Posts by Hans Noel
Title: Political Pundits and the Maintenance of Ideological Coalitions Authors: Allison Wan and Jon Green Abstract: Political ideologies help groups advance diverse sets of interests under common agendas. However, it is unclear how these groups maintain their norms regarding what it means to be a member in good standing in a dynamic information environment. Building on theories of “long” political coalitions, we hypothesize that ideological elites’ rhetorical influence on one another will tend to be concentrated and specialized with respect to specific concepts. We find support for this expectation using an original dataset of over 1,000 prominent political pundits in the United States, in which we infer coalition membership and the diffusion of novel language over a range of specific concepts. While pundits may discuss many concepts, they tend to “send” language to other pundits in relatively few, resulting in both concentration and specialization of influence within coalitions. These results clarify conceptual distinctions between political ideologies and political philosophies, and demonstrate real-time dynamics of contemporary ideological coalitions.
Figure 1: Stylized expectations. Each node reflects a hypothetical coalition member, colors denote concepts, and arrows indicate members’ influence on each other. For example, member (a) influences members (b), (c), and (e) with respect to one concept, such as immigration, while member (d) influences members (b), (c), and (e) with respect to a different concept, such as health care. Member (e) acts as a broker, both sending and receiving influence across the coalition. Every member is influential, but influence tends to be concentrated (for any given concept, one member accounts for 3/4 of influence) and specialized (4/5 members are influential on only one concept).
Figure 3: Concentration of influence within concepts, observed network compared to permuted networks. Degree, Community, and Concept denote structural features either are or are not preserved in network permutations.
Figure 4: Specialization of influence within concepts, observed network compared to permuted networks. Degree, Community, and Concept denote structural features either are or are not preserved in network permutations.
extremely happy to share that "Political Pundits and the Maintenance of Ideological Coalitions" is conditionally accepted at @polbehavior.bsky.social
osf.io/8c3fr/files/...
What would I do without AI summarizing my emails?
#MovieKid reviews One Battle After Another
www.youtube.com/@movies4all6...
with @profhansnoel.bsky.social
I love going to the movie theater, but there are downsides. Traffic. Parking. Kids talking. That Nicole Kidman AMC ad.
#MovieKid continues to review Oscar Best Picture winners. Check out his review of You Can't Take It with You
www.youtube.com/@movies4all6...
with @profhansnoel.bsky.social
Announcing Georgetown University’s Initiative on Artificial Intelligence & Democratic Citizenship (AIDC)! 🎉🎊
Funded by @nehgov.bsky.social, our network of humanists explore the impact of AI and democratic life. Read more at www.aidc.georgetown.edu.
Fellowship opportunities coming later this week!
Utterly unacceptable in a democracy. In a sane world, House Republicans would be drafting impeachment articles today and Senate Republicans would be preparing for a trial to convict and remove him from office
"He's low-key eating here." -- student on E.E. Schattschneider's writing style in The Semisovereign People.
#MovieKid is reviewing every Best Picture winner! This weekend, he posted reviews of Cimarron and All Quiet on the Western Front.
www.youtube.com/@movies4all6...
with @profhansnoel.bsky.social
Today is Perforated's official publication day! Happy birthday, Perforated! In today's post, I share the dedications.
Thank YOU for being along for this lovely ride!
I hope to see you at a future reading!
I hope to see you soon.
chloeyelenamiller.substack.com
I joined TRT's The Newsmakers to talk about the first year of Trump’s second term.
www.youtube.com/watch?v=SNUY...
#MovieKid is watching the Oscar's Best Picture winners! He starts at the beginning with a review of Wings.
www.youtube.com/@movies4all6...
with @profhansnoel.bsky.social
I contributed a piece to the NYU Law Democracy Project @democracyproject.bsky.social’s excellent series on 100 ideas in 100 days. “We need to embrace the central role that political parties play in a well-functioning representative democracy.”
For his final post in his Movie a Day Series, #MovieKid reviews one of the first narrative films ever made, The Great Train Robbery (1903).
Congratulations, #MovieKid, on 253 movie reviews!! You did it!
with @profhansnoel.bsky.social
www.youtube.com/@movies4all6...
The 2025 Barbara Sinclair lecture, by Matthew Green.
Matt’s talk turned out to violate Betteridge's Law.
Georgetown Democracy Initiative event on Youth and Democracy’s Futures.
Thanks to @annkristinkolln.bsky.social, @fabioangiolillo.bsky.social and the University of Gothenburg for organizing a great Workshop on Political Parties and Governance.
Out with my invisible buddy.
The "it's a republic not a democracy" crowd is really leaning into "he won an election so he can't be doing anything wrong."
Look, when something’s not working, you should try just turning it off and then turning it back on again.
All this time I thought Col. Jessep was the bad guy.
I'm not one to lament "kids these days," but I just taught probability theory in Quant 1, and NONE of the grad students had ever played poker.
Our schools are failing us.
I've always loved @demisty.bsky.social's work and this was such a pleasure. Hope you can read her thoughts on the craft of writing and revising!
www.brownbaglit.com/milkjournal
At 2pm today, we will discuss the 2024 election and the parties. Don't miss the "Parties and 2024 Election" panel. @profhansnoel.bsky.social @maeganac.bsky.social @juliaazari.bsky.social @smotus.bsky.social @apsa.bsky.social #APSA25
When I lived in Los Angeles, Ozzy Osbourne’s local studio was in my neighborhood. I was a regular at a diner called Lulu’s Alibi. So were Ozzy and his crew.
I never talked to any of them, but Lulu’s had a menu item named after him. The Ozzy was a chip butty (French fry sandwich.) It wasn’t bad.
#MovieKid reviews There's Still Tomorrow (2023), a most amazing Italian film that the three of us loved. Have you seen it? (You can watch it with English subtitles.)
with @profhansnoel.bsky.social
www.youtube.com/@movies4all6...
Marking the end of another great summer class at Georgetown's Villa Le Balze