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Posts by Sertalp B. Çay

Caption reads: "FPL value-for-money"
"Calculated using SOlio projections in GW22 of the 2025/26 season"

A line graph showing the change in "Optimised projected points per gameweek for the next 10gws" over increase in "starting budget"

Caption reads: "FPL value-for-money" "Calculated using SOlio projections in GW22 of the 2025/26 season" A line graph showing the change in "Optimised projected points per gameweek for the next 10gws" over increase in "starting budget"

Team value in FPL has never been less important than right now.

In previous seasons, you could consistently expect around 0.30 to 0.35 extra projected points per gw per 1mill of budget (peaking as high as ~0.42 at the start of the 22/23 season).

Currently it is around ~0.17

3 months ago 52 10 3 1
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I calculated a soccer-specific chess rating for 4,400 online games between ~100 players' accounts

Top 10:
1. Marten de Roon
2. Yussuf Poulsen
3. Antonee Robinson
4. Stefan de Vrij
5. Borna Sosa
6. Christian Pulisic
7. Michael Olise
8. Kevin Prince Boateng
9. N'Golo Kante
10. Josip Stanisic

3 months ago 111 21 8 5
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💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW17

Sharp market projections for the next round of PL fixtures: goals & CS%, teams to target and WDL odds 👇

4 months ago 29 7 0 0
FPL Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard
FPL Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 Gameweek 13 - Sertalp's Wildcard

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com to discuss analytics philosophy, team strength editing, Sertalp's wildcard, and how to think about FH13.

youtu.be/Or3zaqn1Hn4

4 months ago 6 2 1 1
FPL Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard
FPL Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 Gameweek 12 - James' Wildcard

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @trout-post.com, CTO of Solio Analytics, to discuss some recent Solio features, planning with risk, and James's chip strategy and wildcard draft (he has all his chips left!)

youtu.be/Ic-JVdnwQGg

5 months ago 11 2 1 2

#FPL Player baselines and projected minutes are updated on Solio for #GW11 based on press conferences and latest market numbers.

fpl.solioanalytics.com

5 months ago 9 0 0 0
FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd
FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 FPL Gameweek 11 - Wisdom of the Crowd

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss Solio's new "wisdom of the crowd" feature and what we can learn from people's beliefs, as well as the current trend of defenders dominating the FPL points, and some Free Hit planning.

youtu.be/gSr36PyXWHU

5 months ago 8 2 1 0
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📊 #FPL Defender DEFCON vs xGC tiers | GW1-9

As requested, a look at which defenders have best balanced:
🛡️ Clean sheet potential (team xGC p90)
🛡️ DEFCON bonus potential (CBIT p90)

Converted using a Poisson-based model to map out equivalent points tiers🤓😅

5 months ago 28 5 1 0
FPL Gameweek 9 - What's happening with Salah?
FPL Gameweek 9 - What's happening with Salah? YouTube video by Solio Analytics

📺 GW9 - What's happening with Salah?

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss how we can evaluate Salah and his projections moving forward, as well as a dive into some of the popular midfield and forward options for the upcoming gameweeks.

youtu.be/S2ZWdMRKHCk

5 months ago 9 3 3 1
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💹 PL Matchups - First Look | GW9

Sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: goals & CS%, WDL odds & teams to target 👇

5 months ago 26 4 0 3
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📊 GW6: Solio projected #FPL points and picks

A look at some of the top projected GW6 players from our live @SolioAnalytics model after today's press conferences - & an example 'free hit' team 👇

Triple Everton, Spurs & City and double Utd! Model will update until deadline

6 months ago 27 7 0 1
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💹📊 Projected team goals and CS odds | GW6–19

From sharp betting markets & our @solioanalytics.com market-derived model

Extended the usual 6GW horizon to the season's halfway mark - hopefully useful for chip planning. Later GW for guidance only, plenty will change!

6 months ago 26 7 0 1
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💹 PL GW6 matchups

A first look at sharp market projections for this weekend’s PL fixtures: projected goals & CS%, teams to target & WDL odds 👇

📉 Through GW1-6, markets have projected ~20 fewer PL goals compared to this time last season

6 months ago 27 5 0 0

🤔

7 months ago 4 0 0 0
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At Tier 3 you get unlimited access to all our features, and you get new ones 4 weeks early. Details below.

#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

7 months ago 4 2 1 0
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Throughout the day – at 12.00, 3.00, 6.00, and 9.00 PM (UK) – we’ll be revealing the contents of our subscription tiers. First up, the prices (and our season long discount offer below).

#FPL #FPLCommunity #PremierLeague

7 months ago 9 4 1 0
GW4: Wildcard Active
GW4: Wildcard Active YouTube video by Solio Analytics

GW4: Wildcard Active

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social discuss wildcard timing and chip strategy, examining when and why to use your first wildcard of the season.

youtu.be/B8FtDFIjF4g

7 months ago 15 5 2 2
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With Ange Postecoglou set to take over at Forest, we went back to look at some DEFCON data from his Spurs spell

His high line + pressing style generally created more DEFCON chances for opponents than for his own players 👇

7 months ago 27 10 1 1
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7 months ago 7 0 0 0
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Bruno has split time between deep & advanced midfield roles in Amorim’s 3-4-2-1

We re-scored his Amorim-era #FPL pts with the new DEFCON bonus & compared his data when starting in different roles

So far, not much evidence that he struggles when deeper 👇

7 months ago 53 7 1 1

Really fun game to try if you like solving puzzles and chess (and the football theme is a big bonus too!)

7 months ago 9 0 0 0

It's really fun, but not being able to complete a bonus round is dropping my productivity 😅

7 months ago 1 0 0 0

🙌

7 months ago 0 0 0 0
Analytics in FPL
Analytics in FPL YouTube video by Solio Analytics

Analytics in FPL 📽️

@pras-fpl.bsky.social and @jonnyc.bsky.social are joined by @sertalpbilal.com, co-founder of Solio Analytics, for an in-depth discussion about the analytical foundations behind successful Fantasy Premier League strategy.

www.youtube.com/watch?v=4Q4k...

7 months ago 21 1 2 2
Solio FPL Solio FPL Planner

Our new FPL app at fpl.solioanalytics.com 😊

7 months ago 1 0 1 0
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#FPL Optimized sample is completed, and we are ready for GW2

7 months ago 3 0 0 0
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Last week, we have added an option to edit your team. By clicking at the leftmost 'root' node, you can enter your transfers, change the price, and adjust ITB.

You can also go back to previous GWs to find your old plans: Top-left menu, plan settings, start gameweek

7 months ago 4 0 0 0
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Solio is already back online for #GW3 planning. 🚄

#FPL

7 months ago 7 0 2 0

Thank you!
Yep, CBIT, Bonus, Penalty (Taker) adjustments are in the pipeline. We noticed that people really liked the idea of adjustable projections, so we are improving the structure to make everything editable (easily). Hopefully will give an update on it soon.

7 months ago 2 0 0 0

OPTA stats are pretty expensive (as we have no income right now). Will raise other items to the team and will discuss.

7 months ago 0 0 1 0