believing it is coming.
Belief being a key word. How do you force organizations to deal with something that you merely "assess" as extremely likely to happen?
And how do you get them to act on a compressed schedule in that case?
Posts by Suomikim
4) whether they'd follow earlier ALQ philosophy and target hitting the buildings before opening hours to minimize civilian casualties
(starting to get migraine, ugh).
Anyway, even with what we assessed, the above gaps in knowledge places a fairly substantial barrier to stopping the attack, even
what we didn't know:
1) who, specifically, OBL or friendly organizations would recruit for the jobs
2) where and how they would train (although the basic idea of using commercial schools and simulators was ofc obvious)
3) which east coast airports might be the easiest to get into
8) Jets, not props or private planes (size/impact)
9) OBL wanted to make up for the 1993 failure to take down the WTC. His plan would maximize the chance of taking it out based on his engineering knowledge*
3) Probably 4-6 targets
4) Most group members believed it would be all on the east coast
5) Twin towers *would* be targeted, probably both
6) Pentagon would be targeted if their team assessed they could manage to hit. (Our aviator rep insisted it was feasible)
7) Long haul flights for max fuel
until September.
With no more info than that... what, realistically could I have done?
I guess the starting point was "what did I know?"
1) OBL organization wanted badly to do an operation modelled on the Bojinka framework
2) Their timeline was probably within 6 to 12 months
response...
put me back in time in March 2001 when we wrote down our findings and put it in our strategy document... tbh, I'd be hard pressed to have been able to appreciably prevent it if all I knew was what I knew then and the single voice saying "Sarah, your and your team are right. You have
As someone who predicted the risk ahead of time and was on a team who predicted most of the details... I've been open about this.
Now, with everything we knew and how divided up responsibilities were for things, and the lack of lead time we would have had even if we could have spearheaded the
i left the USA in 2006 and mostly had no access to watching games starting in 2014... just in time to miss his 3 decent years.
had he been an e.g. 4th or 5th round pick, no one would think twice about him.
seemed like a nice guy. too bad things didn't go better (he did have a long career though)
fun drunk on the right, angry drunk on the left...
Nice that the case was decided before Hungary changed the law and made the case moot (which... idk EU law enough to know if the case would have been dropped without decision)
Having the decision in hand is... quite nice/helpful.
We're in the timeline where the conventional wisdom is that Trump won in 2020 and the January 6th people are Patriots?
I... want my money back...
Hecklefish tin foil hat not included.
I make no commission on sales of Hecklefish. link provided as courtesy
shop.thewhyfiles.com/products/off...
Need a study on the reading comprehension abilities of Americans as compared to goldfish and hamsters.
(Yes, I know, there's already studies showing median American literacy being at the 6th grade level... but there's nothing that compares this to the animal kingdom).
i mostly wrote strategy, but occasionally wrote plans and ops.
for moral reasons, I'd never have planned this... but I understand how one would do so
Its possible that there's no shenanigans... but too many things about it are suspicious to me. i defer judgement, just speaking of what is possible
if assassination was false flag then is fault of the people who were "in the know". which ofc would be less people than one might imagine.
one could get the results they did even if only a couple were in on it, with the others only being told "there's a threat against us, be on watch"
how did... why did you think that what i wrote meant that i was accusing Newsom of being involved?
i haven't live in USA since 2006 so maybe language has changed.
Newsom also doesn't write his posts (his media team does), so he doesn't get but partial credit/blame if something hits right or wrong.
saying "the rich taste like chicken" has gone nowhere.
need moar ammo.
inshallah...
have migraine... from now until the meds knock me out, all posts will be unhinged.
all comments will be unhinged.
all kitties will encourage and support the revolution.
this would have been funny if
1) no one had died in the probably fake Trump assassination, and
2) Newsom wasn't a douche bag
has struggled after his "two concussions in 10 minutes" game with Miami.
Thus me referencing the Ted Ginn Jr. pick which was... more predictably mind numbingly dumb... and his demise was due to the skills we knew he didn't have (catching a prolate spheroid while running) rather than injury :)
To be fair to Darrius (who was picked earlier than expected) the hamstring injuries in his first year probably contributed to his slow start. year two he was showing signs that he could be good.
then in year 3 he was knocked out cold and really never came back from that. (in the same way that Tua
as to the third, as an EU permanent resident, I'd like to see an EU force framework, specifically to deal with contingencies in the back and front yards.
As to the second: yes, Putin has the mental state to use nuclear weapons to assure his own survival. But that doesn't mean that providing defense to Ukraine while he was ramping up his forces would have led to him feeling his regime was in danger, and probably would have provided an off ramp.
As to the first: my assessment, based on the nuclear capacity assessment of the late 2000s, was that the Russian army was a completely hollow force that couldn't project power. While my view should have been the norm, it was an outlier.
work from which to send support. Hungary would have vetoed any NATO efforts. Biden was too weak to put together a "coalition of the willing". And EU defense cooperation was (and arguably still is) not developed enough to step in.
there's a lot of reasons.
first off, most intelligence communities* assessed that Ukraine had no hope of holding out, thus there was the belief that there was no way to get sufficient deterrence in place on time.
second, the fear that Russia's nuclear blackmail wasn't bluff.
third, no legal frame
"i don't have a fu king army"... combined with "i can't go solo cos migraines" is my answer.
BDS is as much as i can manage. if i figure out a way to get an army, though, however...