Lesson 1: Autocrats have shelf lives. Lesson 2: Outside influence is limited. Lesson 3: Democracy is resilient. Read Robert Beck's full commentary on the lessons we can take from the Hungarian election results. buff.ly/HUdivcF
FPRI's Eurasia program hosted a pertinent discussion on what's next for Hungary with the election of Péter Magyar. Watch the full event here.
"The founders of the American political system didn't anticipate the emergence of political parties becoming more important than institutional prerogatives. The failure of Congress to foreclose presidential authority has destabilized the structure, enabling executive overreach."
"History suggests that a post-Putin Russian leader may bring some change compared to his predecessor—it also indicates that change will occur to maintain the current system and not replace it. Future Western observers should not misinterpret cosmetic changes for structural ones."
Tune in to Bruce Pannier's discussion with the US Commission of International Religious Freedom on human rights abuses targeting religion and beliefs across Central Asia. buff.ly/h6qdyhC
Thursday, April 23 at 1:00 PM EDT: Register for our upcoming virtual event to learn about the return and future of the #OrbisJournal.
"No dominant power in history has had as many advantages as the United States created for itself in the past 80 years, and no dominant power in history has so quickly destroyed the wellsprings of its own security and prosperity."
"A regular feature of Russian political transitions is that they bring change in governing style, oscillating between harsher and lighter forms of rule, but always within the confines of some form of autocracy and dictatorship."
Watch our latest virtual event for insight into the election of Peter Magyar and what it means for Hungary.
"Relentless attacks by Iran and the Iraqi Shia armed factions effectively turned Iraqi Kurdistan into a central theater of the conflict. The Kurdistan Region is the only part of Iraq where US troops are stationed and remains largely outside Tehran’s influence." buff.ly/FO1VrKU
"Given its resolute resistance to China, Russia, and North Korea and support for ties to US allies in the Indo-Pacific region, Japan already defends its national interests in Asia quite normally. Even so, it has not been easy for Japan to reach these outcomes." buff.ly/0URT0ta
Taehwa Hong highlights that President Lee Jae Myung missed an opportunity for a “values” message to Israel that would also have shed light on a national concern: the infringement on freedom of navigation due to the prolonged war. buff.ly/R97za9e
Taehwa Hong suggests that South Korean President Lee Jae Myung's remarks on Israel should have focused on international values tied to national interests, such as anti-hegemony in the Indo-Pacific, freedom of navigation, and opposition to forced border changes. buff.ly/R97za9e
Signs that a geopolitical cycle is ending: an ambitious rising power and an established power stretching itself financially, militarily, with deep political divisions, and with generations who forget the costs of ending cycles. #ShiftingGround #OrbisJournal
"The Russian military is constantly revising its methods for employing uncrewed aerial systems most effectively. This includes task organizing the responsibility of recon and strike UAS at different depths." buff.ly/84efdiz
"Western governments want to pressure Iran, Venezuela, and Russia, but sanctioning all three at the same time is extremely difficult. At some point, market stability competes with sanctions discipline." Tune into the full interview with Emily Holland. buff.ly/IzMQ6LZ
Maximilian Hess explains that in the long term, supply shocks from the Iran conflict will produce a classic bullwhip effect across multiple markets, amplifying volatility in procurement and inventory planning and leaving a longer tail in the global economy. buff.ly/7soxjJP
Catch up on the latest #BearMarketBrief.
In a piece for The National Interest, Mohammed Salih explains how Iranian attacks on Iraqi Kurdistan have revealed the autonomous region’s air defense vulnerabilities.
🆕 "Can America Rebuild International Trust?" by Kori Schake. #OrbisJournal buff.ly/SrsB3bL
"It remains to be seen how long this blockade will last and what the Iranian response will be, but we can at least add 'blockading a blockade' to the annals of American naval operational experience." Read the full commentary by FPRI experts here. buff.ly/mRrYrKh
"Resisting threats to regional and global order, standing side-by-side with the US, and taking initiative across partnerships in Asia are hallmarks of a grounded approach to challenges Japan is facing. Takaichi’s summit with Trump signals another step along this trajectory."
For insight into the effects of the nearly seven-week long Iran war on Indo-Pacific energy markets, read this expert commentary.
"No persuasive case has been made the Israel and Saudi Arabia alignment would survive the removal of the Iranian threat. Removing a common enemy does not automatically produce durable peace; it can just as easily unleash suppressed rivalries."
