I am excited about this new paper, Negativity & Misinformation, just out with @cbwlezien.bsky.social in @polcommjournal.bsky.social: "durable biases in information processing, by media organizations and humans more generally, can produce misinformation and misperceptions..." doi.org/10.1080/1058...

1 month ago 59 21 0 1

More reflections and data in the article. Joint work with @maudbachelet.bsky.social

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The Swiss participation in the EU solidarity mechanism is voluntary, the middle position makes it unlikely that this would involve large solidarity contributions, but given its beneficiary role in the transfer system, it might strengthen the willingness of partner countries to cooperate.

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Over time, the Swiss share on asylum-applications has declined significantly, falling beyond its fair-share after the 2015 refugee crisis and stabilising on a low level.

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Looking at the Dublin transfer statistics reveals that no other country benefited as much as Switzerland with the highest net numbers of outgoing transfers.

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We specifically look at the position of Switzerland in the Common European Asylum System. Over the time period from 2008 and 2024, the country received on average more asylum applications than its fair-share (GDP/population) placing it in the upper third of European countries.

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The New Pact on Migration and Asylum: Political Developments and Implications for European Responsibility-Sharing

New article out in ASYL: What implications of the EU Pact on Migration and Asylum for European Responsibility-sharing? A political breakthrough but not overcoming the structural and political hurdles to an effective implementation asyl.recht.ch/de/artikel/0... @maudbachelet.bsky.social

1 month ago 1 0 1 0
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📢 New article out in the Journal of European Public Policy (with @maudbachelet.bsky.social ):

Europe’s immigration divide: multidimensional responsibility-sharing as a solution?

Europe is deeply divided on migration. 🧵👇

1 month ago 3 1 1 0
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✨ A silver bullet for EU migration policy?

🤔 @lutzphilipp.bsky.social and Maud Bachelet test whether Europeans support EU member states choosing their contribution to a common migration policy (border protection, money, relocation, etc.).

🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

1 month ago 2 3 0 0

@speriunige.bsky.social @vuamsterdam.bsky.social @snf-fns.ch

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Takeaway: Flexibility may help politically — but multidimensional sharing alone is unlikely to resolve Europe’s deeper migration divide.

🔗 www.tandfonline.com/doi/full/10....

#MigrationGovernance #PublicOpinion #EUPolitics

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The article is part of our SNF Ambizione project on the politics of responsibility-sharing, which investigates under which conditions countries contribute to common European migration governance.

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Strikingly, preferences look remarkably similar across countries.

Individual ideology matters more than structural national context.

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Using public opinion data from six countries, we find:

• Broad support for responsibility-sharing in principle
• Clear variation across contribution types
• Relocation is least popular
• Financial contributions & joint border control receive more support

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We ask: Can multidimensional responsibility-sharing — allowing countries to contribute in different ways — help bridge Europe’s migration divide?

Instead of only relocation, states could contribute financially, through border control, or via other forms of support.

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📢 New article out in the Journal of European Public Policy (with @maudbachelet.bsky.social ):

Europe’s immigration divide: multidimensional responsibility-sharing as a solution?

Europe is deeply divided on migration. 🧵👇

1 month ago 3 1 1 0
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Iceland looks to fast-track vote on joining EU A referendum on resuming membership talks had been expected in 2027, but could come as early as this August.

🚨🚨Biggest #EU news of today: #Iceland looks to fast-track vote on joining EU as referendum on EU accession could come as early as August, departing from original plan for 2027 ref. 🧵
www.politico.eu/article/icel...

1 month ago 1107 392 22 85
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New and open access, in @psrm.bsky.social: What happens when we make politicians draw distributions? Nic Dias, @jacklucas.bsky.social and I explore whether the large errors politicians make about public opinion are artificially inflated by how researchers ask them to estimate it /1
cup.org/4kltoyE

2 months ago 67 30 1 2
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Happy that my article just published in PSRM! In "Inclusion to Exclude“, I show that when politicians invoke women's rights to justify anti-immigration positions, it shifts citizens' policy preferences - but differently so depending on their prior views. doi.org/10.1017/psrm...

[Thread below]

2 months ago 45 14 5 3
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NEW PAPER ALERT! My paper, with @bjornhoyland.bsky.social , on how “policy loss” shapes support for the EU has just been published in @cpsjournal.bsky.social. Check it out!
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2 months ago 119 36 1 6
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Why we need to rethink what we know about public views on immigration You might think that most people have misperceptions about immigration. Yet many false beliefs are merely low-confidence guesses, rather than firmly held views. Drawing on new Swiss survey evidence, P...

💭 Based on @psrm.bsky.social research, @lutzphilipp.bsky.social & Marco Bitschnau reveal that many false beliefs about #Immigration are merely low-confidence guesses, rather than firmly held views. 🤔 This distinction has important implications for understanding public opinion.
➡️ bit.ly/3NvPq5i

3 months ago 5 2 0 0
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More Swiss than the Swiss Horizons - In brief

German-speaking Swiss tend to expect greater #integration from ‘foreigners’ than from
‘people in general’. This bias, absent in French-speaking Switzerland, was measured by @s-manser-egli.bsky.social and @lutzphilipp.bsky.social as part of the NCCR "On the Move".

3 months ago 6 2 0 1
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What happens now in Venezuela – and the world? What happens now in Venezuela – and the world? Trump’s no-guardrails foreign policy raises big questions about the global order, not just about who will run Venezuela.

New piece in @goodauth.bsky.social on what Trump's actions in Venezuela might mean.

goodauthority.org/news/what-ha...

3 months ago 27 19 2 6

Not surprising. Eurobarometer survey has shown the same thing a few years ago. For a more comprehensive coverage of public misperceptions, see our review www.cambridge.org/core/journal...

4 months ago 5 1 0 0
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Tout le monde ne doit pas s’intégrer au même degré Horizons - En bref

Tout le monde ne doit pas s’intégrer au même degré

Notre recherche avec @s-manser-egli.bsky.social est présentée dans le magazine Horizons 👇
www.revue-horizons.ch/2025/12/04/t...

4 months ago 5 1 0 0

More Swiss than the Swiss --> Summary of our research into unequal integration norms www.horizons-mag.ch/2025/12/04/b...

4 months ago 2 0 0 0
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Politicoloog Arend Lijphart: ‘De VS waren nooit echt democratisch’ Politicologie: Arend Lijphart (89) is de belangrijkste Nederlandse politicoloog aller tijden. Hij werd bekend door zijn werk over de verzuiling, maar vanuit zijn huis in San Francisco volgt hij nu voo...

De NRC interviewde Arend Lijphart de belangrijkste Nederlandse politicoloog www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2025/...

4 months ago 25 10 1 2